Language:English
Hearts v St Mirren
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hearts (Local)
Prediction 64.98%1.54fair odd
EV -4.49%
Edge -3.05%
Kelly -9.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.22%64.92%65.02%66.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.421.421.4775.76%70.47%70.18%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St Mirren (Visit)
Prediction 15.14%6.60fair odd
EV +6.00%
Edge +0.858%
Kelly +1.00%
Growth +0.060%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.54%15.08%15.17%16.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.246.307.0018.18%16.02%15.87%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.88%5.03fair odd
EV -4.57%
Edge -0.952%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.13%20.00%19.80%21.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.634.704.8023.26%21.62%21.28%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hearts (Local): 64.98%; St Mirren (Visit): 15.14%; Draw: 19.88%. For St Mirren (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.60. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.00%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV +6.00%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -5.56%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 14:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.84%EV -6.44%E -4.47%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV +6.00%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -8.55%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 14:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -7.73%E -5.45%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV +2.22%E +0.328%K +0.386%G +0.009% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -5.56%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 10:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -7.73%E -5.45%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV +2.22%E +0.328%K +0.386%G +0.009% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -5.56%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -6.44%E -4.47%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -1.57%E -0.241%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -4.57%E -0.952%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 10:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -6.44%E -4.47%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -1.57%E -0.241%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -4.57%E -0.952%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 10:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -7.73%E -5.45%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -1.57%E -0.241%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -5.56%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.20%EV -8.38%E -5.95%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -1.57%E -0.241%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -4.57%E -0.952%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.20%EV -8.38%E -5.95%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -1.57%E -0.241%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -4.57%E -0.952%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 08:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.20%EV -8.38%E -5.95%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -1.57%E -0.241%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -4.57%E -0.952%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 08:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.20%EV -8.38%E -5.95%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -1.57%E -0.241%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -4.57%E -0.952%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -8.38%E -5.95%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -1.57%E -0.241%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -5.56%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 10:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -9.03%E -6.45%K -22.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -1.57%E -0.241%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.53%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -9.03%E -6.45%K -22.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -1.57%E -0.241%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.53%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 15:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.44%EV -6.44%E -4.47%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.72%EV -3.08%E -0.482%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.84%EV -5.56%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.44%EV -6.44%E -4.47%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.72%EV -3.08%E -0.482%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.84%EV -5.56%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 10:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -9.03%E -6.45%K -22.59%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42%EV -3.08%E -0.482%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -6.56%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -9.03%E -6.45%K -22.59%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42%EV -3.08%E -0.482%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -6.56%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -9.03%E -6.45%K -22.59%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42%EV -3.08%E -0.482%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -6.56%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 08:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -9.03%E -6.45%K -22.59%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42%EV -3.08%E -0.482%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -6.56%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -9.03%E -6.45%K -22.59%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42%EV -3.08%E -0.482%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -6.56%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -9.03%E -6.45%K -22.59%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42%EV -3.08%E -0.482%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -6.56%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -9.03%E -6.45%K -22.59%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42%EV -3.08%E -0.482%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -6.56%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -5.79%E -3.99%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.68%EV -4.60%E -0.730%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -14.51%E -3.37%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-02 05:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -5.79%E -3.99%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.68%EV -4.60%E -0.730%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -14.51%E -3.37%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-02 05:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -6.44%E -4.47%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -5.35%E -0.857%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -5.56%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-05 10:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.07%EV -6.44%E -4.47%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -5.35%E -0.857%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -6.56%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-05 11:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.52%EV -10.33%E -7.49%K -27.19%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.82%EV -7.63%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -8.55%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.24%EV -10.33%E -7.49%K -27.19%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.76%EV -7.63%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -10.53%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-01 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.57%EV -11.63%E -8.55%K -32.31%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV -7.63%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -10.53%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-01 14:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.46%EV -4.49%E -3.05%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.64%EV -8.23%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 19.91%EV -5.37%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-23 10:01 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.47%EV -5.79%E -3.99%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.43%EV -8.23%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -7.55%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-23 09:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.61%EV -6.44%E -4.47%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.38%EV -8.38%E -1.39%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.01%EV -7.55%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-28 06:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -6.44%E -4.47%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -9.14%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -5.56%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-21 08:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.49%EV -5.79%E -3.99%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.14%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.16%EV -13.52%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 18:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.44%E -4.47%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -9.14%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -12.52%E -2.85%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 10:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.44%E -4.47%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -9.14%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -12.52%E -2.85%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 10:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.44%E -4.47%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -9.14%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -12.52%E -2.85%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 10:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.44%E -4.47%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -9.14%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -12.52%E -2.85%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 10:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -9.03%E -6.45%K -22.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -9.14%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -4.57%E -0.952%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-05 12:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -9.03%E -6.45%K -22.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -9.14%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -8.55%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-05 11:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.24%EV -11.63%E -8.55%K -32.31%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.04%EV -10.65%E -1.81%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -10.53%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.96%EV -6.44%E -4.47%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -12.93%E -2.25%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -8.55%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-23 09:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.96%EV -6.44%E -4.47%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -12.93%E -2.25%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -8.55%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-30 00:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -12.93%E -2.25%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -6.56%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-21 14:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -12.93%E -2.25%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -10.53%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-04 06:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 64.82%EV -14.23%E -10.78%K -44.48%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.28%EV -15.20%E -2.71%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.90%EV -14.51%E -3.37%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-10-05 11:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -6.44%E -4.47%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -16.71%E -3.04%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.53%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-02 06:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (2)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.39% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.38% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.23% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 05:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.45% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21% | 12.4% | 2026-10-05 11:35 |