The School of Odds
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Dundee United v Falkirk F.C.

2026-09-05 14:00 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dundee United (Local)

Prediction 44.19%2.26fair odd
EV -7.20%
Edge -3.43%
Kelly -6.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.19%44.19%44.19%44.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.062.072.1050.00%48.63%48.31%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Falkirk F.C. (Visit)

Prediction 30.05%3.33fair odd
EV -5.34%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -2.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.74%30.05%30.05%30.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.043.053.1533.90%32.90%32.79%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.76%3.88fair odd
EV -5.98%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.66%25.76%25.76%25.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.543.553.6528.99%28.28%28.17%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Dundee United (Local): 44.19%; Falkirk F.C. (Visit): 30.05%; Draw: 25.76%. For Falkirk F.C. (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.33. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.15, with an expected value of -5.34%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.34%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-26 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.34%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-26 18:54
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.21%EV -8.52%E -4.12%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -8.35%E -2.74%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-26 18:55
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.21%EV -8.52%E -4.12%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -8.35%E -2.74%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-26 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.21%EV -8.52%E -4.12%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -8.35%E -2.74%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-26 18:55
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.21%EV -8.52%E -4.12%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -8.35%E -2.74%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-26 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.21%EV -8.52%E -4.12%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -8.35%E -2.74%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-26 18:54
TABtouch🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.21%EV -8.52%E -4.12%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -8.35%E -2.74%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-26 18:54
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.21%EV -8.52%E -4.12%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -8.35%E -2.74%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-26 18:55
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.19%EV -9.85%E -4.83%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-26 18:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.19%EV -9.85%E -4.83%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-26 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.27%EV -10.73%E -5.31%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.92%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-26 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.03%EV -11.35%E -3.85%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-26 14:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.03%EV -11.35%E -3.85%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-26 14:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.