L’École des cotes

SD Eibar v Cádiz CF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SD Eibar (Local)

Prévision 56.31%1.78cote équitable
EV -3.71%
Avantage -2.17%
Kelly -5.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.54%56.39%56.20%57.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.461.641.651.7168.49%61.08%60.61%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cádiz CF (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.81%5.62cote équitable
EV +3.29%
Avantage +0.568%
Kelly +0.686%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 5.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.09%17.77%17.92%19.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.105.005.8022.22%19.61%20.00%17.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.88%3.86cote équitable
EV -2.43%
Avantage -0.644%
Kelly -0.876%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.95%25.85%25.88%26.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.503.503.7732.26%28.54%28.57%26.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.98%EV -9.34%E -5.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV +3.29%E +0.568%K +0.686%G +0.023%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 19:43
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.56%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.79%EV +2.58%E +0.448%K +0.542%G +0.014%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.65%EV -2.43%E -0.644%K -0.876%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 19:45
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.26%EV -6.53%E -3.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.19%EV -1.52%E -0.274%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.55%EV -3.72%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 19:49
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -2.05%E -0.373%K -0.456%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 14:00
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -2.05%E -0.373%K -0.456%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 14:00
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.14%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -2.05%E -0.373%K -0.456%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 11:59
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -2.05%E -0.373%K -0.456%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 17:44
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -9.90%E -6.19%K -16.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -2.05%E -0.373%K -0.456%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 18:09
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -9.90%E -6.19%K -16.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -2.05%E -0.373%K -0.456%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-01 19:24
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.23%EV -8.22%E -5.04%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -3.83%E -0.709%K -0.871%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.49%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 19:54
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.94%EV -8.78%E -5.42%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -3.83%E -0.709%K -0.871%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 19:40
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 56.94%EV -8.78%E -5.42%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -3.83%E -0.709%K -0.871%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 19:40
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.71%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -6.50%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -2.95%E -0.785%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 10:29
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.62%EV -4.84%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -6.50%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 11:59
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -6.50%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 11:59
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -6.50%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 12:00
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -11.59%E -7.38%K -20.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -6.50%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 19:44
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.02%EV -7.09%E -4.30%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -8.28%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 10:29
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.02%EV -7.09%E -4.30%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -8.28%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 10:29
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 19:49
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 19:50
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 19:49
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 19:49
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 19:50
PMU (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 57.39%EV -17.79%E -12.18%K -38.67%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.43%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.18%EV -17.18%E -5.37%K -7.81%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-01 19:45
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -7.09%E -4.30%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 19:54
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 19:50
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 19:49
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 19:49
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 19:49
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.09%E -4.30%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 13:58
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.09%E -4.30%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 17:40
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.09%E -4.30%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.15%EV -6.53%E -3.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.31%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 19:49
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 55.30%EV -7.09%E -4.30%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 19:49
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -8.78%E -5.42%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-01 17:39
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -11.59%E -7.38%K -20.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-01 19:10
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.19%EV -8.22%E -5.04%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.36%EV -12.74%E -2.60%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 19:49
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.19%EV -8.22%E -5.04%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.36%EV -12.74%E -2.60%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 19:49
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.75%EV -9.90%E -6.19%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.39%EV -13.63%E -2.81%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 19:33
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.84%EV -7.65%E -4.67%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -14.52%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -5.53%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 10:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -8.78%E -5.42%K -14.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -14.52%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-01 17:39
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -8.78%E -5.42%K -14.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -14.52%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-01 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.28%EV -9.34%E -5.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -14.52%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-01 17:39
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.28%EV -9.34%E -5.80%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -14.52%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-01 17:39
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.90%EV -11.59%E -7.38%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -14.52%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-01 19:49
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 56.14%EV -9.90%E -6.19%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -15.41%E -3.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 17:38
Parions Sport (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.47%EV -11.59%E -7.38%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.53%EV -16.30%E -3.47%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.00%EV -13.30%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-01 19:34
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.25%EV -11.59%E -7.38%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.46%EV -16.30%E -3.47%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-01 19:53
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.28%EV -11.03%E -6.98%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.41%EV -19.86%E -4.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.32%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-01 10:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 54.54%EV -13.85%E -9.05%K -26.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.54%EV -19.86%E -4.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.92%EV -19.77%E -6.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-01 19:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.72%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78%0.8%2026-03-01 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-03-01 19:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-03-01 19:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-03-01 19:54
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.52%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.76%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.72%2.3%2026-03-01 19:55