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Real Valladolid CF v CD Eldense
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Real Valladolid CF (Local)
Prediction 50.77%1.97fair odd
EV -1.00%
Edge -0.515%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.70%50.92%50.72%53.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.821.821.9560.61%54.80%54.95%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
CD Eldense (Visit)
Prediction 22.35%4.47fair odd
EV +7.75%
Edge +1.61%
Kelly +2.03%
Growth +0.157%
assuming max odds 4.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.66%22.26%22.40%24.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.454.024.004.8228.99%24.88%25.00%20.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.88%3.72fair odd
EV -0.552%
Edge -0.149%
Kelly -0.204%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.95%26.82%26.88%27.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.373.353.7032.26%29.65%29.85%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Valladolid CF (Local): 50.77%; CD Eldense (Visit): 22.35%; Draw: 26.88%. For CD Eldense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.47. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.75%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.95%EV -9.13%E -5.10%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.66%EV +7.75%E +1.61%K +2.03%G +0.157% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.39%EV -7.00%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-18 16:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.63%EV -5.07%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.41%EV +0.820%E +0.182%K +0.234%G +0.002% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.97%EV -3.78%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-18 16:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.83%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV +0.597%E +0.133%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.93%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-18 16:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.59%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -1.64%E -0.372%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.62%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-18 16:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -13.70%E -8.06%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -1.64%E -0.372%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -8.62%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-18 16:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -3.87%E -0.901%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -4.58%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-18 16:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -9.63%E -5.41%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -3.87%E -0.901%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.62%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-18 16:28 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.27%EV -9.13%E -5.10%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -3.87%E -0.901%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -9.96%E -2.97%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-18 16:18 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%EV -4.56%E -2.42%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -6.11%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -3.24%E -0.900%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-18 16:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.11%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.93%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-18 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -6.11%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -4.58%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-18 16:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -6.11%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -4.58%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-18 16:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.06%EV -11.66%E -6.70%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.11%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -0.552%E -0.149%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-18 16:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -11.16%E -6.38%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -6.11%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.93%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 16:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -11.16%E -6.38%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -6.11%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.93%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 16:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.11%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.30%E -3.43%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-18 16:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -11.16%E -6.38%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -6.11%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.30%E -3.43%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-18 16:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%EV -5.07%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -8.35%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -4.58%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 16:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -8.35%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.24%E -0.900%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-18 16:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.11%EV -7.60%E -4.18%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -8.35%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -11.30%E -3.43%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-18 15:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.11%EV -7.60%E -4.18%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -8.35%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -11.30%E -3.43%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-18 15:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -8.35%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.30%E -3.43%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-18 16:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.88%EV -11.16%E -6.38%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.72%EV -8.35%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -12.65%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-18 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -3.00%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.96%EV -9.46%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.04%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-18 14:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -5.93%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-18 16:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.62%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-18 16:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.30%E -3.43%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-18 16:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.30%E -3.43%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-18 16:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -7.60%E -4.18%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.30%E -3.43%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-18 15:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -13.99%E -4.37%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-18 16:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -13.99%E -4.37%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-18 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -13.99%E -4.37%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-18 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -13.99%E -4.37%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-18 16:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.39%EV -11.16%E -6.38%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -13.99%E -4.37%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-18 16:23 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.21%EV -9.63%E -5.41%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.46%EV -11.03%E -2.77%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.33%EV -12.11%E -3.70%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-18 16:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.10%EV -7.60%E -4.18%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -11.70%E -2.96%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -8.62%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-18 15:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.88%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -13.93%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -9.96%E -2.97%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-18 15:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -1.00%E -0.515%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -15.05%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -7.27%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-18 15:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -1.00%E -0.515%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -15.05%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -7.27%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-18 15:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -1.00%E -0.515%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -15.05%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -7.27%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-18 15:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -1.00%E -0.515%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -15.05%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -7.27%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-18 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -1.00%E -0.515%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -15.05%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -7.27%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-18 15:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -15.05%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -8.62%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-18 15:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.53%EV -10.14%E -5.73%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -15.05%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -13.99%E -4.37%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-18 16:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 51.07%EV -16.23%E -9.84%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.18%EV -15.05%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.75%EV -15.33%E -4.87%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-10-18 16:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.97%EV -4.56%E -2.42%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -18.40%E -5.04%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.30%E -3.43%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-18 15:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.97%EV -4.56%E -2.42%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -18.40%E -5.04%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.30%E -3.43%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-18 15:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.97%EV -4.56%E -2.42%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -18.40%E -5.04%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.30%E -3.43%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-18 15:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.97%EV -4.56%E -2.42%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -18.40%E -5.04%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.30%E -3.43%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-18 15:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -5.07%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -19.52%E -5.42%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.65%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-18 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -5.07%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -19.52%E -5.42%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.65%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-18 15:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -19.52%E -5.42%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -12.65%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-18 15:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 47.70%EV -9.13%E -5.10%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.75%EV -22.88%E -6.63%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -16.68%E -5.38%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-10-18 15:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.50% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 1.1% | 2026-10-18 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.50% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 1.1% | 2026-10-18 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.50% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 1.1% | 2026-10-18 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.63% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.98% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-10-18 16:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.63% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.98% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-10-18 16:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.42% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.36% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.22% | 2.9% | 2026-10-18 16:25 |