The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Dundee FC v Hearts

2026-11-21 17:45 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dundee FC (Local)

Prediction 26.22%3.81fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -0.950%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.40%26.22%26.20%27.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.503.503.6831.75%28.58%28.57%27.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hearts (Visit)

Prediction 49.20%2.03fair odd
EV -4.06%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -4.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.21%49.17%49.22%50.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.891.911.9559.88%53.00%52.36%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.57%4.07fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.426%
Kelly -0.568%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.78%24.61%24.58%25.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.753.754.0029.41%26.64%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Dundee FC (Local): 26.22%; Hearts (Visit): 49.20%; Draw: 24.57%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.07. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.00, with an expected value of -1.70%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 25.92%EV -3.49%E -0.950%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.43%EV -5.04%E -2.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.65%EV -4.90%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-08 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯3.66I 27.32%NM 25.40%EV -4.02%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -8.98%E -4.85%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.34%EV -6.13%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-08 16:29
1xBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.95%EV -7.99%E -4.27%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.45%EV -6.13%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-08 16:30
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -1.70%E -0.426%K -0.568%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 19:20
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -6.90%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -11.53%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-08 17:45
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -6.90%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -11.53%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-08 17:45
Bovada🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -6.90%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-08 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.21%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.16%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-08 19:40
LeoVegas🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -8.21%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -5.39%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-08 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.21%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-08 19:19
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-08 19:20
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-08 19:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-08 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-08 19:24
Unibet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 26.23%EV -17.39%E -5.52%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 49.47%EV -17.83%E -10.68%K -26.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.30%EV -16.45%E -4.84%K -6.85%G +0.000%21.0%2026-11-08 19:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎3.15I 31.75%NM 27.18%1.77I 56.50%NM 48.36%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.46%16.8%2026-11-08 19:20

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