Language:English
Dundee United v Celtic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dundee United (Local)
Prediction 17.04%5.87fair odd
EV +2.24%
Edge +0.373%
Kelly +0.448%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.79%17.16%17.04%19.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.375.506.0021.28%18.62%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Celtic (Visit)
Prediction 62.30%1.61fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -3.83%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.25%62.26%62.21%63.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.501.501.5773.53%66.76%66.67%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.66%4.84fair odd
EV +0.183%
Edge +0.038%
Kelly +0.048%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.54%20.58%20.75%21.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.474.504.8525.00%22.35%22.22%20.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dundee United (Local): 17.04%; Celtic (Visit): 62.30%; Draw: 20.66%. For Dundee United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.87. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV +2.24%E +0.373%K +0.448%G +0.010% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-22 06:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.68%EV -2.02%E -0.352%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -5.92%E -3.92%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.78%EV +0.183%E +0.038%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-22 11:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.68%EV -2.02%E -0.352%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -5.92%E -3.92%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.78%EV +0.183%E +0.038%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-22 11:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -2.02%E -0.352%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -4.67%E -3.06%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 11:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -2.02%E -0.352%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -4.67%E -3.06%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 11:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -2.02%E -0.352%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 11:48 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -2.02%E -0.352%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.27%EV -5.92%E -3.92%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -9.11%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 11:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -2.02%E -0.352%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.27%EV -5.92%E -3.92%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -9.11%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 11:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -2.02%E -0.352%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.27%EV -5.92%E -3.92%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -9.11%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 11:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -2.02%E -0.352%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.27%EV -5.92%E -3.92%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -9.11%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 11:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.67I 17.64%NM 16.98%EV -3.38%E -0.597%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.92%EV -4.67%E -3.06%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.10%EV -1.06%E -0.221%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV -4.58%E -0.817%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.01%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -10.15%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 11:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV -4.58%E -0.817%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.01%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -10.15%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 11:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV -4.58%E -0.817%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.01%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -10.15%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 11:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV -4.58%E -0.817%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.01%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -10.15%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 11:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -4.58%E -0.817%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.17%EV -7.17%E -4.81%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -10.15%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -4.58%E -0.817%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.79%E -5.26%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -11.18%E -2.60%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 11:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -6.28%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -4.67%E -3.06%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -4.98%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 11:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.28%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -1.88%E -0.396%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.28%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -5.30%E -3.49%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 11:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -6.28%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.98%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-22 11:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.28%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 11:48 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.28%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 11:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.28%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 11:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -6.28%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -5.92%E -3.92%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.11%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 11:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.28%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -7.79%E -5.26%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -4.98%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 11:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -6.28%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -8.41%E -5.72%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -9.11%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-22 10:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -6.28%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.15%EV -9.04%E -6.19%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -6.28%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.15%EV -9.04%E -6.19%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 11:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.15%EV -6.96%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.03%EV -5.92%E -3.92%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 11:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -7.13%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.17%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 11:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.20%EV -7.99%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.93%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.87%EV -8.08%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-22 11:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.20%EV -7.99%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.93%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.87%EV -8.08%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-22 11:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -9.69%E -1.83%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.03%EV -7.17%E -4.81%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-22 11:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -9.69%E -1.83%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.03%EV -7.17%E -4.81%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-22 11:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -10.54%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -9.11%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 11:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.56%EV -11.39%E -2.19%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.69%EV -7.79%E -5.26%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -9.11%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-22 11:49 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.35%EV -13.10%E -2.57%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.31%EV -11.53%E -8.12%K -27.45%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -10.15%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-22 11:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -14.80%E -2.96%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.41%EV -2.18%E -1.39%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -4.98%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 11:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -14.80%E -2.96%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -1.88%E -0.396%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -14.80%E -2.96%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-22 11:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -14.80%E -2.96%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.80%E -2.96%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -9.11%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-22 11:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.80%E -2.96%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -9.11%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-22 11:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.80%E -2.96%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -9.11%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-22 11:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.80%E -2.96%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -9.11%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-22 11:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.80%E -2.96%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.28%E -7.14%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-21 23:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.57%EV -16.51%E -3.37%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 61.93%EV -13.40%E -9.64%K -34.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.50%EV -13.24%E -3.15%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-22 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -18.21%E -3.79%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -3.43%E -2.21%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -4.98%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -18.21%E -3.79%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -3.43%E -2.21%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -4.98%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 11:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -18.21%E -3.79%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -3.43%E -2.21%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -4.98%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -18.21%E -3.79%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -4.05%E -2.63%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -4.98%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 17.76%EV -19.91%E -4.24%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 61.37%EV -15.27%E -11.23%K -42.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.87%EV -17.37%E -4.34%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.91% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.14% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.95% | 0.2% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.91% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.14% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.95% | 0.2% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.91% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.14% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.95% | 0.2% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.91% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.14% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.95% | 0.2% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.91% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.14% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.95% | 0.2% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65% | 1.8% | 2026-03-22 10:45 |