Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Motherwell v Dundee United

Inizio: 2026-09-02 18:45 UTC

Finale: Motherwell 3–0 Dundee United

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

54 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Motherwell (Casa)

Previsione 40.44%2.47quota equa
EV -2.14%
Vantaggio -0.884%
Kelly -1.51%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.94%40.69%40.28%43.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.272.262.4246.51%44.07%44.15%41.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Dundee United (Trasferta)

Previsione 33.09%3.02quota equa
EV +2.59%
Vantaggio +0.835%
Kelly +1.23%
Crescita +0.032%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.58%32.83%33.22%34.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.862.853.1037.74%35.00%35.09%32.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.47%3.78quota equa
EV -1.27%
Vantaggio -0.341%
Kelly -0.467%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.73

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.48%26.48%26.50%27.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.473.503.7331.25%28.80%28.57%26.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Motherwell (Casa): 40.44%; Dundee United (Trasferta): 33.09%; Pareggio: 26.47%. Per Dundee United (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.02. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.10, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.59%.

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -11.04%E -5.02%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV +2.59%E +0.835%K +1.23%G +0.032%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -11.04%E -5.02%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV +2.59%E +0.835%K +1.23%G +0.032%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 18:25
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -11.04%E -5.02%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV +2.59%E +0.835%K +1.23%G +0.032%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -11.04%E -5.02%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV +0.935%E +0.306%K +0.456%G +0.004%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.01%E -4.01%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -0.720%E -0.240%K -0.360%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 18:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.01%E -4.01%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -0.720%E -0.240%K -0.360%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 18:30
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -13.06%E -6.07%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -0.720%E -0.240%K -0.360%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 18:25
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -9.82%E -4.40%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -2.37%E -0.805%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -11.33%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 18:30
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -9.82%E -4.40%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -2.37%E -0.805%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -11.33%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 18:30
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -9.82%E -4.40%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -2.37%E -0.805%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -11.33%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -9.82%E -4.40%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -2.37%E -0.805%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -11.33%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -9.82%E -4.40%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -2.37%E -0.805%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -11.33%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 18:30
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -9.82%E -4.40%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -2.37%E -0.805%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -11.33%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 18:30
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -9.82%E -4.40%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -2.37%E -0.805%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -11.33%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 18:30
1xBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.38%EV -6.18%E -2.66%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.88%EV -3.37%E -1.15%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.74%EV -1.27%E -0.341%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 18:40
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.03%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 18:39
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -9.01%E -4.01%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -4.03%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -9.01%E -4.01%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -4.03%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -9.01%E -4.01%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -4.03%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 18:20
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -9.01%E -4.01%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -4.03%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -11.04%E -5.02%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -4.03%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 18:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -11.04%E -5.02%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -4.03%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 18:30
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -4.69%E -1.63%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 18:35
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.19%EV -11.84%E -5.43%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -4.69%E -1.63%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 18:30
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.14%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.71%EV -5.02%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -2.07%E -0.559%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-02 18:35
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 18:35
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.17%EV -12.25%E -5.64%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.35%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -13.06%E -6.07%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -15.30%E -4.78%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-02 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -13.06%E -6.07%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -15.30%E -4.78%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-02 18:30
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.97%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 18:35
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.97%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 18:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -4.97%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 18:35
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 18:39
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 18:30
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.03%EV -5.78%E -2.48%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -2.14%E -0.884%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.14%EV -8.66%E -3.14%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -2.14%E -0.884%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.14%EV -8.66%E -3.14%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 18:40
BetUS🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -2.14%E -0.884%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.14%EV -8.66%E -3.14%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 18:40
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -4.97%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 18:44
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 18:30
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 18:30
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -6.18%E -2.66%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 18:29
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -6.18%E -2.66%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 18:30
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 18:30
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 18:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -11.04%E -5.02%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 18:34
Bovada🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 39.95%EV -6.59%E -2.85%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.68%EV -9.32%E -3.40%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 18:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.76%EV -7.80%E -3.42%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -10.65%E -3.94%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 18:40
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -13.06%E -6.07%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -10.65%E -3.94%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-02 18:44
NetBet (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.15%EV -10.23%E -4.61%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.63%EV -12.30%E -4.64%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-02 18:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 41.00%3.03I 33.00%NM 33.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.98%-0.0%2026-09-02 18:35
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-09-02 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-09-02 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-09-02 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-09-02 18:30
Matchbook◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-09-02 18:30