Language:English
Real Sociedad B v Real Racing Club de Santander
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Real Sociedad B (Local)
Prediction 28.95%3.45fair odd
EV +1.90%
Edge +0.539%
Kelly +0.753%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 3.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.02%28.86%28.92%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.173.153.5234.72%31.53%31.75%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Real Racing Club de Santander (Visit)
Prediction 46.77%2.14fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.44%46.86%46.75%48.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.981.972.0854.95%50.62%50.76%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.28%4.12fair odd
EV -0.456%
Edge -0.111%
Kelly -0.147%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.08%24.28%24.33%26.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.733.754.1032.26%26.84%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Sociedad B (Local): 28.95%; Real Racing Club de Santander (Visit): 46.77%; Draw: 24.28%. For Real Sociedad B (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.52, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.90%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.02%EV +1.90%E +0.539%K +0.753%G +0.014% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.28%EV -7.86%E -3.99%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -6.53%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -1.58%E -0.464%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -10.66%E -5.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.31%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.78%EV -2.73%E -0.814%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.64%EV -5.05%E -2.49%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.59%EV -0.456%E -0.111%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -8.95%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -7.74%E -2.04%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.95%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -9.73%E -5.04%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.74%E -2.04%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -3.18%E -1.54%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -10.17%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -3.18%E -1.54%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -10.17%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -3.18%E -1.54%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -10.17%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.95%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.50%EV -13.00%E -6.99%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -7.74%E -2.04%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -6.21%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -7.39%E -3.73%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.15%EV -6.28%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.28%EV -4.58%E -2.25%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -5.31%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.28%EV -4.58%E -2.25%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -5.31%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.42%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.48%EV -3.18%E -1.54%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -8.95%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 18:31 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.42%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.48%EV -3.18%E -1.54%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -8.95%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 18:31 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -4.12%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.74%E -2.04%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.95%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -8.95%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.11%EV -7.39%E -3.73%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -12.60%E -3.50%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -10.17%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -10.66%E -5.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -10.17%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.86%EV -2.71%E -1.30%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -2.88%E -0.721%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 18:28 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.48%EV -4.58%E -2.25%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -10.17%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 18:31 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.27%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.74%E -2.04%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.27%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.74%E -2.04%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.06%EV -8.33%E -4.25%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -5.31%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.06%EV -8.33%E -4.25%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -5.31%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -5.52%E -2.73%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.38%E -3.12%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -5.52%E -2.73%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.38%E -3.12%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -5.52%E -2.73%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.38%E -3.12%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -12.60%E -3.50%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.16%EV -14.87%E -8.17%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.01%EV -11.38%E -3.12%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -4.12%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -5.31%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -5.31%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -12.60%E -3.50%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.31%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -7.86%E -3.99%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -10.17%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.95%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.65%EV -7.86%E -3.99%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -13.81%E -3.89%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.03%EV -11.13%E -5.86%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -10.17%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -15.02%E -4.29%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -15.02%E -4.29%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -15.02%E -4.29%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -15.02%E -4.29%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.66%E -5.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.60%E -3.50%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.13%EV -11.13%E -3.63%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.57%EV -10.20%E -5.31%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.30%EV -10.65%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -13.16%E -4.39%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.88%E -0.721%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -13.16%E -4.39%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.13%EV -12.54%E -6.70%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -8.95%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.72%EV -13.16%E -4.39%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.45%EV -14.41%E -7.87%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.83%EV -24.73%E -7.98%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.52%EV -16.63%E -5.77%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 45.47%EV -12.54%E -6.70%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.01%EV -17.45%E -5.13%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.12% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.53% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 0.2% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.77% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 0.6% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.77% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 0.6% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 1.5% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.85% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.78% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.37% | 2.6% | 2026-04-17 18:31 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27% | 3.0% | 2026-04-17 18:31 |