La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Hearts v Dundee FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hearts (Local)
Predicción 67.99%1.47momio equitativo
EV -2.78%
Ventaja -1.95%
Kelly -6.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.86%67.86%67.80%69.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.371.381.4381.97%72.73%72.46%69.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Dundee FC (Visitante)
Predicción 12.15%8.23momio equitativo
EV +3.26%
Ventaja +0.383%
Kelly +0.435%
Crecimiento +0.014%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.23%12.30%12.28%14.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.657.437.508.5015.04%13.46%13.33%11.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.87%5.03momio equitativo
EV -0.666%
Ventaja -0.133%
Kelly -0.166%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.43%19.84%19.93%20.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.644.605.0023.26%21.55%21.74%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.68%EV -6.86%E -5.01%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV +3.26%E +0.383%K +0.435%G +0.014% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.666%E -0.133%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.68%EV -6.86%E -5.01%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV +3.26%E +0.383%K +0.435%G +0.014% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.666%E -0.133%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.80%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 8.26I 12.11%NM 11.66%EV +0.344%E +0.042%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.54%EV -2.06%E -0.417%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -6.18%E -4.48%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -2.81%E -0.352%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV -2.65%E -0.541%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 12:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.51%EV -6.86%E -5.01%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -2.81%E -0.352%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.63%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.54%E -5.54%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -2.81%E -0.352%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.64%E -0.967%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -7.54%E -5.54%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -2.81%E -0.352%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.63%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.18%E -4.48%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -2.81%E -0.352%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -6.86%E -5.01%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -2.81%E -0.352%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -8.61%E -1.87%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.76%EV -6.86%E -5.01%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -2.81%E -0.352%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 13:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -10.26%E -7.77%K -32.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -2.81%E -0.352%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -2.65%E -0.541%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 12:03 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -9.58%E -7.20%K -29.03%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -2.81%E -0.352%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -5.63%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 12:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -9.58%E -7.20%K -29.03%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -2.81%E -0.352%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -5.63%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 12:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.00%EV -9.58%E -7.20%K -29.03%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -2.81%E -0.352%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -6.63%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 12:57 |
| 1xBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.27%EV -4.14%E -2.94%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 7.74I 12.92%NM 12.44%EV -5.97%E -0.772%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.29%EV -0.865%E -0.173%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.60%EV -2.78%E -1.95%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -8.89%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -8.61%E -1.87%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.60%EV -2.78%E -1.95%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -8.89%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -8.61%E -1.87%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -8.89%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.63%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 13:45 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.89%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -7.54%E -5.54%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -8.89%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.84%EV -7.62%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 14:53 |
| BetUS | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -7.54%E -5.54%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -8.89%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.84%EV -7.62%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.58%E -7.20%K -29.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.89%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -0.666%E -0.133%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 12:05 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.54%E -5.54%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.89%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 12:05 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.54%E -5.54%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.89%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 12:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.54%E -5.54%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.89%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.54%E -5.54%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.89%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.54%E -5.54%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.89%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.40%EV -5.50%E -3.96%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -10.10%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -6.63%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
| Betsson | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.40%EV -5.50%E -3.96%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -10.10%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -6.63%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.10%EV -6.18%E -4.48%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.77%EV -11.93%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -8.61%E -1.87%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -0.666%E -0.133%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -4.64%E -0.967%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.63%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.63%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Unibet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -3.46%E -2.44%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:48 |
| LeoVegas | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -3.46%E -2.44%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -3.46%E -2.44%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -3.46%E -2.44%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| betPARX | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%EV -6.18%E -4.48%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.35%EV -6.86%E -5.01%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -12.59%E -2.86%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.35%EV -6.86%E -5.01%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -12.59%E -2.86%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -7.54%E -5.54%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -10.60%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 12:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 67.85%EV -12.98%E -10.14%K -46.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.41%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.74%EV -12.59%E -2.86%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 68.59%EV -17.06%E -13.98%K -77.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 11.95%EV -14.96%E -2.14%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.46%EV -14.57%E -3.39%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-03-21 14:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.10%EV -10.94%E -8.35%K -35.29%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 12.93%EV -17.39%E -2.56%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -12.59%E -2.86%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -18.00%E -2.67%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -4.64%E -0.967%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.14%EV -4.14%E -2.94%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.02%EV -19.21%E -2.89%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -6.63%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.91% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.22% | 0.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.91% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.22% | 0.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Matchbook | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.91% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.22% | 0.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.06% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.06% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Kalshi | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.88% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |