Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Falkirk F.C. v Dundee FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC

Final: Falkirk F.C. 1–2 Dundee FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Falkirk F.C. (Local)

Prediction 45.99%2.17fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -3.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.69%45.92%45.93%47.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.012.002.1053.19%49.72%49.88%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dundee FC (Visit)

Prediction 27.42%3.65fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.361%
Kelly -0.500%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.24%27.39%27.51%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.353.353.6032.79%29.82%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.59%3.76fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.70%26.69%26.56%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.483.503.6030.77%28.77%28.57%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Falkirk F.C. (Local): 45.99%; Dundee FC (Visit): 27.42%; Draw: 26.59%. For Dundee FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -1.30%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.52%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-05 14:05
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -4.34%E -2.09%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -6.78%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 16:44
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -4.34%E -2.09%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -9.52%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-05 14:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.78%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-22 16:45
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.78%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-22 16:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.78%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-22 16:44
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.78%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 08:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.52%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-29 08:10
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.52%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-29 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.52%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-29 12:00
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.52%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-29 08:39
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.78%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-21 08:34
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.78%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-21 08:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.78%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-21 08:33
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.78%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-21 08:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.69%EV -6.18%E -3.03%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -12.27%E -3.83%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-22 08:10
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.89%EV -6.64%E -3.27%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -1.30%E -0.361%K -0.500%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.66%EV -5.06%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 08:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.78%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -5.59%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-01 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.78%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -5.59%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-01 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.78%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -5.59%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-01 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.78%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -5.59%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-01 14:10
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -5.41%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-02 05:30
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -5.41%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-02 05:30
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.47%EV -7.56%E -3.76%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.04%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.84%EV -7.45%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-30 12:39
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.04%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-21 08:19
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.52%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-03 18:00
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.78%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-21 14:34
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.78%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-03 18:01
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.04%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-05 12:35
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.52%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-01 14:10
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.52%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-01 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.52%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-01 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.52%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-01 14:10
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.52%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-01 14:14
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.52%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-01 14:20
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.52%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-01 17:20
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.52%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-04 01:43
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.52%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-04 02:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.72%EV -8.48%E -4.26%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -4.04%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.72%EV -7.45%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-30 12:35
Bovada🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -8.94%E -4.52%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -5.41%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.25%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-27 08:00
BetUS🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -8.94%E -4.52%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -5.41%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.25%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-30 00:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -9.86%E -5.03%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-01 14:10
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.32%E -5.29%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.52%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-05 08:45
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -10.32%E -5.29%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-01 17:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.32%E -5.29%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.81%EV -12.27%E -3.83%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -10.91%E -3.26%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-04 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.94%EV -10.78%E -5.56%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.27%E -3.83%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-01 14:10
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -12.16%E -6.37%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.52%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-02 06:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.56%EV -13.54%E -7.20%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.08%EV -16.38%E -5.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.36%EV -13.57%E -4.18%K -6.03%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-04 14:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 46.67%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.67%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.67%5.0%2026-10-03 05:50
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%12.6%2026-10-03 14:10