默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Falkirk F.C. v Hearts

开赛时间: 2026-09-15 18:45 UTC

最终结果: Falkirk F.C. 2–1 Hearts

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

53 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Falkirk F.C. (主队)

预测 25.15%3.98公平赔率
EV +0.078%
优势 +0.019%
Kelly +0.026%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.98

博彩公司预测分布
23.53%25.13%25.09%26.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.683.703.9829.41%27.14%27.03%25.13%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hearts (客队)

预测 49.06%2.04公平赔率
EV -1.89%
优势 -0.943%
Kelly -1.89%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.00

博彩公司预测分布
46.92%48.99%49.17%50.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.771.891.902.0056.50%52.85%52.63%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.80%3.88公平赔率
EV -1.97%
优势 -0.518%
Kelly -0.702%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.80

博彩公司预测分布
23.94%25.88%25.74%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.603.603.8029.41%27.78%27.78%26.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Falkirk F.C. (主队):25.15%;Hearts (客队):49.06%;平局:25.80%。 对于“Falkirk F.C. (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.977。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.980,对应+0.078%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 24.25%EV +0.078%E +0.019%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.01%EV -5.32%E -2.76%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -3.26%E -0.868%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-15 18:41
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -1.93%E -0.496%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 18:28
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -1.93%E -0.496%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -11.70%E -6.50%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 18:30
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.45%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 18:21
Svenska Spel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.45%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -7.77%E -4.13%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.45%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -7.77%E -4.13%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 18:20
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -4.45%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -6.79%E -3.57%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 18:30
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -4.45%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -6.79%E -3.57%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 18:26
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.28%EV -5.32%E -2.76%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -3.26%E -0.868%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 18:35
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -3.26%E -0.868%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -5.32%E -2.76%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -5.32%E -2.76%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 18:35
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.50%EV -6.79%E -3.57%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 18:35
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -8.26%E -4.42%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -1.97%E -0.518%K -0.702%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 18:25
BetUS🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -8.26%E -4.42%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -8.26%E -4.42%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 24.85%EV -5.96%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.18%EV -7.28%E -3.85%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.96%EV -7.64%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-15 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.26%E -0.868%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.50%EV -6.79%E -3.57%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.26%E -0.868%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 18:35
Bet Victor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 18:38
DraftKings🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 18:16
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.81%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -11.00%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-15 18:35
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.81%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -11.00%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-15 18:36
PlayUp🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -6.79%E -3.57%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-15 18:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 18:21
888sport (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 18:20
888sport🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 18:21
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.25%E -5.00%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.25%E -5.00%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:20
TABtouch🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.25%E -5.00%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:20
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.25%E -5.00%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:20
Grosvenor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.25%E -5.00%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:21
Unibet (NL)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.25%E -5.00%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:20
William Hill🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -9.25%E -5.00%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-15 18:25
LeoVegas🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -8.22%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.51%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 18:35
PMU (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.22%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -10.23%E -5.59%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 18:20
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.89%E -0.943%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -5.32%E -2.76%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 18:20
Bet Right🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -6.79%E -3.57%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:35
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 18:16
betPARX🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.25%E -5.00%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:44
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.23%E -5.59%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-15 18:25
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.37%EV -10.72%E -5.89%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.51%EV -11.21%E -6.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-15 18:20
1xBet🎯3.57I 28.01%NM 25.21%EV -10.23%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.85%EV -13.17%E -7.44%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 23.94%EV -3.00%E -0.798%K -1.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 18:40
NetBet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -10.73%E -3.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.01%EV -10.72%E -5.89%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -11.00%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-15 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -1.89%E -0.943%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -1.89%E -0.943%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 14:50
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -1.89%E -0.943%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 14:50
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -2.87%E -1.45%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-15 14:49
Codere (IT)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -7.77%E -4.13%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-15 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -10.23%E -5.59%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-15 18:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%0.5%2026-09-15 18:36
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%0.5%2026-09-15 18:35
Smarkets◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-09-15 18:41
Matchbook◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-09-15 18:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-09-15 18:41
Kalshi◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%2.0%2026-09-15 18:41