La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Hibernian v Kilmarnock
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hibernian (Local)
Predicción 59.98%1.67momio equitativo
EV -2.83%
Ventaja -1.75%
Kelly -4.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.85%59.92%59.92%61.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.541.551.6268.97%64.84%64.52%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Kilmarnock (Visitante)
Predicción 16.82%5.95momio equitativo
EV +0.897%
Ventaja +0.150%
Kelly +0.179%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.85%16.81%16.87%18.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.585.506.0020.00%17.93%18.18%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.20%4.31momio equitativo
EV +0.464%
Ventaja +0.107%
Kelly +0.139%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.66%23.27%23.21%25.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.654.054.094.3327.40%24.71%24.45%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.77%EV -7.63%E -4.95%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.897%E +0.150%K +0.179%G +0.002% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -1.39%E -0.328%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.77%EV -7.63%E -4.95%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.897%E +0.150%K +0.179%G +0.002% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -1.39%E -0.328%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.19%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.92I 16.89%NM 16.27%EV -0.448%E -0.076%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.55%EV -5.10%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.26%EV -8.23%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.89%EV -0.785%E -0.133%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.22%EV -2.83%E -1.75%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.82I 17.18%NM 16.49%EV -2.13%E -0.366%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%EV -8.35%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.52%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.52%EV -2.47%E -0.425%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.96%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.52%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.52%EV -2.47%E -0.425%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.96%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -9.43%E -6.24%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -2.47%E -0.425%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -2.55%E -0.608%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -9.43%E -6.24%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -2.47%E -0.425%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -2.55%E -0.608%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -9.43%E -6.24%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -2.47%E -0.425%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -2.55%E -0.608%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| Unibet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -9.43%E -6.24%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -2.47%E -0.425%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -2.55%E -0.608%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| Casumo | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -10.03%E -6.68%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -2.47%E -0.425%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -2.55%E -0.608%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -10.03%E -6.68%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -2.47%E -0.425%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -2.55%E -0.608%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -10.03%E -6.68%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -2.47%E -0.425%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -2.55%E -0.608%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| betPARX | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -10.03%E -6.68%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -2.47%E -0.425%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -2.55%E -0.608%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.56%EV -10.03%E -6.68%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -2.47%E -0.425%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.57%EV -5.23%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -3.31%E -0.575%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.55%E -0.608%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.20%EV -6.43%E -4.12%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV -3.31%E -0.575%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -0.232%E -0.054%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -7.03%E -4.53%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -3.31%E -0.575%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV +0.464%E +0.107%K +0.139%G +0.001% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| Everygame | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.99%EV -7.03%E -4.53%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -3.31%E -0.575%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -10.63%E -7.13%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -3.31%E -0.575%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -11.23%E -7.59%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -3.31%E -0.575%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -11.23%E -7.59%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -3.31%E -0.575%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -11.23%E -7.59%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -3.31%E -0.575%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -8.83%E -5.81%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -4.15%E -0.728%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 13:53 |
| BetUS | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -7.03%E -4.53%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -5.83%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -10.67%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.43%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.25%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%EV -1.39%E -0.328%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.29%EV -4.63%E -2.91%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.23%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -7.03%E -4.53%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -2.55%E -0.608%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -7.03%E -4.53%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -2.55%E -0.608%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -7.03%E -4.53%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -2.55%E -0.608%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -8.23%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV +0.464%E +0.107%K +0.139%G +0.001% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| Betway | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 13:53 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -7.03%E -4.53%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 13:53 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.43%E -4.12%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -8.23%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -2.55%E -0.608%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -7.03%E -4.53%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -7.03%E -4.53%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.23%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.23%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.23%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| Bovada | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.12%EV -6.43%E -4.12%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.92%EV -8.35%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -10.67%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 13:51 |
| Betsson | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.85%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -9.19%E -1.70%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -14.15%E -3.83%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.85%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -9.19%E -1.70%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -14.15%E -3.83%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.43%EV -5.23%E -3.31%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -11.72%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -10.67%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 13:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.47%EV -8.23%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -12.56%E -2.41%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -8.35%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.04%EV -12.43%E -8.51%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.19%EV -14.24%E -2.79%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.77%EV -10.67%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.47%EV -13.03%E -8.98%K -28.95%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.91%EV -14.24%E -2.79%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.62%EV -15.31%E -4.20%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -15.92%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -15.92%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -15.92%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -15.92%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.61I 62.11%NM 62.05% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.98% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.97% | 0.1% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.37% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60% | 0.6% | 2026-04-04 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.37% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60% | 0.6% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.05% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 13:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.05% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 13:55 |