Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tenerife v Girona FC

2026-10-12 19:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tenerife (Local)

Prediction 30.29%3.30fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -0.957%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.36%30.24%30.18%30.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.983.003.2035.71%33.59%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Girona FC (Visit)

Prediction 40.74%2.45fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -2.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.47%40.80%40.70%42.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.232.252.3650.51%44.79%44.44%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.97%3.45fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -0.884%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.33%28.96%29.12%30.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.123.103.3533.90%32.06%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tenerife (Local): 30.29%; Girona FC (Visit): 40.74%; Draw: 28.97%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.35, with an expected value of -2.96%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -3.06%E -0.957%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 11:05
1xBet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.74%EV -5.49%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.64%EV -3.85%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.63%EV -2.96%E -0.884%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-05 11:04
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.61%E -2.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-05 11:24
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -7.61%E -2.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -7.11%E -3.12%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-05 10:35
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -7.61%E -2.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -7.11%E -3.12%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-05 10:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 30.79%EV -8.52%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.60%EV -6.70%E -2.93%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-05 10:56
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.12%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-05 11:25
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.12%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-05 12:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.12%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-05 11:20
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.12%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-05 11:25
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.12%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.37%E -4.71%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-05 11:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 30.03%EV -10.03%E -3.38%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.91%EV -11.19%E -5.13%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.05%EV -11.07%E -3.61%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-05 10:40
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -10.64%E -3.61%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-05 11:25
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -10.64%E -3.61%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-05 11:24
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.15%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.37%E -4.71%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-05 11:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -13.67%E -4.79%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -12.41%E -5.77%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-05 10:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 29.36%EV -13.67%E -4.79%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 42.27%EV -19.33%E -9.76%K -19.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.37%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%19.5%2026-10-05 10:35
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -15.18%E -5.42%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.25%EV -12.41%E -5.77%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-05 11:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -15.18%E -5.42%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -14.45%E -6.88%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-05 10:56
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.