Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Real Sociedad B v Tenerife

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 12:00 UTC

Score final : Real Sociedad B 1–1 Tenerife

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Real Sociedad B (Local)

Prévision 38.92%2.57cote équitable
EV +1.20%
Avantage +0.461%
Kelly +0.748%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.92%38.83%39.07%40.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.412.402.6045.45%41.52%41.67%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tenerife (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.64%3.16cote équitable
EV -0.013%
Avantage -0.004%
Kelly -0.006%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.07%31.72%31.45%34.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.832.813.1639.22%35.37%35.59%31.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.44%3.40cote équitable
EV -2.86%
Avantage -0.867%
Kelly -1.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.70%29.45%29.48%30.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.853.093.103.3035.09%32.35%32.26%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Real Sociedad B (Local) : 38.92% ; Tenerife (Visiteur) : 31.64% ; Match nul : 29.44%. Pour Real Sociedad B (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.57. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.60, soit une espérance positive de +1.20%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV +1.20%E +0.461%K +0.748%G +0.009%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 12:14
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV +1.20%E +0.461%K +0.748%G +0.009%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 12:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV +1.20%E +0.461%K +0.748%G +0.009%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 12:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV +1.20%E +0.461%K +0.748%G +0.009%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 12:15
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -2.69%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -9.82%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 12:09
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -2.69%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -16.15%E -6.09%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 12:15
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -2.69%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -16.15%E -6.09%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 12:15
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -2.69%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -16.15%E -6.09%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 12:15
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -2.69%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -16.15%E -6.09%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 12:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.92%EV -3.47%E -1.40%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.88%EV -16.78%E -6.38%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -13.16%E -4.46%K -6.75%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-04 12:15
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.66%E -2.26%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -2.86%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 12:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.33%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 12:40
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -9.82%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 12:38
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -11.40%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 12:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -8.87%E -3.08%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 12:04
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 11:59
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.40%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 12:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.06%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -17.73%E -6.82%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.95%EV -13.16%E -4.46%K -6.75%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-04 12:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.06%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -17.73%E -6.82%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.95%EV -13.16%E -4.46%K -6.75%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-04 12:15
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.31%EV -5.03%E -2.06%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.35%EV -3.18%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.34%EV -3.74%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 14:30
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.63%EV -5.42%E -2.23%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.47%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.90%EV -5.21%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 13:50
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -3.49%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 14:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -3.49%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 14:15
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -3.49%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 14:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -9.82%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 12:39
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.40%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 12:40
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.40%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 12:40
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.40%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 12:00
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 12:00
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 12:00
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.36%EV -5.71%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.38%EV -6.39%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:23
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 12:40
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 12:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.12%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.71%EV -19.31%E -7.57%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.16%EV -16.11%E -5.65%K -8.71%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-04 12:15
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -10.22%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 13:34
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -10.22%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 13:35
Bovada🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.26%EV -8.92%E -3.81%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.12%EV -10.22%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 13:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 38.85%EV -8.92%E -3.81%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -10.22%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 13:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -3.49%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.22%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 13:35
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.52%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.13%EV -8.16%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 13:38
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.52%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.13%EV -8.16%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 13:39
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 13:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.82%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 13:35
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.87%E -3.08%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 12:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -12.43%E -5.52%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.40%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 13:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 39.37%EV -13.59%E -6.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.00%EV -10.77%E -3.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -13.16%E -4.46%K -6.75%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-04 13:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -14.37%E -6.53%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.96%EV -9.82%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -10.22%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-04 13:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.25%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38%1.9%2026-09-04 14:20
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.58%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.58%2.2%2026-09-04 13:55
Matchbook◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.40%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.07%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.53%2.3%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.49%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.49%2.5%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.49%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.49%2.5%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.39%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.39%2.8%2026-09-04 14:35