Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Falkirk F.C. v Rangers

Inicio: 2026-09-02 19:01 UTC

Final: Falkirk F.C. 1–2 Rangers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Falkirk F.C. (Local)

Predicción 16.27%6.15momio equitativo
EV +5.74%
Ventaja +0.883%
Kelly +1.04%
Crecimiento +0.060%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.17%16.14%16.36%18.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.805.565.506.5020.83%17.98%18.18%15.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rangers (Visitante)

Predicción 62.35%1.60momio equitativo
EV -2.10%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -3.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.85%62.41%62.26%64.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.501.501.5770.42%66.45%66.67%63.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 21.38%4.68momio equitativo
EV -1.02%
Ventaja -0.220%
Kelly -0.281%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.51%21.45%21.37%22.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.904.274.304.6325.64%23.40%23.26%21.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Falkirk F.C. (Local): 16.27%; Rangers (Visitante): 62.35%; Empate: 21.38%. Para Falkirk F.C. (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.15. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.74%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
FanDuel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +5.74%E +0.883%K +1.04%G +0.060%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -9.59%E -6.61%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 18:53
Tipico (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV +5.74%E +0.883%K +1.04%G +0.060%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.88%EV -11.46%E -8.07%K -27.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 18:50
Pinnacle🎯6.44I 15.53%NM 14.96%EV +4.76%E +0.739%K +0.875%G +0.042%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.23%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.81%EV -1.02%E -0.220%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 18:50
1xBet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.99%EV +4.11%E +0.642%K +0.761%G +0.031%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.97%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.04%EV -2.52%E -0.552%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 18:55
SportsBet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV +1.67%E +0.267%K +0.318%G +0.005%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.72%EV -8.34%E -5.67%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯6.05I 16.53%NM 15.42%EV -1.58%E -0.262%K -0.314%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.03%EV -7.71%E -5.21%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -7.43%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 18:50
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.479%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.31%EV -7.09%E -4.76%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -3.80%E -0.844%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 18:40
Bet Victor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.479%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 19:00
betano_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.479%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 19:00
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.479%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -10.21%E -7.09%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -3.80%E -0.844%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 18:55
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -2.40%E -0.400%K -0.479%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -10.21%E -7.09%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -7.43%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 18:55
Betsson🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -4.02%E -0.682%K -0.821%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -13.42%E -3.31%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 18:45
NordicBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -4.02%E -0.682%K -0.821%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -13.42%E -3.31%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 18:45
Coolbet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -6.46%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -4.60%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.80%E -0.844%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -6.46%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.42%EV -5.22%E -3.43%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -3.80%E -0.844%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.46%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.12%EV -5.22%E -3.43%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 18:50
Fanatics🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -6.46%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.66%EV -4.60%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -8.07%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.46%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.80%E -0.844%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 18:45
Betway🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.46%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.80%E -0.844%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 18:45
PlayUp🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -6.46%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -12.35%E -3.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 18:50
Bovada🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -6.46%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.91%EV -8.96%E -6.14%K -19.48%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.01%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 18:57
BetUS🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -6.46%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.91%EV -8.96%E -6.14%K -19.48%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.01%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 18:59
BetOnline.ag🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -8.90%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -4.60%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -8.07%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -8.90%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -4.60%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -8.07%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 18:50
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -10.53%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -4.60%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.80%E -0.844%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 18:50
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -10.53%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -4.60%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.80%E -0.844%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -10.53%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -4.60%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -10.53%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -4.60%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 18:45
Neds🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -10.53%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -4.60%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 18:45
BetMGM🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -10.53%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -4.60%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -7.43%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 18:45
Bet Right🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.53%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -5.84%E -3.87%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 18:50
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.53%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.21%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 18:40
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.53%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.21%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.53%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.21%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.53%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.21%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 18:40
LeoVegas🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -10.53%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.83%EV -8.34%E -5.67%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.21%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 19:00
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -10.53%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -10.21%E -7.09%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -7.43%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-02 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -10.53%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.63%EV -10.21%E -7.09%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -8.07%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-02 18:45
Codere (IT)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -12.16%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -8.34%E -5.67%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -10.21%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 18:50
NetBet (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.41%EV -12.16%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.97%EV -10.83%E -7.58%K -25.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -12.35%E -3.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-02 18:58
ATG (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -15.41%E -2.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -2.10%E -1.34%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -10.21%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 19:00
Svenska Spel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -15.41%E -2.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -2.10%E -1.34%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -10.21%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 19:00
Unibet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -18.66%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -12.35%E -3.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 19:00
TABtouch🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -18.66%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -12.35%E -3.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 19:00
Casumo🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -18.66%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -12.35%E -3.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 19:00
Grosvenor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -18.66%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -12.35%E -3.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 19:00
Unibet (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -18.66%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -12.35%E -3.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 19:00
Unibet (NL)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -18.66%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -12.35%E -3.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 19:00
betPARX🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -18.66%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -12.35%E -3.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 19:00
PMU (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -20.29%E -4.14%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.85%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -14.49%E -3.62%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 19:00
BetRivers🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -20.29%E -4.14%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.32%EV -5.84%E -3.87%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.49%E -3.62%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-02 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -21.92%E -4.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.93%EV -5.84%E -3.87%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.53%EV -15.56%E -3.94%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 19:00
Virgin Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -21.92%E -4.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -16.63%E -4.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-02 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -21.92%E -4.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -16.63%E -4.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-02 19:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.61%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-09-02 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.61%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-09-02 18:50
Smarkets◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-09-02 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-09-02 19:00
Matchbook◎7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.94%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%1.1%2026-09-02 19:00
Kalshi◎6.67I 14.99%NM 14.73%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.64%1.8%2026-09-02 19:00