The School of Odds
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Aberdeen v St Johnstone

2026-10-11 13:00 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aberdeen (Local)

Prediction 42.44%2.36fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -0.852%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.97%42.58%41.87%45.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.152.202.3153.48%46.41%45.45%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St Johnstone (Visit)

Prediction 29.45%3.40fair odd
EV -5.75%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -2.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.46%29.41%29.51%30.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.123.193.2033.90%32.09%31.35%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.11%3.56fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.463%
Kelly -0.649%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.31%28.02%28.63%29.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.283.203.5032.26%30.53%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Aberdeen (Local): 42.44%; St Johnstone (Visit): 29.45%; Draw: 28.11%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.50, with an expected value of -1.62%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.25%EV -1.97%E -0.852%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.87%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.24%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-21 08:24
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.34%EV -4.09%E -1.81%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.29%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.38%EV -10.62%E -3.34%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-21 07:49
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.51%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.17%E -3.33%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-21 12:49
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.51%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.17%E -3.33%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-21 12:49
Bovada🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.08%EV -4.94%E -2.20%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -10.17%E -3.33%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-21 10:16
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-21 09:14
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.64%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-21 07:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -13.00%E -6.34%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -1.62%E -0.463%K -0.649%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-21 07:29
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -13.00%E -6.34%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -1.62%E -0.463%K -0.649%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-21 07:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -14.27%E -7.07%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -3.03%E -0.877%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-21 07:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 44.89%EV -20.64%E -11.04%K -23.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.46%EV -13.11%E -4.44%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.65%EV -11.46%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%19.1%2026-09-21 07:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.