The School of Odds
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SD Eibar v Almería

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 15:15 UTC

Final: SD Eibar 1–1 Almería

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SD Eibar (Local)

Prediction 40.23%2.49fair odd
EV -0.238%
Edge -0.096%
Kelly -0.161%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.63%40.18%40.28%42.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.312.302.4850.76%43.27%43.48%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Almería (Visit)

Prediction 33.36%3.00fair odd
EV +1.75%
Edge +0.574%
Kelly +0.853%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.77%33.43%33.32%35.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.702.703.0541.15%36.98%37.04%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.41%3.79fair odd
EV -4.38%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.53%26.39%26.40%27.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.433.403.6231.25%29.17%29.41%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SD Eibar (Local): 40.23%; Almería (Visit): 33.36%; Draw: 26.41%. For Almería (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.00. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.75%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.43%EV -5.87%E -2.51%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.79%EV +1.75%E +0.574%K +0.853%G +0.015%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.78%EV -4.38%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-31 15:14
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.80%EV -6.27%E -2.69%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.34%EV -1.92%E -0.653%K -0.990%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV -6.50%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-31 15:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -2.59%E -0.886%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 15:14
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -2.59%E -0.886%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 15:14
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 15:05
Bovada🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.13%EV -9.89%E -4.42%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 15:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.26%E -1.79%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.92%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 15:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.21%EV -9.09%E -4.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.34%EV -3.92%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.46%EV -7.03%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 15:14
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-31 14:30
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 14:50
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 15:00
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-31 14:59
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 15:05
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 15:05
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 15:14
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-31 15:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 15:00
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 15:00
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 15:01
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 40.59%EV -9.89%E -4.42%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -8.88%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 15:10
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.52%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-31 15:05
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -14.16%E -4.36%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-31 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.99%EV -12.31%E -5.64%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.73%EV -8.93%E -3.27%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 15:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 15:00
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-31 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -6.23%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 15:05
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -0.238%E -0.096%K -0.161%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -11.59%E -4.38%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -0.238%E -0.096%K -0.161%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -11.59%E -4.38%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 14:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -0.238%E -0.096%K -0.161%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -11.59%E -4.38%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 14:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -0.238%E -0.096%K -0.161%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -11.59%E -4.38%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 14:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -0.238%E -0.096%K -0.161%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -11.59%E -4.38%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 14:50
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -11.59%E -4.38%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-31 13:50
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -12.60%E -4.81%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 15:09
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -12.60%E -4.81%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -13.26%E -5.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 13:50
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -13.26%E -5.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -13.26%E -5.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 13:50
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -13.26%E -5.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 13:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -13.51%E -6.29%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -13.26%E -5.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-31 15:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 42.30%EV -20.75%E -10.53%K -21.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.05%EV -13.26%E -5.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.64%EV -14.16%E -4.36%K -6.29%G +0.000%20.0%2026-10-31 15:04
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.48%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.80%EV -14.26%E -5.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.72%EV -14.16%E -4.36%K -6.29%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-31 14:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -14.93%E -5.86%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-31 14:50
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -14.93%E -5.86%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -11.52%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 14:50
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -14.93%E -5.86%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -11.52%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 14:50
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -14.93%E -5.86%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -11.52%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 14:48
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -14.93%E -5.86%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -11.52%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 14:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.67%EV -4.26%E -1.79%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.16%EV -14.93%E -5.86%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-31 14:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.67%EV -4.26%E -1.79%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.16%EV -14.93%E -5.86%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-31 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.44%EV -16.60%E -6.64%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.85%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-31 14:50
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.33%EV -16.60%E -6.64%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-31 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 37.72%EV -8.28%E -3.63%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 35.40%EV -18.93%E -7.79%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.88%EV -15.48%E -4.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-31 14:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-10-31 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-10-31 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-10-31 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-10-31 15:00
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.35%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%1.6%2026-10-31 15:10
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.18%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-10-31 15:00

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