Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Aberdeen v Kilmarnock

Inizio: 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

Finale: Aberdeen 0–0 Kilmarnock

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

54 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Aberdeen (Casa)

Previsione 54.62%1.83quota equa
EV -2.78%
Vantaggio -1.56%
Kelly -3.57%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.78

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.19%54.55%54.61%56.66%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.721.731.7861.73%58.23%57.80%56.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Kilmarnock (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.15%4.73quota equa
EV -1.65%
Vantaggio -0.354%
Kelly -0.451%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.89%21.21%21.18%22.61%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.954.304.334.6525.32%23.27%23.09%21.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 24.23%4.13quota equa
EV -3.07%
Vantaggio -0.768%
Kelly -1.02%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.95%24.24%24.21%25.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.793.804.0028.57%26.37%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Aberdeen (Casa): 54.62%; Kilmarnock (Trasferta): 21.15%; Pareggio: 24.23%. Per Kilmarnock (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.73. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 4.65, con un valore atteso del -1.65%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -2.78%E -1.56%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.13%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 04:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -2.78%E -1.56%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.13%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 04:05
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -9.05%E -2.10%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -3.07%E -0.768%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 15:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.49%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 15:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.49%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 15:30
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -13.28%E -3.24%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -11.55%E -3.16%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 04:05
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -13.28%E -3.24%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -11.55%E -3.16%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 04:05
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -13.28%E -3.24%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -11.55%E -3.16%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 04:05
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -13.28%E -3.24%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -11.55%E -3.16%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 04:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -13.28%E -3.24%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -11.55%E -3.16%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 04:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -13.28%E -3.24%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -11.55%E -3.16%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 04:05
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -13.28%E -3.24%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -11.55%E -3.16%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 04:03
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.10%EV -4.97%E -2.85%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.75%EV -2.28%E -0.494%K -0.630%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.15%EV -3.80%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 14:10
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.61%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -6.93%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -4.28%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 14:05
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -3.07%E -0.768%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 11:40
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -3.07%E -0.768%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 02:26
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -3.07%E -0.768%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 02:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -3.07%E -0.768%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 02:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -3.07%E -0.768%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 02:24
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.93%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -7.92%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 11:05
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.93%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -7.92%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 11:04
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.92%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:15
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.49%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 15:59
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -9.13%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 11:50
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -9.13%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 11:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -9.13%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 11:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -9.13%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 11:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -12.76%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 04:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.92%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.92%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 14:05
BetUS🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.92%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 14:15
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -13.98%E -3.94%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 04:05
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.07%E -0.768%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 11:10
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.16%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -4.28%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:00
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.79%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.40%EV -6.95%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 09:00
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -3.07%E -0.768%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 02:25
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -6.93%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.92%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 11:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.23%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.61%EV -16.45%E -4.17%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -13.98%E -3.94%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 04:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.49%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 14:04
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -3.07%E -0.768%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 14:05
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -10.34%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 14:10
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.41%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -1.65%E -0.354%K -0.451%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -12.76%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 09:40
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.41%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -1.65%E -0.354%K -0.451%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -12.76%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 09:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.19%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.46%EV -16.45%E -4.17%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -15.19%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-04 04:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.19%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.46%EV -16.45%E -4.17%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -15.19%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-04 04:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.20%EV -7.70%E -4.56%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.50%EV -3.76%E -0.827%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -6.95%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 09:00
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.68%EV -7.70%E -4.56%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -6.93%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.92%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 14:10
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -8.79%E -5.26%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.93%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.92%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 08:58
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -8.79%E -5.26%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.93%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.92%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 09:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -8.79%E -5.26%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -9.05%E -2.10%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -9.13%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-31 06:15
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -8.79%E -5.26%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.13%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 20:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.46%EV -10.43%E -6.36%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.91%EV -7.99%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.71%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 14:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.51%EV -10.98%E -6.73%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -11.55%E -3.16%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-04 09:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -11.52%E -7.11%K -18.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -3.07%E -0.768%K -1.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 11:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.95%1.8%2026-09-04 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 54.91%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.84%2.3%2026-09-04 12:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 54.91%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.84%2.3%2026-09-04 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 54.91%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.84%2.3%2026-09-04 12:40
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.32%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.31%2.8%2026-09-04 12:15
Matchbook◎1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%2.9%2026-09-04 14:00