A Escola das Oddsodds.school
Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

Dundee FC v Motherwell

Início: 2026-09-19 13:59 UTC

Final: Dundee FC 2–1 Motherwell

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dundee FC (Local)

Previsão 31.39%3.19odd justa
EV +0.437%
Vantagem +0.137%
Kelly +0.199%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.16%31.36%31.38%32.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.802.952.923.2035.71%33.89%34.19%31.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Motherwell (Visitante)

Previsão 41.10%2.43odd justa
EV -3.41%
Vantagem -1.45%
Kelly -2.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.28%41.21%41.04%43.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.262.272.3547.62%44.33%43.96%42.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.51%3.63odd justa
EV -0.959%
Vantagem -0.266%
Kelly -0.369%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.93%27.44%27.57%28.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.383.303.6031.25%29.56%30.30%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Dundee FC (Local): 31.39%; Motherwell (Visitante): 41.10%; Empate: 27.51%. Para Dundee FC (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.19. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.20, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.437%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV +0.437%E +0.137%K +0.199%G +0.001%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -11.63%E -5.41%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-15 19:35
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV +0.437%E +0.137%K +0.199%G +0.001%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -11.63%E -5.41%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-15 19:41
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV +0.437%E +0.137%K +0.199%G +0.001%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -11.63%E -5.41%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-15 19:36
Pinnacle🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.68%EV -1.45%E -0.461%K -0.676%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.99%EV -3.41%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.33%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 14:10
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -2.70%E -0.871%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -13.69%E -6.52%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.71%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 14:05
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -5.09%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 14:00
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -4.64%E -2.00%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:20
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -4.64%E -2.00%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -4.64%E -2.00%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -4.64%E -2.00%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 15:24
BetUS🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -4.64%E -2.00%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 15:25
1xBet🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 30.85%EV -4.90%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.82%EV -5.88%E -2.57%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:13
Marathon Bet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 30.81%EV -5.21%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.99%EV -6.70%E -2.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:19
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -0.959%E -0.266%K -0.369%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 10:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 09:45
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.71%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 09:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -0.959%E -0.266%K -0.369%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 13:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -0.959%E -0.266%K -0.369%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 13:10
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -0.959%E -0.266%K -0.369%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 13:05
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 09:40
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.84%EV -7.11%E -3.15%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 07:08
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -0.959%E -0.266%K -0.369%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 14:30
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.09%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 09:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -4.64%E -2.00%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 10:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -4.64%E -2.00%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 10:10
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -0.959%E -0.266%K -0.369%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 13:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 14:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -0.959%E -0.266%K -0.369%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 13:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -0.959%E -0.266%K -0.369%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 13:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 10:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 10:10
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -6.29%E -2.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 14:19
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-16 07:30
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-16 07:26
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-16 07:26
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-16 07:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -13.69%E -6.52%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-18 14:10
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -9.61%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -0.959%E -0.266%K -0.369%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 13:10
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -9.61%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.28%EV -6.29%E -2.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 10:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -9.61%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.28%EV -6.29%E -2.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 10:10
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -9.61%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.28%EV -6.29%E -2.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 10:10
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -9.61%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.28%EV -6.29%E -2.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 10:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -9.61%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.28%EV -6.29%E -2.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 10:10
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -9.61%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.28%EV -6.29%E -2.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 10:10
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -9.61%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.28%EV -6.29%E -2.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 10:09
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -10.55%E -3.70%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.71%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 13:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.83%EV -10.55%E -3.70%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.68%EV -8.34%E -3.74%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 09:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.55%E -3.70%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-18 10:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.21%EV -10.55%E -3.70%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.99%EV -10.81%E -4.98%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.96%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-18 10:49
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -12.12%E -4.33%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 09:39
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -12.12%E -4.33%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -12.12%E -4.33%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -8.34%E -3.74%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 10:10
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -12.12%E -4.33%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -8.34%E -3.74%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 19:15
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.12%E -4.33%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -11.63%E -5.41%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -9.21%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-16 07:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.0%2026-09-18 15:25
Smarkets◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.04%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54%2.3%2026-09-18 15:25
Matchbook◎3.15I 31.75%NM 30.81%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.47%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%3.1%2026-09-18 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.56%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%4.5%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.56%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%4.5%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%6.6%2026-09-18 15:30