The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Dundee United v Aberdeen

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 14:01 UTC

Final: Dundee United 3–2 Aberdeen

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dundee United (Local)

Prediction 47.69%2.10fair odd
EV +0.139%
Edge +0.066%
Kelly +0.126%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.35%47.63%47.64%50.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.961.962.1055.56%50.93%51.02%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Aberdeen (Visit)

Prediction 26.76%3.74fair odd
EV +1.16%
Edge +0.307%
Kelly +0.418%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 3.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.66%26.78%26.82%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.463.503.7832.26%28.93%28.57%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.55%3.91fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -0.625%
Kelly -0.847%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.66%25.59%25.54%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.583.603.8230.77%27.94%27.78%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dundee United (Local): 47.69%; Aberdeen (Visit): 26.76%; Draw: 25.55%. For Aberdeen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.16%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.39%EV +1.16%E +0.307%K +0.418%G +0.005%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.39%EV -3.41%E -0.902%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 13:50
BetUS🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.87%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.80%EV +0.359%E +0.096%K +0.130%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.33%EV -2.39%E -0.625%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-24 13:50
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -8.44%E -4.40%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV +0.359%E +0.096%K +0.130%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.57%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 13:55
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.51%EV -5.11%E -2.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.95%EV -0.444%E -0.119%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.54%EV -3.41%E -0.902%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-24 13:50
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -0.979%E -0.265%K -0.363%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.01%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 13:55
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -0.979%E -0.265%K -0.363%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.57%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -14.17%E -7.87%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -0.979%E -0.265%K -0.363%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -5.46%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.59%EV -10.83%E -5.79%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.62%EV -3.12%E -0.862%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.79%EV -4.43%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 14:00
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.18%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-24 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.46%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.46%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -7.49%E -3.86%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.46%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 13:50
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -7.49%E -3.86%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.46%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 13:50
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.46%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 13:55
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -8.44%E -4.40%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.01%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 13:50
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -8.44%E -4.40%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.01%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 13:50
Bovada🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -9.40%E -4.95%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.01%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 13:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.97%EV +0.139%E +0.066%K +0.126%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.58%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -6.73%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-24 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.97%EV +0.139%E +0.066%K +0.126%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.58%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -6.73%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-24 14:00
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.18%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -5.46%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 13:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -5.46%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 13:49
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.46%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 13:49
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.46%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 13:49
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.46%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 13:54
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.01%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 13:35
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -8.01%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.46%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.46%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 13:50
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -6.73%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 13:50
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 13:31
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 13:31
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 13:31
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -4.18%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.62%EV -2.72%E -1.33%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -10.57%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.62%EV -2.72%E -1.33%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -10.57%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 14:00
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -8.01%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 14:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -11.84%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-24 13:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.82%EV -14.17%E -7.87%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.69%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.49%EV -16.95%E -5.22%K -7.54%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-24 14:00
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -11.84%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -11.84%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -11.84%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 14:00
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -11.84%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -11.84%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -11.84%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 14:00
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -11.84%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 14:00
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.01%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 13:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.11%EV -10.35%E -5.51%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-24 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.50%EV -6.54%E -3.34%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -14.36%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.62%EV -14.40%E -4.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.50%EV -6.54%E -3.34%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -14.36%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.62%EV -14.40%E -4.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 14:00
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.35%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -17.04%E -5.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -14.40%E -4.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-24 13:31
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -17.04%E -5.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -8.01%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 09:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-10-24 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-10-24 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.21%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.56%1.6%2026-10-24 14:00
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-10-24 14:00
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.87%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.06%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.07%2.3%2026-10-24 14:00