Language:English
Dundee United v St Mirren
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dundee United (Local)
Prediction 37.30%2.68fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -0.719%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.11%37.34%37.31%38.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.472.502.6344.44%40.55%40.00%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St Mirren (Visit)
Prediction 32.50%3.08fair odd
EV +0.114%
Edge +0.037%
Kelly +0.055%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.22%32.51%32.46%33.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.862.873.0838.46%34.97%34.84%32.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.19%3.31fair odd
EV -0.368%
Edge -0.112%
Kelly -0.160%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.84%30.14%30.23%31.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.123.133.3037.04%32.05%32.00%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dundee United (Local): 37.30%; St Mirren (Visit): 32.50%; Draw: 30.19%. For St Mirren (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.076. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.080, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.114%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -4.50%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV +0.114%E +0.037%K +0.055%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -7.01%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -4.50%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV +0.114%E +0.037%K +0.055%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -7.01%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 18:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.79%EV -1.89%E -0.719%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.58%EV -3.46%E -1.17%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.62%EV -4.60%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -4.11%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -0.368%E -0.112%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -4.11%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -0.368%E -0.112%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -4.87%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -4.11%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -1.88%E -0.578%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 19:41 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -4.87%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -9.35%E -3.85%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -1.88%E -0.578%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 19:26 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -9.35%E -3.85%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -1.88%E -0.578%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -9.35%E -3.85%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -1.88%E -0.578%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -9.35%E -3.85%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -1.88%E -0.578%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-03 19:41 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.40%EV -4.13%E -1.61%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.38%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.22%EV -0.670%E -0.204%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 19:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-03 19:33 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -5.99%E -2.38%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -5.99%E -2.38%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 19:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-03 19:26 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -6.71%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -1.88%E -0.578%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 18:46 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.18%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.59%EV -6.71%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-03 18:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.21%EV -6.71%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.72%EV -5.25%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.61%EV -7.04%E -2.46%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.68%EV -8.22%E -2.70%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -1.88%E -0.578%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 19:26 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -4.87%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 18:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 18:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 18:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -11.22%E -4.71%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.77%EV -6.37%E -2.54%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-03 19:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-03 19:41 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -12.34%E -5.25%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -12.34%E -5.25%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-03 18:46 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -14.20%E -6.17%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.61%E -3.86%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.06%EV -15.32%E -6.75%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.36%EV -13.21%E -4.95%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.59%EV -11.84%E -4.06%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.05%EV -16.07%E -7.14%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.07%EV -15.49%E -5.96%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.88%EV -18.48%E -6.85%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.19% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.66% | 0.3% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.19% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.66% | 0.3% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.19% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.66% | 0.3% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.19% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.66% | 0.3% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.54% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.97% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 0.9% | 2026-03-03 19:41 |