Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Falkirk F.C. v Rangers

Início: 2026-09-02 19:01 UTC

Final: Falkirk F.C. 1–2 Rangers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Falkirk F.C. (Local)

Previsão 16.27%6.15odd justa
EV +5.74%
Vantagem +0.883%
Kelly +1.04%
Crescimento +0.060%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.17%16.14%16.36%18.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.805.565.506.5020.83%17.98%18.18%15.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rangers (Visitante)

Previsão 62.35%1.60odd justa
EV -2.10%
Vantagem -1.34%
Kelly -3.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.85%62.41%62.26%64.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.421.501.501.5770.42%66.45%66.67%63.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.38%4.68odd justa
EV -1.02%
Vantagem -0.220%
Kelly -0.281%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.51%21.45%21.37%22.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.904.274.304.6325.64%23.40%23.26%21.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Falkirk F.C. (Local): 16.27%; Rangers (Visitante): 62.35%; Empate: 21.38%. Para Falkirk F.C. (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.15. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.74%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +5.74%E +0.883%K +1.04%G +0.060%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -9.59%E -6.61%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 18:53
Tipico (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV +5.74%E +0.883%K +1.04%G +0.060%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.88%EV -11.46%E -8.07%K -27.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 18:50
Pinnacle🎯6.44I 15.53%NM 14.96%EV +4.76%E +0.739%K +0.875%G +0.042%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.23%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.81%EV -1.02%E -0.220%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 18:50
1xBet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.99%EV +4.11%E +0.642%K +0.761%G +0.031%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.97%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.04%EV -2.52%E -0.552%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 18:55
SportsBet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV +1.67%E +0.267%K +0.318%G +0.005%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.72%EV -8.34%E -5.67%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯6.05I 16.53%NM 15.42%EV -1.58%E -0.262%K -0.314%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.03%EV -7.71%E -5.21%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -7.43%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 18:50
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.479%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.31%EV -7.09%E -4.76%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -3.80%E -0.844%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 18:40
Bet Victor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.479%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 19:00
betano_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.479%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 19:00
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.479%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -10.21%E -7.09%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -3.80%E -0.844%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 18:55
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.479%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -10.21%E -7.09%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -7.43%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 18:55
Betsson🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -4.02%E -0.682%K -0.821%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -13.42%E -3.31%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 18:45
NordicBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -4.02%E -0.682%K -0.821%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -13.42%E -3.31%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 18:45
Coolbet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -6.46%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -4.60%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.80%E -0.844%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -6.46%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.42%EV -5.22%E -3.43%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -3.80%E -0.844%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.46%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.12%EV -5.22%E -3.43%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 18:50
Fanatics🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -6.46%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.66%EV -4.60%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -8.07%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.46%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.80%E -0.844%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 18:45
Betway🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.46%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.80%E -0.844%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 18:45
PlayUp🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -6.46%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -12.35%E -3.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 18:50
Bovada🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -6.46%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.91%EV -8.96%E -6.14%K -19.48%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.01%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 18:57
BetUS🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -6.46%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.91%EV -8.96%E -6.14%K -19.48%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.01%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 18:59
BetOnline.ag🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -8.90%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -4.60%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -8.07%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -8.90%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -4.60%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -8.07%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 18:50
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -10.53%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -4.60%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.80%E -0.844%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 18:50
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -10.53%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -4.60%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.80%E -0.844%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -10.53%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -4.60%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -10.53%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -4.60%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 18:45
Neds🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -10.53%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -4.60%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 18:45
BetMGM🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -10.53%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -4.60%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -7.43%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 18:45
Bet Right🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.53%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -5.84%E -3.87%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 18:50
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.53%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.21%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 18:40
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.53%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.21%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.53%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.21%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.53%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.21%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 18:40
LeoVegas🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -10.53%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.83%EV -8.34%E -5.67%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.21%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 19:00
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -10.53%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -10.21%E -7.09%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -7.43%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-02 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -10.53%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.63%EV -10.21%E -7.09%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -8.07%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-02 18:45
Codere (IT)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -12.16%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -8.34%E -5.67%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -10.21%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 18:50
NetBet (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.41%EV -12.16%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.97%EV -10.83%E -7.58%K -25.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -12.35%E -3.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-02 18:58
ATG (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -15.41%E -2.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -2.10%E -1.34%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -10.21%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 19:00
Svenska Spel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -15.41%E -2.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -2.10%E -1.34%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -10.21%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 19:00
Unibet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -18.66%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -12.35%E -3.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 19:00
TABtouch🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -18.66%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -12.35%E -3.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 19:00
Casumo🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -18.66%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -12.35%E -3.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 19:00
Grosvenor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -18.66%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -12.35%E -3.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 19:00
Unibet (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -18.66%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -12.35%E -3.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 19:00
Unibet (NL)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -18.66%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -12.35%E -3.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 19:00
betPARX🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -18.66%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -12.35%E -3.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 19:00
PMU (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -20.29%E -4.14%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.85%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -14.49%E -3.62%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 19:00
BetRivers🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -20.29%E -4.14%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.32%EV -5.84%E -3.87%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.49%E -3.62%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-02 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -21.92%E -4.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.93%EV -5.84%E -3.87%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.53%EV -15.56%E -3.94%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 19:00
Virgin Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -21.92%E -4.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -16.63%E -4.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-02 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -21.92%E -4.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -16.63%E -4.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-02 19:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.61%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-09-02 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.61%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-09-02 18:50
Smarkets◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-09-02 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-09-02 19:00
Matchbook◎7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.94%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%1.1%2026-09-02 19:00
Kalshi◎6.67I 14.99%NM 14.73%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.64%1.8%2026-09-02 19:00