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Real Valladolid CF v Leganés

2026-11-02 17:30 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Valladolid CF (Local)

Prediction 49.28%2.03fair odd
EV -4.40%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -4.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.39%49.41%49.28%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.851.871.9459.88%54.02%53.62%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leganés (Visit)

Prediction 23.81%4.20fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -0.577%
Kelly -0.764%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.92%23.81%23.84%25.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.803.804.1029.41%26.33%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.91%3.72fair odd
EV -0.978%
Edge -0.266%
Kelly -0.365%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.78%26.78%26.88%27.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.383.383.6831.75%29.59%29.63%27.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Real Valladolid CF (Local): 49.28%; Leganés (Visit): 23.81%; Draw: 26.91%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.68, with an expected value of -0.978%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.46%EV -4.40%E -2.27%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.81%EV -4.03%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.73%EV -3.40%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-26 12:19
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 12:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -11.20%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-26 12:30
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -6.37%E -3.35%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-26 12:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -7.36%E -3.91%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.37%E -0.577%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 13:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.45%EV -7.36%E -3.91%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.71%EV -6.36%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-26 12:15
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -7.36%E -3.91%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-26 12:25
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -7.36%E -3.91%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-26 12:20
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -7.85%E -4.20%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -11.89%E -3.21%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-26 12:15
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -7.85%E -4.20%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -11.89%E -3.21%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-26 12:19
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.02%EV -8.34%E -4.48%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.20%EV -2.61%E -0.637%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.78%EV -0.978%E -0.266%K -0.365%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 13:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.91%EV -8.34%E -4.48%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-26 12:45
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.83%E -4.78%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.20%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-26 12:25
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -9.82%E -5.37%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-26 13:00
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.39%EV -9.82%E -5.37%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.51%EV -19.04%E -5.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.10%EV -13.89%E -4.34%K -6.32%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-26 12:18
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.10%EV -10.31%E -5.67%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.20%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-26 12:25
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -11.30%E -6.28%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-26 12:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.72%EV -11.30%E -6.28%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -15.46%E -4.36%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -11.20%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-26 12:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 48.63%EV -12.28%E -6.90%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -16.66%E -4.76%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-26 12:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 49.99%EV -17.70%E -10.60%K -26.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.51%EV -15.46%E -4.36%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.50%EV -15.24%E -4.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%19.8%2026-10-26 12:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.79I 55.87%NM 48.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.74%16.3%2026-10-26 13:40