The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Sabadell FC v Tenerife

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 13:02 UTC

Final: Sabadell FC 1–1 Tenerife

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sabadell FC (Local)

Prediction 50.86%1.97fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.60%50.90%50.85%52.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.821.831.9260.98%54.90%54.64%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tenerife (Visit)

Prediction 19.94%5.01fair odd
EV +3.90%
Edge +0.748%
Kelly +0.926%
Growth +0.036%

assuming max odds 5.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.42%19.87%19.94%22.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.504.505.2125.97%22.22%22.22%19.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.20%3.43fair odd
EV -3.65%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.89%29.23%29.22%30.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.123.103.3034.48%32.07%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sabadell FC (Local): 50.86%; Tenerife (Visit): 19.94%; Draw: 29.20%. For Tenerife (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.01. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.21, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.90%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.83%EV -5.40%E -2.90%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.50%EV +3.90%E +0.748%K +0.926%G +0.036%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.66%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-25 12:40
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -7.43%E -4.08%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.71%EV +1.11%E +0.218%K +0.272%G +0.003%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-25 12:59
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -6.92%E -3.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -0.289%E -0.058%K -0.072%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 13:00
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.53%EV -8.45%E -4.69%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -0.289%E -0.058%K -0.072%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-25 12:55
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -8.45%E -4.69%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -2.28%E -0.466%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-25 12:33
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.22%EV -8.96%E -5.00%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -2.28%E -0.466%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -10.95%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 12:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -12.52%E -7.28%K -17.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -2.28%E -0.466%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-25 13:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.42%E -3.49%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -4.28%E -0.891%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-25 12:33
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.42%E -3.49%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -4.28%E -0.891%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-25 12:33
BetAnything🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.42%E -3.49%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -4.28%E -0.891%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-25 12:33
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -8.45%E -4.69%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -4.28%E -0.891%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-25 12:25
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.01%EV -4.89%E -2.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -5.27%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-25 12:09
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.24%EV -10.99%E -6.28%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -5.27%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.41%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-25 12:55
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -6.92%E -3.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -6.27%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 13:00
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.81%EV -8.45%E -4.69%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -8.27%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.31%EV -8.91%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 12:23
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.19%EV -7.43%E -4.08%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -8.27%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -10.95%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 12:10
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.19%EV -7.43%E -4.08%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -8.27%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -10.95%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 12:09
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -8.45%E -4.69%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -8.27%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 12:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.41%EV -10.99%E -6.28%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.18%EV -8.27%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -15.33%E -5.29%K -8.07%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-25 12:45
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.05%EV -3.36%E -1.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-25 12:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -4.38%E -2.33%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 12:25
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -8.45%E -4.69%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 12:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.28%EV -9.98%E -5.64%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.54%EV -7.15%E -2.25%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-25 13:00
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.49%EV -8.45%E -4.69%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -15.33%E -5.29%K -8.07%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-25 12:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.55%EV -9.98%E -5.64%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.11%EV -11.26%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.34%EV -10.95%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-25 12:31
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -8.45%E -4.69%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -12.25%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 12:10
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -6.92%E -3.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -12.25%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 13:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.66%EV -12.52%E -7.28%K -17.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.80%EV -12.25%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.54%EV -13.87%E -4.70%K -7.11%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-25 12:55
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -6.92%E -3.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -13.65%E -3.15%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 12:10
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.86%EV -2.35%E -1.22%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -14.25%E -3.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 12:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.86%EV -2.35%E -1.22%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -14.25%E -3.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.86%EV -2.35%E -1.22%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -14.25%E -3.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 12:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.86%EV -2.35%E -1.22%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -14.25%E -3.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 12:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.86%EV -2.35%E -1.22%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -14.25%E -3.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 12:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.68%EV -13.54%E -7.96%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.43%EV -14.25%E -3.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.89%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-25 13:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.40%EV -4.89%E -2.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -15.25%E -3.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-25 12:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 51.12%EV -16.59%E -10.11%K -25.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.96%EV -16.24%E -3.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.91%EV -15.33%E -5.29%K -8.07%G +0.000%19.3%2026-10-25 12:33
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.83%EV -5.91%E -3.19%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -18.24%E -4.45%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-25 12:09
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.83%EV -5.91%E -3.19%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -18.24%E -4.45%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-25 12:05
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.83%EV -5.91%E -3.19%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -18.24%E -4.45%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-25 12:09
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.83%EV -5.91%E -3.19%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -18.24%E -4.45%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-25 12:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.73%EV -6.42%E -3.49%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -18.24%E -4.45%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -10.95%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-25 12:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.73%EV -6.42%E -3.49%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -18.24%E -4.45%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -10.95%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-25 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.60%EV -6.92%E -3.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -20.23%E -5.06%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.16%EV -10.95%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-25 12:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 48.69%EV -10.48%E -5.96%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.26%EV -23.22%E -6.03%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.05%EV -13.87%E -4.70%K -7.11%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-25 12:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.94%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-10-25 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.94%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-10-25 13:00
Matchbook◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.94%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-10-25 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.70%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.56%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-10-25 13:00
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.03%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.63%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34%2.1%2026-10-25 13:00
Smarkets◎1.93I 51.81%NM 50.65%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.80%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.55%2.3%2026-10-25 13:00