L’École des cotes

Hearts v Dundee FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hearts (Local)

Prévision 67.99%1.47cote équitable
EV -2.78%
Avantage -1.95%
Kelly -6.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.86%67.86%67.80%69.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.371.381.4381.97%72.73%72.46%69.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dundee FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.15%8.23cote équitable
EV +3.26%
Avantage +0.383%
Kelly +0.435%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 8.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.23%12.30%12.28%14.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.657.437.508.5015.04%13.46%13.33%11.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.87%5.03cote équitable
EV -0.666%
Avantage -0.133%
Kelly -0.166%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.43%19.84%19.93%20.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.644.605.0023.26%21.55%21.74%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 69.68%EV -6.86%E -5.01%K -18.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV +3.26%E +0.383%K +0.435%G +0.014%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.666%E -0.133%K -0.166%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 12:20
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 69.68%EV -6.86%E -5.01%K -18.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV +3.26%E +0.383%K +0.435%G +0.014%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.666%E -0.133%K -0.166%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 12:20
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 68.80%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.05%G +0.000%8.26I 12.11%NM 11.66%EV +0.344%E +0.042%K +0.047%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.54%EV -2.06%E -0.417%K -0.523%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 14:45
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -6.18%E -4.48%K -16.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -2.81%E -0.352%K -0.402%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV -2.65%E -0.541%K -0.680%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 12:05
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.51%EV -6.86%E -5.01%K -18.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -2.81%E -0.352%K -0.402%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.63%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 14:49
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.54%E -5.54%K -20.95%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -2.81%E -0.352%K -0.402%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.64%E -0.967%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:44
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -7.54%E -5.54%K -20.95%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -2.81%E -0.352%K -0.402%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.63%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 12:19
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.18%E -4.48%K -16.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -2.81%E -0.352%K -0.402%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:50
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -6.86%E -5.01%K -18.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -2.81%E -0.352%K -0.402%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -8.61%E -1.87%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:49
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 67.76%EV -6.86%E -5.01%K -18.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -2.81%E -0.352%K -0.402%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 13:45
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -10.26%E -7.77%K -32.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -2.81%E -0.352%K -0.402%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -2.65%E -0.541%K -0.680%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 12:03
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -9.58%E -7.20%K -29.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -2.81%E -0.352%K -0.402%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -5.63%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 12:05
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -9.58%E -7.20%K -29.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -2.81%E -0.352%K -0.402%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -5.63%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 12:05
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.00%EV -9.58%E -7.20%K -29.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -2.81%E -0.352%K -0.402%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -6.63%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 12:57
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 68.27%EV -4.14%E -2.94%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.74I 12.92%NM 12.44%EV -5.97%E -0.772%K -0.886%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.29%EV -0.865%E -0.173%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 14:55
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.60%EV -2.78%E -1.95%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -8.89%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -8.61%E -1.87%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 14:50
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.60%EV -2.78%E -1.95%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -8.89%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -8.61%E -1.87%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -8.89%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.63%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 13:45
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.89%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -7.54%E -5.54%K -20.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -8.89%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.84%EV -7.62%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 14:53
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -7.54%E -5.54%K -20.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -8.89%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.84%EV -7.62%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 14:54
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.58%E -7.20%K -29.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.89%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -0.666%E -0.133%K -0.166%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 12:05
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.54%E -5.54%K -20.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.89%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 12:05
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.54%E -5.54%K -20.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.89%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 12:05
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.54%E -5.54%K -20.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.89%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:09
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.54%E -5.54%K -20.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.89%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 12:19
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.54%E -5.54%K -20.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.89%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 12:20
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.40%EV -5.50%E -3.96%K -14.10%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -10.10%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -6.63%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 14:30
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 67.40%EV -5.50%E -3.96%K -14.10%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -10.10%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -6.63%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 14:35
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 67.10%EV -6.18%E -4.48%K -16.26%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.77%EV -11.93%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -8.61%E -1.87%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:34
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -0.666%E -0.133%K -0.166%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -4.64%E -0.967%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 12:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.63%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:20
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.63%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:20
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -3.46%E -2.44%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:48
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -3.46%E -2.44%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:50
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -3.46%E -2.44%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:50
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -3.46%E -2.44%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:49
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 14:49
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 14:49
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%EV -6.18%E -4.48%K -16.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:50
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 66.35%EV -6.86%E -5.01%K -18.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -12.59%E -2.86%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:50
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 66.35%EV -6.86%E -5.01%K -18.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -12.59%E -2.86%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Codere (IT)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -7.54%E -5.54%K -20.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 12:59
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 67.85%EV -12.98%E -10.14%K -46.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.41%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.74%EV -12.59%E -2.86%K -3.70%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-21 14:50
PMU (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 68.59%EV -17.06%E -13.98%K -77.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 11.95%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.46%EV -14.57%E -3.39%K -4.42%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-21 14:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 67.10%EV -10.94%E -8.35%K -35.29%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.93%EV -17.39%E -2.56%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -12.59%E -2.86%K -3.70%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-21 14:34
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -18.00%E -2.67%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -4.64%E -0.967%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 12:20
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.14%EV -4.14%E -2.94%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.02%EV -19.21%E -2.89%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -6.63%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 69.91%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.22%0.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.91%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.22%0.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.91%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.22%0.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 70.06%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-03-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 70.06%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-03-21 14:50
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 69.88%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47%3.0%2026-03-21 14:50