The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Falkirk F.C. v Celtic

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 13:00 UTC

Final: Falkirk F.C. 2–0 Celtic

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Falkirk F.C. (Local)

Prediction 15.24%6.56fair odd
EV +14.29%
Edge +1.90%
Kelly +2.20%
Growth +0.314%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.02%15.22%15.52%17.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.206.206.137.5019.23%16.14%16.33%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Celtic (Visit)

Prediction 65.28%1.53fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -7.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.46%65.31%65.04%67.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.421.421.4875.76%70.47%70.42%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.48%5.13fair odd
EV +9.47%
Edge +1.69%
Kelly +2.05%
Growth +0.194%

assuming max odds 5.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.11%19.47%19.44%20.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.754.755.6222.73%21.06%21.05%17.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Falkirk F.C. (Local): 15.24%; Celtic (Visit): 65.28%; Draw: 19.48%. For Falkirk F.C. (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.56. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 13.02%EV +14.29%E +1.90%K +2.20%G +0.314%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.83%EV -5.99%E -4.16%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.15%EV -0.657%E -0.129%K -0.160%G +0.000%2.4%2026-11-01 12:55
ATG (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 13.02%EV +14.29%E +1.90%K +2.20%G +0.314%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.83%EV -5.99%E -4.16%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.15%EV -0.657%E -0.129%K -0.160%G +0.000%2.4%2026-11-01 12:55
Coolbet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.08%EV +2.86%E +0.423%K +0.497%G +0.014%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.92%EV -7.30%E -5.14%K -17.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -2.60%E -0.521%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-01 12:35
Virgin Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV +2.86%E +0.423%K +0.497%G +0.014%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.41%EV -7.95%E -5.64%K -19.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 12:55
LiveScore Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV +2.86%E +0.423%K +0.497%G +0.014%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.41%EV -7.95%E -5.64%K -19.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 12:55
Pinnacle🎯6.65I 15.04%NM 14.56%EV +1.33%E +0.201%K +0.236%G +0.003%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.85%EV -4.03%E -2.74%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 19.59%EV -3.77%E -0.764%K -0.958%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-01 12:55
betano_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -0.951%E -0.146%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -5.99%E -4.16%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -6.50%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 12:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -0.951%E -0.146%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -7.30%E -5.14%K -17.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -2.60%E -0.521%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 12:35
Bet Victor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -0.951%E -0.146%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -5.99%E -4.16%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-01 12:45
Betr (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.48%EV -0.951%E -0.146%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.30%EV -7.30%E -5.14%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -4.55%E -0.929%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 12:35
Bet Right🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -0.951%E -0.146%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -7.95%E -5.64%K -19.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 12:35
SportsBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -0.951%E -0.146%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.78%EV -9.26%E -6.66%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -4.55%E -0.929%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 12:50
FanDuel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -0.951%E -0.146%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.94%EV -9.91%E -7.18%K -26.08%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.85%EV -4.55%E -0.929%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 12:33
Tipico (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -0.951%E -0.146%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -11.87%E -8.79%K -33.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -4.55%E -0.929%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-01 12:55
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -0.951%E -0.146%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -11.22%E -8.25%K -31.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-01 12:50
Unibet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42%EV -2.48%E -0.387%K -0.458%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -8.60%E -6.15%K -21.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -8.45%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 12:55
Unibet (NL)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42%EV -2.48%E -0.387%K -0.458%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -8.60%E -6.15%K -21.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -8.45%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 12:55
Unibet (SE)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42%EV -2.48%E -0.387%K -0.458%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -8.60%E -6.15%K -21.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -8.45%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 12:55
Casumo🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42%EV -2.48%E -0.387%K -0.458%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -8.60%E -6.15%K -21.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -8.45%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 12:55
TABtouch🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42%EV -2.48%E -0.387%K -0.458%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -8.60%E -6.15%K -21.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -8.45%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 12:55
Grosvenor🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42%EV -2.48%E -0.387%K -0.458%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -8.60%E -6.15%K -21.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -8.45%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 12:55
betPARX🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42%EV -2.48%E -0.387%K -0.458%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -8.60%E -6.15%K -21.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -8.45%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 12:55
Betsson🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 14.66%EV -4.00%E -0.635%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.04%EV -7.30%E -5.14%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.30%EV -11.37%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 11:50
