L’École des cotes

Dundee FC v Livingston

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 14:02 UTC

Score final : Dundee FC 3–0 Livingston

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dundee FC (Local)

Prévision 52.60%1.90cote équitable
EV -3.74%
Avantage -2.04%
Kelly -4.51%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.80%52.72%52.58%53.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.631.771.771.8361.35%56.45%56.34%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Livingston (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.25%4.49cote équitable
EV +0.129%
Avantage +0.029%
Kelly +0.037%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.82%22.16%22.25%23.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.164.154.5026.32%24.03%24.10%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.15%3.98cote équitable
EV +1.85%
Avantage +0.457%
Kelly +0.606%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 4.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.67%25.12%25.17%25.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.553.703.704.0528.17%27.00%27.03%24.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.67%EV -4.27%E -2.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.67%EV -9.88%E -2.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.67%EV +1.85%E +0.457%K +0.606%G +0.011%4.3%2026-05-09 13:59
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.57%EV -6.37%E -3.58%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -2.10%E -0.476%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -3.18%E -0.826%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 13:59
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.75%EV -3.74%E -2.04%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.04%EV -2.54%E -0.580%K -0.752%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.21%EV -3.68%E -0.962%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-09 13:59
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.32%E -2.95%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.44%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 13:59
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.32%E -2.95%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.44%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 13:59
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -3.65%E -0.844%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.44%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 13:58
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.44%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 13:59
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -5.32%E -2.95%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV -3.65%E -0.844%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.70%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:00
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -6.90%E -3.90%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV +0.129%E +0.029%K +0.037%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.70%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 13:59
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.12%EV -4.27%E -2.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.70%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 13:59
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.12%EV -4.27%E -2.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.70%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.32%E -2.95%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.70%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 13:59
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -6.37%E -3.58%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.70%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 13:59
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.43%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -5.70%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 13:59
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -9.00%E -5.20%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -5.70%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 13:59
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.32%E -2.95%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.32%E -2.95%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 14:00
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.32%E -2.95%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 14:00
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.32%E -2.95%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 14:00
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.80%EV -4.79%E -2.65%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 13:59
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.80%EV -4.79%E -2.65%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 13:59
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -8.47%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV +0.129%E +0.029%K +0.037%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 13:58
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -6.90%E -3.90%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -5.43%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 13:59
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -6.37%E -3.58%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -7.66%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 13:59
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -6.37%E -3.58%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -7.66%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 14:00
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 52.92%EV -7.42%E -4.22%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -5.43%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 13:59
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -6.37%E -3.58%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 14:00
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -6.37%E -3.58%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 14:00
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -6.37%E -3.58%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -6.37%E -3.58%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 13:59
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -6.37%E -3.58%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 13:59
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -6.37%E -3.58%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 14:00
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.35%EV -6.90%E -3.90%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 13:59
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 13:59
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 13:59
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -5.32%E -2.95%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.21%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 13:59
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 52.60%EV -7.42%E -4.22%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.21%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 13:49
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 52.46%EV -7.42%E -4.22%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -7.66%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.21%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 13:56
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 52.46%EV -7.42%E -4.22%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -7.66%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.21%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -7.42%E -4.22%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -8.21%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 14:00
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 52.89%EV -11.10%E -6.57%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -8.21%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 13:59
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -5.32%E -2.95%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 13:59
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -2.10%E -0.476%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 13:59
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -2.10%E -0.476%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 13:59
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -6.90%E -3.90%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 14:00
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -6.90%E -3.90%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 14:00
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.13%EV -8.47%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 14:00
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.13%EV -8.47%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 13:59
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.13%EV -8.47%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 14:00
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 52.96%EV -14.26%E -8.75%K -22.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -15.45%E -4.06%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.32%EV -10.73%E -3.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-09 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 53.64%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.78%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.58%0.2%2026-05-09 14:00
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.64%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.78%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.58%0.2%2026-05-09 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-05-09 13:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-05-09 13:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-05-09 14:00
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.50%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.75%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-05-09 14:00