Language:English
Tenerife v Girona FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tenerife (Local)
Prediction 33.12%3.02fair odd
EV +1.34%
Edge +0.437%
Kelly +0.649%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 3.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.36%33.10%33.04%33.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.822.803.0637.74%35.47%35.71%32.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Girona FC (Visit)
Prediction 37.14%2.69fair odd
EV -0.838%
Edge -0.314%
Kelly -0.502%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.35%37.11%37.18%39.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.432.452.6746.51%41.07%40.82%37.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.74%3.36fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.559%
Kelly -0.803%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.64%29.80%29.78%31.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.043.053.3035.09%32.87%32.79%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tenerife (Local): 33.12%; Girona FC (Visit): 37.14%; Draw: 29.74%. For Tenerife (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.02. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.06, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.34%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.04%EV +1.34%E +0.437%K +0.649%G +0.009% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.61%EV -8.64%E -3.51%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.35%EV -6.90%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV +1.01%E +0.330%K +0.491%G +0.005% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -11.61%E -4.88%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-12 18:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV +1.01%E +0.330%K +0.491%G +0.005% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -11.61%E -4.88%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-12 18:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV +1.01%E +0.330%K +0.491%G +0.005% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -11.61%E -4.88%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-12 18:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV +1.01%E +0.330%K +0.491%G +0.005% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -11.61%E -4.88%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-12 18:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV +1.01%E +0.330%K +0.491%G +0.005% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -11.61%E -4.88%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-12 18:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -2.30%E -0.781%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -12.72%E -5.41%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-12 18:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -2.30%E -0.781%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -14.58%E -6.34%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-12 18:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -2.30%E -0.781%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -14.58%E -6.34%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-12 18:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -2.30%E -0.781%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -14.58%E -6.34%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-12 18:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -2.30%E -0.781%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -14.58%E -6.34%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-12 18:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -2.30%E -0.781%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.28%EV -15.32%E -6.72%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -12.26%E -4.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-12 18:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -2.30%E -0.781%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.28%EV -15.32%E -6.72%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -12.26%E -4.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-12 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.92%EV -2.64%E -0.897%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.25%EV -0.838%E -0.314%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.83%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-12 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -3.96%E -1.37%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.08%EV -15.32%E -6.72%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -12.26%E -4.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-12 18:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.62%E -1.97%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.44%E -1.32%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-12 18:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.62%E -1.97%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-12 18:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -5.62%E -1.97%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.10%EV -6.78%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.23%EV -8.39%E -2.72%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-12 18:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -5.62%E -1.97%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-12 18:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -1.85%E -0.559%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 18:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -3.33%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-12 18:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-12 18:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-12 18:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-12 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-12 18:33 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -12.26%E -4.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-12 18:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 39.32%EV -19.04%E -8.73%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.07%EV -15.23%E -5.34%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-10-12 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.82%EV -7.93%E -2.85%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.35%EV -1.21%E -0.455%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-12 18:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.82%EV -7.93%E -2.85%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.35%EV -1.21%E -0.455%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-12 18:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.82%EV -7.93%E -2.85%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.35%EV -1.21%E -0.455%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-12 18:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-12 18:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-12 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-12 18:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.37%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.34%EV -7.20%E -2.31%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-12 18:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.37%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.34%EV -7.20%E -2.31%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-12 18:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.21%EV -9.38%E -3.84%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-12 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-12 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.61%E -4.88%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-12 18:08 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -14.34%E -4.98%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-12 18:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 32.72%EV -9.59%E -3.51%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.69%EV -11.98%E -5.05%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.58%EV -10.17%E -3.37%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-12 18:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-12 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-12 18:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-12 18:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-12 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.87%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-12 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.87%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-12 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.87%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-12 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.87%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-12 18:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.26%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -14.34%E -4.98%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-12 18:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.26%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -14.34%E -4.98%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-12 18:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.41%EV -13.84%E -5.96%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.45%EV -15.23%E -5.34%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-10-12 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.73%EV -12.24%E -4.62%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-12 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.78%EV -12.24%E -4.62%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.17%EV -20.15%E -9.37%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.04%EV -13.74%E -4.74%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-10-12 18:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08% | 0.5% | 2026-10-12 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08% | 0.5% | 2026-10-12 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08% | 0.5% | 2026-10-12 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08% | 0.5% | 2026-10-12 18:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.44% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-10-12 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 2.0% | 2026-10-12 18:35 |