NordicBet🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 14.66%EV -4.00%E -0.635%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.04%EV -7.30%E -5.14%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.30%EV -11.37%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 11:50
BetRivers🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -9.91%E -7.18%K -26.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-01 12:35
PMU (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.80%EV -11.22%E -8.25%K -31.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -4.76%E -0.762%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.80%EV -11.22%E -8.25%K -31.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 12:55
Coral🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -3.38%E -2.28%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -6.50%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 12:20
Unibet (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.29%EV -5.34%E -3.68%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -2.60%E -0.521%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-01 11:20
LeoVegas🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -5.99%E -4.16%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -2.60%E -0.521%K -0.651%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-01 11:20
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -5.34%E -3.68%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -6.50%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 12:34
Fanatics🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.30%E -5.14%K -17.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -2.60%E -0.521%K -0.651%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 11:55
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.99%E -4.16%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 12:35
BetOnline.ag🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.67%EV -5.99%E -4.16%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -8.45%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 12:20
LowVig.ag🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.67%EV -5.99%E -4.16%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -8.45%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 12:20
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -8.60%E -6.15%K -21.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -2.60%E -0.521%K -0.651%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-01 11:40
PlayUp🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -7.30%E -5.14%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-01 11:50
BetUS🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -6.65%E -4.65%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -10.40%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 12:55
Bovada🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -6.65%E -4.65%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -10.40%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 12:49
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -5.99%E -4.16%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -14.29%E -3.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 12:35
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -5.99%E -4.16%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -14.29%E -3.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 12:35
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -5.99%E -4.16%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -14.29%E -3.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 12:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -5.99%E -4.16%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -14.29%E -3.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 12:35
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -8.60%E -6.15%K -21.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.40%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 12:35
Marathon Bet🎯5.95I 16.81%NM 15.62%EV -9.33%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.01%EV -6.65%E -4.65%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -6.50%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -3.38%E -2.28%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -6.50%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 12:20
BetMGM🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -5.34%E -3.68%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -6.50%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 12:19
1xBet🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 17.02%EV -13.90%E -2.46%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.87%EV -4.69%E -3.21%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 17.11%EV +9.47%E +1.69%K +2.05%G +0.194%4.0%2026-11-01 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -14.67%E -2.62%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -3.38%E -2.28%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 12:20
Neds🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -14.67%E -2.62%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -3.38%E -2.28%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 12:20
Codere (IT)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -14.67%E -2.62%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.28%EV -7.30%E -5.14%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -8.45%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-01 10:09
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -16.19%E -2.94%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -8.60%E -6.15%K -21.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 11:05
NetBet (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.35%EV -17.71%E -3.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 64.45%EV -10.56%E -7.71%K -28.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -10.40%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%13.3%2026-11-01 10:05
Unibet (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 16.34%EV -20.76%E -3.99%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 64.36%EV -13.83%E -10.47%K -43.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.31%EV -14.29%E -3.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%17.7%2026-11-01 12:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.40I 13.51%NM 13.46%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.75%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79%0.4%2026-11-01 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.40I 13.51%NM 13.46%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.75%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79%0.4%2026-11-01 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.40I 13.51%NM 13.46%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.75%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79%0.4%2026-11-01 12:55
Matchbook◎7.40I 13.51%NM 13.46%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.75%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79%0.4%2026-11-01 12:55
Smarkets◎7.40I 13.51%NM 13.41%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.51%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-11-01 12:55
Kalshi◎6.67I 14.99%NM 14.69%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.63%2.0%2026-11-01 12:20

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