L’École des cotes

Falkirk F.C. v St Mirren

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Falkirk F.C. (Local)

Prévision 53.64%1.86cote équitable
EV -0.763%
Avantage -0.413%
Kelly -0.898%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.25%53.57%53.58%55.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.751.751.8564.10%57.17%57.14%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

St Mirren (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.70%4.83cote équitable
EV -0.005%
Avantage -0.001%
Kelly -0.001%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.80%20.76%20.73%22.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.404.474.8324.39%22.72%22.35%20.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.66%3.90cote équitable
EV -2.25%
Avantage -0.591%
Kelly -0.802%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.51%25.67%25.68%26.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.603.603.8130.77%27.74%27.78%26.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.49%EV -0.763%E -0.413%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%EV -12.01%E -2.83%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 14:35
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.49%EV -0.763%E -0.413%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%EV -12.01%E -2.83%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 14:34
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.00%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -13.05%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 14:34
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.00%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -13.05%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 14:34
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.00%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -13.05%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 14:34
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.00%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -13.05%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 14:34
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 51.25%EV -2.91%E -1.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -15.12%E -3.69%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -8.92%E -2.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 14:40
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 51.25%EV -2.91%E -1.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -15.12%E -3.69%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -8.92%E -2.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 14:35
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.25%EV -2.91%E -1.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -15.12%E -3.69%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -8.92%E -2.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 14:34
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 51.25%EV -2.91%E -1.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -15.12%E -3.69%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -8.92%E -2.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 14:34
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 51.39%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -15.12%E -3.69%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.92%E -2.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 14:34
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.92%EV -3.98%E -2.22%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.75%EV -3.73%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.33%EV -2.25%E -0.591%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -3.98%E -2.22%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -15.12%E -3.69%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:35
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.91%EV -4.52%E -2.54%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.87%EV -0.005%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.22%EV -6.10%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 14:49
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.64%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -1.66%E -0.350%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 08:25
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.43%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 08:49
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.43%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 08:23
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -15.12%E -3.69%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 14:35
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -15.12%E -3.69%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 14:34
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -2.70%E -0.574%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:09
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -2.70%E -0.574%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:10
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -4.77%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 09:10
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 09:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 09:09
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:39
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 08:49
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:24
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.66%E -3.83%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 09:10
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.66%E -3.83%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 12:00
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.77%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 14:09
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -3.79%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 14:44
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 12:05
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -8.91%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:45
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -8.91%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:44
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -8.91%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:44
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -8.91%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:45
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -13.05%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 08:04
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.20%EV -7.74%E -4.50%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.05%EV -3.73%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -7.13%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:44
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.74%E -4.50%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -7.87%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 14:45
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.74%E -4.50%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -7.87%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 14:44
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.00%EV -7.74%E -4.50%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -4.77%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 08:25
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.70%EV -7.74%E -4.50%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -8.91%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:44
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -7.74%E -4.50%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -10.98%E -2.55%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:24
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -2.51%E -0.660%K -0.896%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 08:25
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 14:47
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 14:49
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 13:54
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.06%EV -9.35%E -5.53%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -2.70%E -0.574%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 08:23
Parions Sport (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.68%EV -12.56%E -7.71%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.59%EV -12.01%E -2.83%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -12.77%E -3.76%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-21 14:34
NetBet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.01%EV -14.17%E -8.86%K -23.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.57%EV -13.05%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.42%EV -12.77%E -3.76%K -5.32%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-21 14:54
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 53.75%EV -16.32%E -10.46%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.45%EV -15.12%E -3.69%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.80%EV -16.62%E -5.11%K -7.39%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-21 14:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.84%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.59%0.2%2026-03-21 14:54
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 54.62%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%0.6%2026-03-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.62%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%0.6%2026-03-21 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.62%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%0.6%2026-03-21 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.62%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%0.6%2026-03-21 14:45
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.64%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.8%2026-03-21 14:10