La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
SD Eibar v Cádiz CF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
SD Eibar (Local)
Predicción 56.31%1.78momio equitativo
EV -3.71%
Ventaja -2.17%
Kelly -5.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.54%56.39%56.20%57.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.461.641.651.7168.49%61.08%60.61%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cádiz CF (Visitante)
Predicción 17.81%5.62momio equitativo
EV +3.29%
Ventaja +0.568%
Kelly +0.686%
Crecimiento +0.023%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.09%17.77%17.92%19.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.105.005.8022.22%19.61%20.00%17.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.88%3.86momio equitativo
EV -2.43%
Ventaja -0.644%
Kelly -0.876%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.95%25.85%25.88%26.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.503.503.7732.26%28.54%28.57%26.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.98%EV -9.34%E -5.80%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV +3.29%E +0.568%K +0.686%G +0.023% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 19:43 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.56%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.79%EV +2.58%E +0.448%K +0.542%G +0.014% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.65%EV -2.43%E -0.644%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-01 19:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.26%EV -6.53%E -3.93%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.19%EV -1.52%E -0.274%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.55%EV -3.72%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 19:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -2.05%E -0.373%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -2.05%E -0.373%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.14%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -2.05%E -0.373%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 11:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -2.05%E -0.373%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 17:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -9.90%E -6.19%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -2.05%E -0.373%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-01 18:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -9.90%E -6.19%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -2.05%E -0.373%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-01 19:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.23%EV -8.22%E -5.04%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -3.83%E -0.709%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.49%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-01 19:54 |
| Bovada | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.94%EV -8.78%E -5.42%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -3.83%E -0.709%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 19:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.94%EV -8.78%E -5.42%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -3.83%E -0.709%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 19:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.71%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -6.50%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -2.95%E -0.785%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 10:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.62%EV -4.84%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -6.50%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 11:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -6.50%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 11:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -6.50%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 12:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -11.59%E -7.38%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -6.50%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-01 19:44 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.02%EV -7.09%E -4.30%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -8.28%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 10:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.02%EV -7.09%E -4.30%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -8.28%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 10:29 |
| Unibet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 19:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 19:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 19:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 19:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 19:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 57.39%EV -17.79%E -12.18%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.43%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.18%EV -17.18%E -5.37%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-03-01 19:45 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -7.09%E -4.30%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 19:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-01 19:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-01 19:49 |
| Casumo | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-01 19:49 |
| betPARX | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-01 19:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.09%E -4.30%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 13:58 |
| William Hill | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.09%E -4.30%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.09%E -4.30%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.15%EV -6.53%E -3.93%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.31%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 19:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.30%EV -7.09%E -4.30%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-01 19:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -8.78%E -5.42%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -11.59%E -7.38%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-01 19:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.19%EV -8.22%E -5.04%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.36%EV -12.74%E -2.60%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-01 19:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.19%EV -8.22%E -5.04%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.36%EV -12.74%E -2.60%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-01 19:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.75%EV -9.90%E -6.19%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.39%EV -13.63%E -2.81%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-01 19:33 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.84%EV -7.65%E -4.67%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -14.52%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -5.53%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 10:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -8.78%E -5.42%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -14.52%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -8.78%E -5.42%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -14.52%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.28%EV -9.34%E -5.80%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -14.52%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.28%EV -9.34%E -5.80%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -14.52%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.90%EV -11.59%E -7.38%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -14.52%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-01 19:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.14%EV -9.90%E -6.19%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -15.41%E -3.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-01 17:38 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.47%EV -11.59%E -7.38%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.53%EV -16.30%E -3.47%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.00%EV -13.30%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-01 19:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.25%EV -11.59%E -7.38%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.46%EV -16.30%E -3.47%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-03-01 19:53 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.28%EV -11.03%E -6.98%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.41%EV -19.86%E -4.41%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.32%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-01 10:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 54.54%EV -13.85%E -9.05%K -26.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.54%EV -19.86%E -4.41%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.92%EV -19.77%E -6.38%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-01 19:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.72% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.86% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69% | 1.1% | 2026-03-01 19:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.86% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69% | 1.1% | 2026-03-01 19:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.86% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69% | 1.1% | 2026-03-01 19:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.52% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.76% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.72% | 2.3% | 2026-03-01 19:55 |