La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Sporting Gijón v Almería
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sporting Gijón (Local)
Predicción 30.18%3.31momio equitativo
EV -1.93%
Ventaja -0.594%
Kelly -0.858%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.72%30.14%30.14%31.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.033.013.2535.71%32.95%33.17%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Almería (Visitante)
Predicción 44.89%2.23momio equitativo
EV -2.13%
Ventaja -0.978%
Kelly -1.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.03%44.93%44.99%46.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.882.042.052.1853.19%49.09%48.78%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.93%4.01momio equitativo
EV -1.52%
Ventaja -0.385%
Kelly -0.516%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.46%24.93%24.87%27.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.633.653.9533.33%27.57%27.40%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -1.93%E -0.594%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 16:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -1.93%E -0.594%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Unibet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -3.44%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -3.44%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| betPARX | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -3.44%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -3.44%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -4.04%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.15%EV -9.32%E -4.61%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 16:26 |
| Pinnacle | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.45%EV -4.65%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.18%EV -4.38%E -2.05%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.36%EV -1.52%E -0.385%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 16:29 |
| Coolbet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.02%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 16:29 |
| DraftKings | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -9.00%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -9.00%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Casumo | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.00%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| TABtouch | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.00%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Grosvenor | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.00%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-24 16:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 16:29 |
| Betsson | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 16:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Bet Victor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.19%EV -9.32%E -4.61%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| LeoVegas | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.81%EV -11.56%E -5.87%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.94%EV -12.01%E -6.13%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -12.46%E -6.39%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| theScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.96%E -2.61%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.72%EV -7.96%E -2.61%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.60%EV -15.60%E -8.30%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -11.49%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-24 16:28 |
| 1xBet | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.49%EV -8.57%E -2.83%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.52%EV -9.75%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-24 16:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -2.13%E -0.978%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -9.00%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 16:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -2.13%E -0.978%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -9.00%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| BetAnything | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.60%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-24 16:29 |
| NordicBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.34%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-24 16:29 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 16:29 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -9.32%E -4.61%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-24 16:29 |
| BetMGM | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Bovada | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -10.98%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 16:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -10.98%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.32%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -9.00%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -10.98%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.50%EV -11.59%E -3.95%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-24 16:29 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-24 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -15.23%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -15.23%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-24 16:29 |
| Neds | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -15.23%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-24 16:29 |
| Coral | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -15.23%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -13.09%E -4.55%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.48%EV -13.09%E -4.55%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 45.17%EV -15.60%E -8.30%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.35%EV -16.48%E -4.92%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -14.00%E -4.91%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.24%EV -11.11%E -5.61%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -14.00%E -4.91%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -12.46%E -6.39%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-24 16:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -15.51%E -5.54%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.12%EV -12.46%E -6.39%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.46%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.42%EV -15.51%E -5.54%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.13%EV -14.25%E -7.46%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.46%EV -25.21%E -8.40%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 21.4% | 2026-05-24 16:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Matchbook | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.48% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46% | 2.2% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Smarkets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.47% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.38% | 2.5% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Kalshi | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.41% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.76% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.83% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |