L’École des cotes

Zaragoza v Real Racing Club de Santander

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-29 16:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Zaragoza (Local)

Prévision 32.47%3.08cote équitable
EV -1.95%
Avantage -0.647%
Kelly -0.967%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.18%32.41%32.61%33.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.802.803.0238.46%35.74%35.71%33.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Real Racing Club de Santander (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.77%2.65cote équitable
EV -1.43%
Avantage -0.546%
Kelly -0.886%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.53%37.72%37.69%39.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.402.402.6145.45%41.64%41.67%38.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.77%3.36cote équitable
EV -1.77%
Avantage -0.536%
Kelly -0.770%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.50%29.87%29.70%31.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.093.103.3035.71%32.34%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.02I 33.11%NM 31.75%EV -1.95%E -0.647%K -0.967%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.31%EV -2.94%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.93%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 22:50
Pinnacle3.02I 33.11%NM 31.57%EV -1.95%E -0.647%K -0.967%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.53%EV -1.43%E -0.546%K -0.886%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -11.00%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 22:40
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -2.60%E -0.868%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 18:19
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -4.23%E -1.43%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -9.21%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-26 18:15
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -4.23%E -1.43%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -11.25%E -4.79%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-27 08:55
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.75%EV -4.55%E -1.55%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.91%EV -10.10%E -3.35%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 22:55
Bovada2.93I 34.13%NM 31.56%EV -4.88%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.55%EV -4.45%E -1.76%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.89%EV -13.68%E -4.72%K -7.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 22:37
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -5.85%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.25%E -4.79%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-27 09:04
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.50%E -2.26%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 22:50
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -1.77%E -0.536%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 14:09
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -1.77%E -0.536%K -0.770%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 20:10
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -1.77%E -0.536%K -0.770%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 20:10
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -1.77%E -0.536%K -0.770%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 20:10
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -1.77%E -0.536%K -0.770%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 20:10
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -1.77%E -0.536%K -0.770%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 20:10
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -15.16%E -5.32%K -8.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 22:40
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -8.45%E -3.00%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 16:34
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -8.45%E -3.00%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 16:34
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.26%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 12:45
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 07:10
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 22:50
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 22:49
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 11:00
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 10:54
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-27 22:45
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -13.13%E -5.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-27 12:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -13.13%E -5.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-27 12:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -13.13%E -5.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-27 12:15
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -13.13%E -5.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-27 12:15
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.75%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 12:45
theScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -4.75%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 14:10
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.75%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 20:10
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.75%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.75%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 20:10
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.75%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 20:10
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.75%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 20:10
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -10.11%E -4.25%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -4.75%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 20:10
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.58%EV -8.60%E -3.55%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-26 16:35
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.11%E -4.25%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-27 22:50
Betclic (FR)2.73I 36.63%NM 32.71%EV -11.37%E -4.16%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.00%EV -11.25%E -4.79%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -9.21%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-27 16:35
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -12.34%E -4.57%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -11.25%E -4.79%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-27 20:10
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -12.34%E -4.57%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -11.25%E -4.79%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-27 20:10
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -12.34%E -4.57%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -11.25%E -4.79%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-26 16:35
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -12.34%E -4.57%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -10.11%E -4.25%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-26 17:24
Parions Sport (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -12.34%E -4.57%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -13.13%E -5.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-27 03:04
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -12.34%E -4.57%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -13.13%E -5.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-27 03:04
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 32.62%EV -13.32%E -4.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -13.13%E -5.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -12.19%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-27 22:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 31.90%EV -14.62%E -5.56%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.14%EV -16.91%E -7.69%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.96%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-27 22:50
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -15.59%E -6.00%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.24%EV -15.02%E -6.68%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-26 16:34
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.60%EV -15.59%E -6.00%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.67%EV -15.02%E -6.68%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.74%EV -15.16%E -5.32%K -8.20%G +0.000%18.0%2026-03-27 22:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45%1.4%2026-03-28 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 32.94%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.30%1.9%2026-03-28 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 32.94%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.30%1.9%2026-03-27 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 32.94%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.30%1.9%2026-03-28 00:25
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 32.85%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.69%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.46%2.8%2026-03-28 00:40
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 32.43%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%2.86I 34.97%NM 31.52%10.9%2026-03-28 02:40