L’École des cotes

Hibernian v Kilmarnock

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hibernian (Local)

Prévision 59.98%1.67cote équitable
EV -2.83%
Avantage -1.75%
Kelly -4.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.85%59.92%59.92%61.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.541.551.6268.97%64.84%64.52%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kilmarnock (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.82%5.95cote équitable
EV +0.897%
Avantage +0.150%
Kelly +0.179%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.85%16.81%16.87%18.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.585.506.0020.00%17.93%18.18%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.20%4.31cote équitable
EV +0.464%
Avantage +0.107%
Kelly +0.139%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.66%23.27%23.21%25.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.654.054.094.3327.40%24.71%24.45%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.77%EV -7.63%E -4.95%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.897%E +0.150%K +0.179%G +0.002%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -1.39%E -0.328%K -0.428%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 13:40
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.77%EV -7.63%E -4.95%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.897%E +0.150%K +0.179%G +0.002%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -1.39%E -0.328%K -0.428%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 13:40
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 60.19%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 16.27%EV -0.448%E -0.076%K -0.091%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.55%EV -5.10%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 13:49
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.26%EV -8.23%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.89%EV -0.785%E -0.133%K -0.160%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 13:40
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.22%EV -2.83%E -1.75%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.49%EV -2.13%E -0.366%K -0.442%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%EV -8.35%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 13:55
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.52%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.52%EV -2.47%E -0.425%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.96%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 13:54
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.52%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.52%EV -2.47%E -0.425%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.96%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 13:54
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -9.43%E -6.24%K -18.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -2.47%E -0.425%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -2.55%E -0.608%K -0.798%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:40
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -9.43%E -6.24%K -18.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -2.47%E -0.425%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -2.55%E -0.608%K -0.798%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:40
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -9.43%E -6.24%K -18.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -2.47%E -0.425%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -2.55%E -0.608%K -0.798%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:40
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -9.43%E -6.24%K -18.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -2.47%E -0.425%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -2.55%E -0.608%K -0.798%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:40
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -10.03%E -6.68%K -20.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -2.47%E -0.425%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -2.55%E -0.608%K -0.798%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 13:39
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -10.03%E -6.68%K -20.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -2.47%E -0.425%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -2.55%E -0.608%K -0.798%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 13:40
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -10.03%E -6.68%K -20.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -2.47%E -0.425%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -2.55%E -0.608%K -0.798%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 13:40
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -10.03%E -6.68%K -20.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -2.47%E -0.425%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -2.55%E -0.608%K -0.798%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 13:40
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 61.56%EV -10.03%E -6.68%K -20.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -2.47%E -0.425%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 13:40
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.57%EV -5.23%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -3.31%E -0.575%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.55%E -0.608%K -0.798%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 13:49
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.20%EV -6.43%E -4.12%K -11.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV -3.31%E -0.575%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -0.232%E -0.054%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 13:39
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -7.03%E -4.53%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -3.31%E -0.575%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV +0.464%E +0.107%K +0.139%G +0.001%5.0%2026-04-04 13:40
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 59.99%EV -7.03%E -4.53%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -3.31%E -0.575%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 13:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -10.63%E -7.13%K -21.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -3.31%E -0.575%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 13:40
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -11.23%E -7.59%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -3.31%E -0.575%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 13:39
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -11.23%E -7.59%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -3.31%E -0.575%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 13:40
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -11.23%E -7.59%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -3.31%E -0.575%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 13:40
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -8.83%E -5.81%K -16.98%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -4.15%E -0.728%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 13:53
BetUS1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -7.03%E -4.53%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -5.83%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -10.67%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 13:40
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.43%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.25%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%EV -1.39%E -0.328%K -0.428%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 13:49
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.29%EV -4.63%E -2.91%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 13:54
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.23%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 13:49
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -7.03%E -4.53%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -2.55%E -0.608%K -0.798%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -7.03%E -4.53%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -2.55%E -0.608%K -0.798%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -7.03%E -4.53%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -2.55%E -0.608%K -0.798%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 13:40
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -8.23%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV +0.464%E +0.107%K +0.139%G +0.001%6.6%2026-04-04 13:40
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 13:53
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -7.03%E -4.53%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 13:53
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.43%E -4.12%K -11.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:54
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -8.23%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -2.55%E -0.608%K -0.798%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 13:39
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -7.03%E -4.53%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 13:49
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -7.03%E -4.53%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 13:49
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.23%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 13:39
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.23%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 13:39
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.23%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 13:39
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 59.12%EV -6.43%E -4.12%K -11.48%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.92%EV -8.35%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -10.67%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 13:51
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 57.85%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -9.19%E -1.70%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -14.15%E -3.83%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 13:54
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.85%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -9.19%E -1.70%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -14.15%E -3.83%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 13:54
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 58.43%EV -5.23%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -11.72%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -10.67%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 13:44
Codere (IT)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.47%EV -8.23%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -12.56%E -2.41%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -8.35%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 13:54
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.04%EV -12.43%E -8.51%K -27.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.19%EV -14.24%E -2.79%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.77%EV -10.67%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-04 13:49
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 59.47%EV -13.03%E -8.98%K -28.95%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.91%EV -14.24%E -2.79%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.62%EV -15.31%E -4.20%K -5.78%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-04 13:54
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -15.92%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 13:54
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -15.92%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 13:54
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -15.92%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 13:54
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -15.92%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 13:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 62.05%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.98%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.97%0.1%2026-04-04 13:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.37%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60%0.6%2026-04-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.37%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60%0.6%2026-04-04 13:54
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-04-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.05%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.1%2026-04-04 13:55
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.05%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.1%2026-04-04 13:55