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SD Eibar v Mallorca
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SD Eibar (Local)
Prediction 38.14%2.62fair odd
EV -0.834%
Edge -0.321%
Kelly -0.522%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.88%38.09%38.28%39.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.432.402.6047.62%41.21%41.67%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mallorca (Visit)
Prediction 31.91%3.13fair odd
EV +0.844%
Edge +0.267%
Kelly +0.391%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.52%31.93%31.89%35.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.802.803.1641.15%35.68%35.71%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.95%3.34fair odd
EV +0.022%
Edge +0.007%
Kelly +0.009%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.44%29.98%29.83%31.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.083.103.3435.71%32.51%32.26%29.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SD Eibar (Local): 38.14%; Mallorca (Visit): 31.91%; Draw: 29.95%. For Mallorca (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.844%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.42%EV -3.89%E -1.54%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.64%EV +0.844%E +0.267%K +0.391%G +0.003% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.94%EV -6.27%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-17 14:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -2.67%E -0.874%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 14:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -6.17%E -2.51%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -2.67%E -0.874%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -8.66%E -2.84%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -6.17%E -2.51%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -2.67%E -0.874%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -8.66%E -2.84%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 14:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -6.17%E -2.51%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -2.67%E -0.874%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -8.66%E -2.84%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 14:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -4.26%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -4.17%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 14:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -4.26%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.16%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-17 14:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -4.26%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -11.66%E -3.95%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-17 14:11 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.37%E -4.41%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -4.26%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -10.16%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-17 14:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -5.86%E -1.99%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-17 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.25%EV -7.70%E -3.18%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.31%EV -6.18%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.44%EV +0.022%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 14:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.70%EV -5.79%E -2.35%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.67%EV -6.18%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.63%EV -8.96%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -2.67%E -0.823%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 14:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.17%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-17 14:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 14:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.37%E -4.41%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.16%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-17 14:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -13.15%E -4.54%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-17 14:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -13.15%E -4.54%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-17 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.09%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 14:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -9.05%E -3.18%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-17 14:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -9.05%E -3.18%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -8.66%E -2.84%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 14:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -9.05%E -3.18%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -8.66%E -2.84%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 14:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.33%EV -9.61%E -4.05%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.88%EV -9.05%E -3.18%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.66%E -2.84%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-17 14:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.76%EV -7.32%E -3.01%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.34%EV -9.05%E -3.18%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.90%EV -16.15%E -5.77%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-17 13:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -10.64%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 14:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.23%E -3.88%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.64%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.17%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 14:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.23%E -3.88%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.64%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.17%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 14:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.64%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-17 14:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.64%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-17 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -10.37%E -4.41%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -10.64%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-17 14:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.64%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.16%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-17 14:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.23%E -3.88%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.24%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.16%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-17 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.23%E -3.88%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.24%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.16%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-17 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -9.61%E -4.05%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.24%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.16%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-17 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -9.61%E -4.05%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.24%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.16%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-17 14:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -12.24%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -13.15%E -4.54%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -12.24%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -8.66%E -2.84%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-17 14:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.97%EV -19.90%E -9.48%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.09%EV -13.84%E -5.12%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.94%EV -13.15%E -4.54%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 19.1% | 2026-10-17 14:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 36.97%EV -9.61%E -4.05%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.82%EV -14.79%E -5.54%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.21%EV -13.15%E -4.54%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-17 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -0.834%E -0.321%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -15.43%E -5.82%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.67%E -0.823%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 13:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -0.834%E -0.321%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -15.43%E -5.82%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.67%E -0.823%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -0.834%E -0.321%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -15.43%E -5.82%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.67%E -0.823%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 13:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -0.834%E -0.321%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -15.43%E -5.82%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.67%E -0.823%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 13:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -0.834%E -0.321%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -15.43%E -5.82%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.67%E -0.823%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 13:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.37%EV -9.23%E -3.88%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -16.39%E -6.26%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-17 10:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -17.03%E -6.55%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-17 13:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -17.03%E -6.55%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-17 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -17.03%E -6.55%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-17 13:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -17.03%E -6.55%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-17 13:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.18%EV -18.62%E -7.30%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-10 17:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.18%EV -18.62%E -7.30%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.90%EV -5.41%E -2.18%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -18.62%E -7.30%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -8.66%E -2.84%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-17 13:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.89%EV -9.23%E -3.88%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 35.15%EV -22.45%E -9.24%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.96%EV -11.66%E -3.95%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-10-17 13:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35% | 1.4% | 2026-10-17 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35% | 1.4% | 2026-10-17 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35% | 1.4% | 2026-10-17 14:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35% | 1.4% | 2026-10-17 14:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68% | 1.9% | 2026-10-17 14:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.25% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38% | 1.9% | 2026-10-17 14:10 |