The School of Odds
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Sabadell FC v Andorra CF

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 16:30 UTC

Final: Sabadell FC 0–0 Andorra CF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sabadell FC (Local)

Prediction 48.46%2.06fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.08%48.58%48.40%50.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.931.942.0254.64%51.79%51.55%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Andorra CF (Visit)

Prediction 22.47%4.45fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.254%
Kelly -0.328%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.92%22.35%22.60%25.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.873.904.4028.57%25.86%25.64%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.06%3.44fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.23%29.08%28.99%30.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.163.203.3034.48%31.63%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sabadell FC (Local): 48.46%; Andorra CF (Visit): 22.47%; Draw: 29.06%. For Andorra CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.40, with an expected value of -1.12%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -2.10%E -1.04%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -16.85%E -4.55%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 15:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -2.10%E -1.04%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -16.85%E -4.55%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -2.10%E -1.04%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -16.85%E -4.55%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 15:56
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -2.10%E -1.04%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -16.85%E -4.55%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 15:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -2.10%E -1.04%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -16.85%E -4.55%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 15:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.50%E -2.82%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 10:40
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.50%E -2.82%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.50%E -2.82%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-03 08:25
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.32%EV -5.50%E -2.82%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -20.22%E -5.70%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-03 15:55
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.32%EV -5.50%E -2.82%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -20.22%E -5.70%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-03 15:55
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.32%EV -5.50%E -2.82%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -20.22%E -5.70%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-03 15:55
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.32%EV -5.50%E -2.82%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -20.22%E -5.70%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-03 15:56
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.08%EV -5.98%E -3.08%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -21.34%E -6.10%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.08%EV -5.98%E -3.08%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -21.34%E -6.10%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.21%EV -6.46%E -3.35%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -21.34%E -6.10%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-03 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.48%EV -6.95%E -3.62%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -6.73%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-03 05:39
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.63%EV -6.95%E -3.62%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-03 07:44
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.78%EV -7.43%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -1.12%E -0.254%K -0.328%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-03 16:20
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -7.43%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-03 07:05
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.43%EV -7.92%E -4.17%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -3.36%E -0.782%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -11.36%E -3.72%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-03 16:25
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -7.92%E -4.17%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -12.35%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-03 16:03
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -7.92%E -4.17%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -12.35%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-03 16:01
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -5.61%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-03 16:20
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-03 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.60%EV -7.86%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -15.72%E -5.42%K -8.27%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-03 16:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -11.31%E -6.18%K -13.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.12%E -0.254%K -0.328%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-03 15:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.72%EV -11.31%E -6.18%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.68%EV -13.48%E -3.50%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.60%EV -14.27%E -4.84%K -7.32%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-03 16:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.01%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.99%-0.0%2026-10-03 16:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%0.9%2026-10-03 16:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.44%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-10-03 16:08
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-10-03 16:11