La scuola delle quote

Sporting Gijón v Almería

Inizio: 2026-05-24 16:32 UTC

Finale: Sporting Gijón 3–1 Almería

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Sporting Gijón (Casa)

Previsione 30.18%3.31quota equa
EV -1.93%
Vantaggio -0.594%
Kelly -0.858%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.72%30.14%30.14%31.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.033.013.2535.71%32.95%33.17%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Almería (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.89%2.23quota equa
EV -2.13%
Vantaggio -0.978%
Kelly -1.81%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.03%44.93%44.99%46.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.882.042.052.1853.19%49.09%48.78%45.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.93%4.01quota equa
EV -1.52%
Vantaggio -0.385%
Kelly -0.516%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.46%24.93%24.87%27.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.633.653.9533.33%27.57%27.40%25.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -1.93%E -0.594%K -0.858%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 16:29
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -1.93%E -0.594%K -0.858%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 16:30
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -3.44%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 16:30
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -3.44%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 16:30
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -3.44%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 16:30
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -3.44%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 16:30
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -4.04%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.15%EV -9.32%E -4.61%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 16:26
Pinnacle3.16I 31.65%NM 30.45%EV -4.65%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.18%EV -4.38%E -2.05%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.36%EV -1.52%E -0.385%K -0.516%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 16:29
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.02%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 16:29
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -9.00%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 16:30
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -9.00%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 16:30
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.00%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 16:30
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.00%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 16:30
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.00%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 16:30
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 16:29
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 16:29
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 16:29
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 16:30
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.19%EV -9.32%E -4.61%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 16:30
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.81%EV -11.56%E -5.87%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-24 16:30
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.94%EV -12.01%E -6.13%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 16:30
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -12.46%E -6.39%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-24 16:30
theScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.96%E -2.61%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 16:30
NetBet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.72%EV -7.96%E -2.61%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.60%EV -15.60%E -8.30%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -11.49%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-24 16:28
1xBet3.03I 33.00%NM 30.49%EV -8.57%E -2.83%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.52%EV -9.75%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 16:29
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -2.13%E -0.978%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -9.00%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 16:29
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -2.13%E -0.978%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -9.00%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 16:30
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 16:30
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.60%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 16:29
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.34%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 16:29
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 16:29
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-24 16:30
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -9.32%E -4.61%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 16:29
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 16:30
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 16:30
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -10.98%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 16:29
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -10.98%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.32%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -9.00%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-24 16:30
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -10.98%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 16:30
Betclic (FR)2.93I 34.13%NM 30.50%EV -11.59%E -3.95%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 16:29
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 16:29
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -15.23%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-24 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -15.23%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-24 16:29
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -15.23%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-24 16:29
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -15.23%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-24 16:30
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -13.09%E -4.55%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-24 16:30
PMU (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.48%EV -13.09%E -4.55%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.17%EV -15.60%E -8.30%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.35%EV -16.48%E -4.92%K -7.01%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-24 16:30
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -14.00%E -4.91%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.24%EV -11.11%E -5.61%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-24 16:30
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -14.00%E -4.91%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -12.46%E -6.39%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-24 16:29
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -15.51%E -5.54%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.12%EV -12.46%E -6.39%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.46%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-24 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 29.42%EV -15.51%E -5.54%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.13%EV -14.25%E -7.46%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.46%EV -25.21%E -8.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%21.4%2026-05-24 16:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-05-24 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-05-24 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-05-24 16:30
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%2.2%2026-05-24 16:30
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.47%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.38%2.5%2026-05-24 16:30
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 31.41%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.76%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.83%5.1%2026-05-24 16:30