Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Livingston v Rangers

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Livingston (Local)

Prediction 10.38%9.63fair odd
EV +10.56%
Edge +0.991%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.115%

assuming max odds 10.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.03%10.50%10.34%12.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.258.618.5010.6513.79%11.62%11.76%9.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 72.00%1.39fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -8.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.63%71.89%71.98%74.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.301.301.3585.47%76.77%76.92%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.62%5.67fair odd
EV +2.92%
Edge +0.500%
Kelly +0.603%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 5.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.46%17.61%17.68%18.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.255.255.8420.83%19.03%19.05%17.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Livingston (Local): 10.38%; Rangers (Visit): 72.00%; Draw: 17.62%. For Livingston (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.63. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.56%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯10.65I 9.39%NM 9.03%EV +10.56%E +0.991%K +1.09%G +0.115%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -7.13%E -5.52%K -24.57%G +0.000%5.84I 17.12%NM 16.46%EV +2.92%E +0.500%K +0.603%G +0.018%4.0%2026-02-22 14:20
Everygame🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +3.81%E +0.381%K +0.423%G +0.016%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.49%EV -7.85%E -6.13%K -28.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -3.07%E -0.559%K -0.683%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 14:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV -1.38%E -0.145%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.77%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -7.48%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 11:35
BetOnline.ag🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.02%EV -1.38%E -0.145%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.67%EV -5.69%E -4.34%K -18.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -3.07%E -0.559%K -0.683%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 23:30
LowVig.ag🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.02%EV -1.38%E -0.145%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.67%EV -5.69%E -4.34%K -18.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -3.07%E -0.559%K -0.683%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 23:29
Coolbet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -1.38%E -0.145%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.92%EV -4.97%E -3.76%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -7.48%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 11:34
DraftKings🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -1.38%E -0.145%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -3.07%E -0.559%K -0.683%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 13:29
Bet Victor🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.38%E -0.145%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -7.48%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 12:49
Bovada🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -1.38%E -0.145%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.32%EV -9.29%E -7.37%K -35.71%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.95%EV -3.95%E -0.725%K -0.888%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 14:45
BetUS🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -1.38%E -0.145%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.32%EV -9.29%E -7.37%K -35.71%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.95%EV -3.95%E -0.725%K -0.888%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 14:44
Tipico (DE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -1.38%E -0.145%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.57%EV -8.57%E -6.74%K -31.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -8.36%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 13:59
SportsBet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -1.38%E -0.145%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -10.01%E -8.00%K -40.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -3.07%E -0.559%K -0.683%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 14:20
Paddy Power🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -1.38%E -0.145%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -10.01%E -8.00%K -40.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -3.07%E -0.559%K -0.683%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 14:20
Fanatics🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV -6.57%E -0.730%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.27%EV -5.69%E -4.34%K -18.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -3.07%E -0.559%K -0.683%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 14:20
Sky Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -6.57%E -0.730%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -7.13%E -5.52%K -24.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -3.07%E -0.559%K -0.683%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 14:19
Bet Right🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -6.57%E -0.730%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.48%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 11:35
Betr (AU)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -6.57%E -0.730%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.48%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 11:35
FanDuel🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -6.57%E -0.730%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -7.85%E -6.13%K -28.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -1.31%E -0.234%K -0.285%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 14:19
Marathon Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -6.57%E -0.730%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.62%EV -7.85%E -6.13%K -28.02%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.06%EV -3.95%E -0.725%K -0.888%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 14:44
888sport🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -6.57%E -0.730%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.88%E -2.38%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 13:45
William Hill🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -6.57%E -0.730%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.88%E -2.38%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 12:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -6.57%E -0.730%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.88%E -2.38%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -6.57%E -0.730%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.88%E -2.38%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 13:55
Betsson🎯8.80I 11.36%NM 10.58%EV -8.65%E -0.983%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.18%EV -7.13%E -5.52%K -24.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -4.83%E -0.895%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 22:15
NordicBet🎯8.80I 11.36%NM 10.58%EV -8.65%E -0.983%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.18%EV -7.13%E -5.52%K -24.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -4.83%E -0.895%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 11:30
1xBet🎯8.60I 11.63%NM 10.88%EV -10.72%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.45%EV -5.69%E -4.34%K -18.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV -6.60%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 12:35
Betway🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -11.76%E -1.38%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.07%E -0.559%K -0.683%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -11.76%E -1.38%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.48%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 13:44
PlayUp🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -11.76%E -1.38%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.29%EV -7.85%E -6.13%K -28.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -3.07%E -0.559%K -0.683%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 13:10
BoyleSports🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -11.76%E -1.38%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -7.13%E -5.52%K -24.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.88%E -2.38%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 13:24
Coral🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -16.95%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -2.81%E -2.08%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -3.07%E -0.559%K -0.683%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 12:25
ATG (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -16.95%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.01%EV -2.81%E -2.08%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.18%EV -8.36%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 14:34
Svenska Spel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -16.95%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.01%EV -2.81%E -2.08%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.18%EV -8.36%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 14:35
Unibet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -16.95%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.92%EV -3.53%E -2.63%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -10.12%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 14:35
Unibet (NL)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -16.95%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.92%EV -3.53%E -2.63%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -10.12%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 14:34
Unibet (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -16.95%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.92%EV -3.53%E -2.63%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -10.12%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 14:34
LeoVegas🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -16.95%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.92%EV -3.53%E -2.63%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -10.12%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 14:34
Grosvenor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -16.95%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.08%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -10.12%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 14:35
Casumo🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -16.95%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.08%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -10.12%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 14:35
TABtouch🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -16.95%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.08%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -10.12%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 14:35
betPARX🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -16.95%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.08%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -10.12%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 14:35
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -16.95%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -4.97%E -3.76%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -11.88%E -2.38%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -16.95%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -4.97%E -3.76%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -11.88%E -2.38%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 14:35
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -16.95%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -13.65%E -2.78%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 14:34
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -16.95%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -13.65%E -2.78%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 14:35
NetBet (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 10.79%EV -16.95%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 71.94%EV -13.60%E -11.34%K -68.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.27%EV -11.88%E -2.38%K -2.97%G +0.000%15.8%2026-02-22 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 10.52%EV -16.95%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 71.94%EV -15.76%E -13.47%K -92.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.54%EV -15.41%E -3.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%18.8%2026-02-22 14:20
Codere (IT)🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 11.62%EV -19.03%E -2.44%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.26%EV -7.13%E -5.52%K -24.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -11.88%E -2.38%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 14:20
Parions Sport (FR)🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 11.76%EV -21.11%E -2.78%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 70.37%EV -8.57%E -6.74%K -31.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -11.88%E -2.38%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -22.14%E -2.95%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.15%EV -2.81%E -2.08%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -3.07%E -0.559%K -0.683%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 12:24
BetMGM🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -22.14%E -2.95%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -3.53%E -2.63%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -7.48%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 12:15
Neds🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -24.74%E -3.41%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.63%EV -2.81%E -2.08%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.41%EV -4.83%E -0.895%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 12:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -24.74%E -3.41%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.63%EV -2.81%E -2.08%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.41%EV -4.83%E -0.895%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 12:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.02%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%1.0%2026-02-22 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.02%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%1.0%2026-02-22 14:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.02%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%1.0%2026-02-22 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.02%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%1.0%2026-02-22 14:30
Matchbook11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.02%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%1.0%2026-02-22 14:45