La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Falkirk F.C. v St Mirren
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Falkirk F.C. (Local)
Predicción 53.64%1.86momio equitativo
EV -0.763%
Ventaja -0.413%
Kelly -0.898%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.25%53.57%53.58%55.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.751.751.8564.10%57.17%57.14%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
St Mirren (Visitante)
Predicción 20.70%4.83momio equitativo
EV -0.005%
Ventaja -0.001%
Kelly -0.001%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.80%20.76%20.73%22.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.404.474.8324.39%22.72%22.35%20.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.66%3.90momio equitativo
EV -2.25%
Ventaja -0.591%
Kelly -0.802%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.51%25.67%25.68%26.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.603.603.8130.77%27.74%27.78%26.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.49%EV -0.763%E -0.413%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%EV -12.01%E -2.83%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.49%EV -0.763%E -0.413%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%EV -12.01%E -2.83%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Unibet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.00%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -13.05%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.00%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -13.05%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.00%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -13.05%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.00%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -13.05%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.25%EV -2.91%E -1.61%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -15.12%E -3.69%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -8.92%E -2.51%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Casumo | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.25%EV -2.91%E -1.61%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -15.12%E -3.69%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -8.92%E -2.51%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.25%EV -2.91%E -1.61%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -15.12%E -3.69%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -8.92%E -2.51%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| betPARX | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.25%EV -2.91%E -1.61%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -15.12%E -3.69%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -8.92%E -2.51%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.39%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -15.12%E -3.69%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.92%E -2.51%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.92%EV -3.98%E -2.22%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.75%EV -3.73%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.33%EV -2.25%E -0.591%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -3.98%E -2.22%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -15.12%E -3.69%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.91%EV -4.52%E -2.54%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.87%EV -0.005%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.22%EV -6.10%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.64%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -1.66%E -0.350%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 08:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.43%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 08:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.43%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 08:23 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -15.12%E -3.69%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -15.12%E -3.69%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -2.70%E -0.574%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 14:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -2.70%E -0.574%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 14:10 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -4.77%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 09:10 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 09:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 09:09 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 08:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.66%E -3.83%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 09:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.66%E -3.83%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 12:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.77%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 14:09 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -3.79%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 12:05 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -8.91%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -8.91%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -8.91%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -8.91%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -13.05%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 08:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.20%EV -7.74%E -4.50%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.05%EV -3.73%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -7.13%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.74%E -4.50%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -7.87%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.74%E -4.50%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -7.87%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.00%EV -7.74%E -4.50%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -4.77%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 08:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.70%EV -7.74%E -4.50%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -8.91%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -7.74%E -4.50%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -10.98%E -2.55%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -2.51%E -0.660%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 08:25 |
| Bovada | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 14:47 |
| BetUS | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -6.84%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.06%EV -9.35%E -5.53%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -2.70%E -0.574%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 08:23 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.68%EV -12.56%E -7.71%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.59%EV -12.01%E -2.83%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -12.77%E -3.76%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.01%EV -14.17%E -8.86%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.57%EV -13.05%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.42%EV -12.77%E -3.76%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 53.75%EV -16.32%E -10.46%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.45%EV -15.12%E -3.69%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.80%EV -16.62%E -5.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-03-21 14:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.84% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.59% | 0.2% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.62% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.62% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.62% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.62% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.86% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.64% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 14:10 |