La escuela de los momios

Zaragoza v Real Racing Club de Santander

Inicio: 2026-03-29 16:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Zaragoza (Local)

Predicción 32.47%3.08momio equitativo
EV -1.95%
Ventaja -0.647%
Kelly -0.967%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.18%32.41%32.61%33.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.802.803.0238.46%35.74%35.71%33.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Real Racing Club de Santander (Visitante)

Predicción 37.77%2.65momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.546%
Kelly -0.886%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.53%37.72%37.69%39.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.402.402.6145.45%41.64%41.67%38.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.77%3.36momio equitativo
EV -1.77%
Ventaja -0.536%
Kelly -0.770%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.50%29.87%29.70%31.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.093.103.3035.71%32.34%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.02I 33.11%NM 31.75%EV -1.95%E -0.647%K -0.967%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.31%EV -2.94%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.93%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 22:50
Pinnacle3.02I 33.11%NM 31.57%EV -1.95%E -0.647%K -0.967%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.53%EV -1.43%E -0.546%K -0.886%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -11.00%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 22:40
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -2.60%E -0.868%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 18:19
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -4.23%E -1.43%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -9.21%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-26 18:15
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -4.23%E -1.43%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -11.25%E -4.79%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-27 08:55
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.75%EV -4.55%E -1.55%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.91%EV -10.10%E -3.35%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 22:55
Bovada2.93I 34.13%NM 31.56%EV -4.88%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.55%EV -4.45%E -1.76%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.89%EV -13.68%E -4.72%K -7.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 22:37
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -5.85%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.25%E -4.79%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-27 09:04
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.50%E -2.26%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 22:50
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -1.77%E -0.536%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 14:09
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -1.77%E -0.536%K -0.770%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 20:10
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -1.77%E -0.536%K -0.770%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 20:10
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -1.77%E -0.536%K -0.770%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 20:10
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -1.77%E -0.536%K -0.770%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 20:10
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -1.77%E -0.536%K -0.770%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 20:10
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -15.16%E -5.32%K -8.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 22:40
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -8.45%E -3.00%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 16:34
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -8.45%E -3.00%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 16:34
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.26%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 12:45
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 07:10
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 22:50
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 22:49
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 11:00
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 10:54
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-27 22:45
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -13.13%E -5.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-27 12:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -13.13%E -5.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-27 12:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -13.13%E -5.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-27 12:15
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -13.13%E -5.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-27 12:15
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.75%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 12:45
theScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -4.75%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 14:10
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.75%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 20:10
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.75%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.75%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 20:10
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.75%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 20:10
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.75%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 20:10
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -10.11%E -4.25%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -4.75%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 20:10
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.58%EV -8.60%E -3.55%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-26 16:35
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.11%E -4.25%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-27 22:50
Betclic (FR)2.73I 36.63%NM 32.71%EV -11.37%E -4.16%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.00%EV -11.25%E -4.79%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -9.21%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-27 16:35
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -12.34%E -4.57%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -11.25%E -4.79%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-27 20:10
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -12.34%E -4.57%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -11.25%E -4.79%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-27 20:10
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -12.34%E -4.57%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -11.25%E -4.79%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-26 16:35
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -12.34%E -4.57%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -10.11%E -4.25%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-26 17:24
Parions Sport (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -12.34%E -4.57%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -13.13%E -5.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-27 03:04
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -12.34%E -4.57%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -13.13%E -5.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-27 03:04
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 32.62%EV -13.32%E -4.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -13.13%E -5.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -12.19%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-27 22:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 31.90%EV -14.62%E -5.56%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.14%EV -16.91%E -7.69%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.96%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-27 22:50
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -15.59%E -6.00%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.24%EV -15.02%E -6.68%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-26 16:34
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.60%EV -15.59%E -6.00%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.67%EV -15.02%E -6.68%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.74%EV -15.16%E -5.32%K -8.20%G +0.000%18.0%2026-03-27 22:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45%1.4%2026-03-28 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 32.94%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.30%1.9%2026-03-28 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 32.94%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.30%1.9%2026-03-27 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 32.94%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.30%1.9%2026-03-28 00:25
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 32.85%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.69%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.46%2.8%2026-03-28 00:40
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 32.43%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%2.86I 34.97%NM 31.52%10.9%2026-03-28 02:40