Language:English
SD Eibar v Las Palmas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SD Eibar (Local)
Prediction 52.41%1.91fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -2.24%
Kelly -4.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.02%52.51%52.24%54.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.751.751.8362.11%57.03%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Las Palmas (Visit)
Prediction 21.31%4.69fair odd
EV +3.98%
Edge +0.816%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.041%
assuming max odds 4.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.58%21.16%21.49%23.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.284.204.8825.32%23.35%23.81%20.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.28%3.80fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -0.744%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.08%26.32%26.27%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.473.453.7030.77%28.79%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SD Eibar (Local): 52.41%; Las Palmas (Visit): 21.31%; Draw: 26.28%. For Las Palmas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.69. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.98%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.77%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.79%EV +3.98%E +0.816%K +1.03%G +0.041% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.48%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-27 16:16 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.41%EV -6.71%E -3.77%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.89%EV +1.85%E +0.387%K +0.490%G +0.009% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.70%EV -6.43%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-27 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.78%EV -6.71%E -3.77%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV +0.147%E +0.031%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-27 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.78%EV -6.71%E -3.77%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV +0.147%E +0.031%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-27 16:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.78%EV -6.71%E -3.77%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV +0.147%E +0.031%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-27 16:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -7.24%E -4.09%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV +0.147%E +0.031%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-27 16:03 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV +0.147%E +0.031%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-27 16:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.68%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -1.98%E -0.431%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-27 16:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -7.76%E -4.41%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -1.98%E -0.431%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -11.95%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-27 16:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.44%EV -3.05%E -0.670%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.42%EV -7.48%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-27 16:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -4.11%E -0.914%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-27 16:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.18%EV -7.76%E -4.41%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -4.11%E -0.914%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -11.95%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-27 15:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.61%E -2.54%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -6.25%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-27 16:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.31%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-27 15:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.31%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-27 15:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.31%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-27 15:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.31%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-27 15:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.31%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-27 15:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.98%EV -9.33%E -5.39%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -7.74%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-27 16:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.98%EV -9.33%E -5.39%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -7.74%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-27 16:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.76%EV -9.33%E -5.39%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.68%EV -7.74%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -14.58%E -4.49%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-27 16:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.49%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -8.38%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -2.75%E -0.744%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 16:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.38%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-27 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -7.24%E -4.09%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -9.44%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-27 16:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -10.51%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-27 16:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -8.81%E -5.06%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -10.51%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-27 14:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -8.81%E -5.06%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -10.51%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-27 16:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -8.81%E -5.06%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -10.51%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-27 15:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.98%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.51%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-27 15:51 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.98%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.51%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-27 15:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.98%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.51%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-27 15:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.98%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.51%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-27 15:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.98%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.51%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-27 16:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.98%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.51%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-27 16:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -9.33%E -5.39%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -10.51%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-27 16:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.38%EV -11.95%E -7.11%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -10.51%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-27 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.60%EV -8.81%E -5.06%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -12.64%E -3.08%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-27 16:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -12.64%E -3.08%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-27 16:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -12.64%E -3.08%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-27 16:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -7.24%E -4.09%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.64%E -3.08%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -11.95%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-27 16:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.79%EV -9.33%E -5.39%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -12.64%E -3.08%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-27 15:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.79%EV -9.33%E -5.39%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -12.64%E -3.08%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-27 15:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.94%EV -9.86%E -5.73%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -12.64%E -3.08%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-27 15:46 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.43%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -12.64%E -3.08%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-27 16:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.77%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-27 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.77%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-27 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.23%EV -9.86%E -5.73%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.77%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-27 16:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -9.33%E -5.39%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -14.77%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-27 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -9.33%E -5.39%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -14.77%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-27 16:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -9.33%E -5.39%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -14.77%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-27 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -9.33%E -5.39%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -14.77%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-27 16:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 51.94%EV -13.52%E -8.20%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.70%EV -15.83%E -4.01%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -14.58%E -4.49%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-09-27 15:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 52.76%EV -15.62%E -9.70%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.50%EV -15.83%E -4.01%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.74%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-09-27 16:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.08% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.96% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.97% | 0.2% | 2026-09-27 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.08% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.96% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.97% | 0.2% | 2026-09-27 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-27 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-27 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-27 16:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.96% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.60% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-09-27 16:25 |