The School of Odds
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Hibernian v Dundee United

2026-11-21 15:00 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hibernian (Local)

Prediction 49.70%2.01fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -3.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.89%49.54%49.80%51.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.871.881.9559.88%53.44%53.33%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dundee United (Visit)

Prediction 25.88%3.86fair odd
EV -0.613%
Edge -0.160%
Kelly -0.216%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.75%25.98%25.99%27.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.533.603.8431.75%28.30%27.78%26.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.41%4.10fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -0.586%
Kelly -0.781%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.78%24.48%24.21%25.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.753.804.0029.41%26.68%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hibernian (Local): 49.70%; Dundee United (Visit): 25.88%; Draw: 24.41%. For Dundee United (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.86. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.84, with an expected value of -0.613%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -3.08%E -1.58%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -7.23%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-08 08:50
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -3.08%E -1.58%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.11%E -3.36%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-08 08:49
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -3.08%E -1.58%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.11%E -3.36%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-08 08:49
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -5.07%E -2.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -2.34%E -0.586%K -0.781%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 10:50
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.45%EV -6.06%E -3.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.23%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-08 10:25
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.34%EV -6.25%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-08 07:55
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.01%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-08 08:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.45%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-08 08:15
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -7.05%E -3.77%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.79%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-08 10:30
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -7.05%E -3.77%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.23%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-08 11:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.97%EV -7.55%E -4.06%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.21%EV -6.25%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-08 07:54
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.37%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.75%EV -0.613%E -0.160%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.88%EV -2.83%E -0.712%K -0.951%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-08 08:55
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.11%E -3.36%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-08 08:50
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.11%E -3.36%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-08 08:50
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.04%E -4.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.11%E -3.36%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-08 10:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 49.47%EV -16.99%E -10.18%K -25.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.23%EV -18.47%E -5.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.30%EV -16.99%E -5.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%21.0%2026-11-08 08:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 46.46%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.52%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.03%17.0%2026-11-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 46.46%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.52%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.03%17.0%2026-11-08 13:55
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%18.3%2026-11-08 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 30.43%1.10I 90.91%NM 50.90%3.00I 33.33%NM 18.66%78.6%2026-11-08 13:55

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