The School of Odds
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Sabadell FC v Andorra CF

2026-10-04 19:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sabadell FC (Local)

Prediction 48.96%2.04fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -3.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.39%48.98%48.88%50.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.901.911.9755.25%52.56%52.36%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Andorra CF (Visit)

Prediction 23.32%4.29fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -0.660%
Kelly -0.868%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.69%23.36%23.31%24.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.964.004.1726.67%25.25%25.00%23.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.71%3.61fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -0.857%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.04%27.66%27.80%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.373.403.5032.26%29.67%29.41%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sabadell FC (Local): 48.96%; Andorra CF (Visit): 23.32%; Draw: 27.71%. For Andorra CF (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.29. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.17, with an expected value of -2.75%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.98%EV -3.54%E -1.80%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.14%EV -2.75%E -0.660%K -0.868%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.89%EV -4.11%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-04 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -4.52%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -9.05%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.00%E -0.857%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-04 13:10
Coolbet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%EV -5.50%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.00%E -0.857%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 13:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.86%EV -5.50%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 12:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.86%EV -5.50%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 12:05
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 12:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -11.38%E -3.00%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-04 11:30
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -6.97%E -3.67%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -12.55%E -3.35%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-04 13:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-04 12:46
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -10.22%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -9.93%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-04 12:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.28%EV -9.42%E -5.09%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.04%EV -4.66%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-04 10:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.39%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -12.55%E -3.35%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.71%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-04 12:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.99%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.98%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02%0.0%2026-10-04 11:30
Matchbook◎1.95I 51.28%NM 49.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.00%3.5%2026-10-04 12:05