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Sporting Gijón v Albacete
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sporting Gijón (Local)
Prediction 47.32%2.11fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -2.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.33%47.43%47.32%50.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.941.952.0557.47%51.47%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Albacete (Visit)
Prediction 25.28%3.96fair odd
EV +1.12%
Edge +0.280%
Kelly +0.373%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.73%25.25%25.31%27.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.623.604.0030.30%27.65%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.40%3.65fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.375%
Kelly -0.519%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.56%27.32%27.37%29.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.313.303.6032.26%30.19%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sporting Gijón (Local): 47.32%; Albacete (Visit): 25.28%; Draw: 27.40%. For Albacete (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.96. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV +1.12%E +0.280%K +0.373%G +0.004% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -12.31%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-17 15:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -14.83%E -8.24%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV +1.12%E +0.280%K +0.373%G +0.004% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-17 15:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.85%EV -4.42%E -2.19%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.22%EV +0.865%E +0.217%K +0.289%G +0.003% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.93%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-17 16:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.25%EV -6.78%E -3.44%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.12%EV -0.399%E -0.101%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.63%EV -5.73%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-17 16:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -8.68%E -4.50%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -1.41%E -0.362%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -12.31%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.62%EV -6.78%E -3.44%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -2.67%E -0.695%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-17 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.62%EV -6.78%E -3.44%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -2.67%E -0.695%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-17 16:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.62%EV -6.78%E -3.44%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -2.67%E -0.695%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-17 16:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-17 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.33%EV -10.10%E -5.31%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -15.05%E -4.86%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-17 15:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -9.62%E -5.04%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.60%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.72%EV -4.64%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-17 15:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.50%EV -8.20%E -4.23%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-17 16:23 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -9.62%E -5.04%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -15.05%E -4.86%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-17 15:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.58%EV -11.52%E -6.16%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -15.05%E -4.86%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-17 16:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.47%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 15:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -7.73%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-16 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -7.73%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-16 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -7.73%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-16 14:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -7.73%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-16 14:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -7.73%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-16 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -7.73%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 14:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -7.73%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 14:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.99%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.99%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-17 14:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.99%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-17 15:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -8.68%E -4.50%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.99%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-17 16:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -8.20%E -4.23%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -10.26%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-17 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.32%EV -10.57%E -5.59%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.33%EV -10.76%E -3.05%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.35%EV -10.39%E -3.18%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-17 16:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 15:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-17 16:18 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -9.15%E -4.77%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-17 14:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-17 16:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.49%EV -8.20%E -4.23%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.49%EV -8.20%E -4.23%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.49%EV -8.20%E -4.23%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.49%EV -8.20%E -4.23%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-17 15:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.31%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-17 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.31%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-17 14:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.31%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-17 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.31%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-17 14:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.61%EV -8.68%E -4.50%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.61%EV -8.68%E -4.50%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -13.41%E -7.33%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-17 15:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.22%EV -10.10%E -5.31%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -12.79%E -3.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-17 14:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.37%EV -9.15%E -4.77%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -12.79%E -3.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -12.31%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.30%EV -12.46%E -6.74%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.36%EV -12.79%E -3.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.34%EV -12.31%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-17 16:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -14.05%E -4.13%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -14.05%E -4.13%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 11:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -14.05%E -4.13%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-17 14:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 48.27%EV -17.67%E -10.15%K -23.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.07%EV -15.31%E -4.57%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.66%EV -13.68%E -4.34%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 19.1% | 2026-10-17 16:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -13.41%E -7.33%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -16.58%E -5.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -15.05%E -4.86%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.86% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44% | 0.5% | 2026-10-17 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.86% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44% | 0.5% | 2026-10-17 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.86% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44% | 0.5% | 2026-10-17 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.86% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44% | 0.5% | 2026-10-17 16:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.10% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31% | 0.9% | 2026-10-17 16:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.07% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-10-17 16:25 |