Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Valladolid CF v Córdoba

Kickoff: 2026-09-27 12:00 UTC

Final: Real Valladolid CF 3–1 Córdoba

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Valladolid CF (Local)

Prediction 39.16%2.55fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.518%
Kelly -0.859%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.42%39.27%39.21%42.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.302.342.5249.02%43.44%42.74%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Córdoba (Visit)

Prediction 32.66%3.06fair odd
EV +1.24%
Edge +0.400%
Kelly +0.591%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.41%32.60%32.71%33.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.852.803.1038.46%35.12%35.71%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.18%3.55fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -0.808%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.77%28.13%28.08%29.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.263.253.4533.33%30.72%30.77%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Valladolid CF (Local): 39.16%; Córdoba (Visit): 32.66%; Draw: 28.18%. For Córdoba (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.06. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.24%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.27%EV -12.66%E -5.68%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV +1.24%E +0.400%K +0.591%G +0.007%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -2.79%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-27 11:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.27%EV -12.66%E -5.68%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV +1.24%E +0.400%K +0.591%G +0.007%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -2.79%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-27 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.27%EV -12.66%E -5.68%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV +1.24%E +0.400%K +0.591%G +0.007%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -2.79%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-27 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.27%EV -12.66%E -5.68%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV +1.24%E +0.400%K +0.591%G +0.007%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -2.79%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-27 11:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.27%EV -12.66%E -5.68%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV +1.24%E +0.400%K +0.591%G +0.007%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -2.79%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-27 11:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%EV -7.57%E -3.21%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -0.392%E -0.129%K -0.191%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-27 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%EV -7.57%E -3.21%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -0.392%E -0.129%K -0.191%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-27 11:55
BetAnything🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.97%EV -7.57%E -3.21%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -2.02%E -0.675%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-27 11:59
Pinnacle🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.44%EV -1.31%E -0.518%K -0.859%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%EV -3.33%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.83%EV -5.32%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-27 11:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -11.88%E -5.28%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -3.66%E -1.24%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-27 11:45
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.90%EV -15.41%E -7.13%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -3.66%E -1.24%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-27 11:01
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.90%EV -15.41%E -7.13%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -3.66%E -1.24%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-27 11:01
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.90%EV -15.41%E -7.13%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -3.66%E -1.24%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-27 11:01
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.90%EV -15.41%E -7.13%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -3.66%E -1.24%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-27 11:01
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.95%EV -16.19%E -7.56%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -3.66%E -1.24%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-27 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.95%EV -16.19%E -7.56%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -3.66%E -1.24%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-27 11:05
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.93%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.44%EV -4.31%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.63%EV -3.07%E -0.892%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 11:57
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -4.05%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.29%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 11:54
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.29%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-27 11:55
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.29%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-27 11:55
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -5.29%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-27 11:53
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.96%EV -16.97%E -8.01%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -5.29%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-27 11:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.77%EV -8.36%E -3.57%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.20%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.03%EV -6.45%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-27 11:58
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.21%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -5.94%E -2.06%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-27 11:59
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -4.05%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -6.92%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 11:54
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -6.92%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-27 11:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -4.05%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-27 11:59
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-27 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-27 11:59
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-27 11:59
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-27 11:50
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-27 11:54
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-27 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-27 11:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 41.90%EV -20.11%E -9.86%K -19.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.53%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.57%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-27 11:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-27 11:59
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-27 11:55
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-27 11:55
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-27 11:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 38.90%EV -8.36%E -3.57%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.10%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-27 11:55
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-27 11:55
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.47%E -5.16%K -7.73%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-27 11:53
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -15.80%E -7.35%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-27 11:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 39.38%EV -11.10%E -4.89%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.86%EV -11.17%E -4.11%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.76%EV -9.27%E -2.88%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-27 11:54
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.99%EV -11.88%E -5.28%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.25%EV -11.17%E -4.11%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -14.06%E -4.61%K -6.86%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-27 11:55
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-27 11:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -5.61%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-27 11:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.99%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.84%EV -13.46%E -5.08%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-27 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -14.11%E -5.36%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-27 11:55
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -14.11%E -5.36%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-27 11:55
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -7.18%E -3.03%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -14.44%E -5.51%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-27 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -7.18%E -3.03%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -14.44%E -5.51%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-27 11:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.24%EV -17.76%E -8.45%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.50%EV -15.09%E -5.80%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.26%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%18.3%2026-09-27 11:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81%0.6%2026-09-27 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81%0.6%2026-09-27 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.32%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-09-27 11:50
Matchbook◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-09-27 11:55
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.11%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.32%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.5%2026-09-27 11:55
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-09-27 11:55