The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Real Sociedad B v Granada CF

2026-10-04 12:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Sociedad B (Local)

Prediction 35.91%2.79fair odd
EV -0.542%
Edge -0.196%
Kelly -0.306%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.97%36.06%35.84%37.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.492.482.7744.44%40.23%40.32%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Granada CF (Visit)

Prediction 35.59%2.81fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.378%
Kelly -0.590%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.45%35.51%35.63%37.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.602.622.7845.45%38.47%38.17%35.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.50%3.51fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -0.910%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.24%28.44%28.53%29.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.203.203.4033.90%31.26%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Real Sociedad B (Local): 35.91%; Granada CF (Visit): 35.59%; Draw: 28.50%. For Real Sociedad B (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.89, producing a positive expected value of +3.77%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.64%EV +3.77%E +1.30%K +1.99%G +0.075%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.34%EV -12.44%E -5.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.02%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-27 12:50
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.61%EV -0.542%E -0.196%K -0.306%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.59%EV -6.75%E -2.57%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.79%EV -5.09%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 12:54
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -4.85%E -1.83%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -10.22%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-27 12:50
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -4.85%E -1.83%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -10.22%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-27 12:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -6.65%E -2.56%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.22%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-27 12:55
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.44%E -3.31%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-27 12:45
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.44%E -3.31%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-27 12:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -10.24%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -2.12%E -0.770%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.09%E -0.910%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-27 13:00
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.24%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -2.12%E -0.770%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-27 12:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.24%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -2.12%E -0.770%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-27 12:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.24%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -2.12%E -0.770%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-27 12:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.24%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -2.12%E -0.770%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-27 12:45
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -10.24%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -6.75%E -2.57%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-27 13:00
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.24%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-27 12:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -10.24%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -14.58%E -6.07%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -11.65%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-27 12:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.49%EV -10.95%E -4.42%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.45%EV -1.05%E -0.378%K -0.590%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.80%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-27 13:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -12.03%E -4.91%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.09%E -0.910%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-27 13:00
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -12.03%E -4.91%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -6.75%E -2.57%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-27 12:59
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -12.03%E -4.91%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -6.75%E -2.57%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-27 13:00
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.24%EV -12.03%E -4.91%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.98%EV -14.58%E -6.07%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -14.50%E -4.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-27 13:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.14%EV -12.03%E -4.91%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.63%EV -16.36%E -6.96%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.23%EV -13.07%E -4.29%K -6.38%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-27 12:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 33.97%EV -12.03%E -4.91%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.83%EV -21.70%E -9.86%K -18.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.21%EV -15.92%E -5.40%K -8.16%G +0.000%20.2%2026-09-27 12:50
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.20%EV -12.75%E -5.25%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.22%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-27 12:45
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.20%EV -12.75%E -5.25%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.22%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-27 12:45
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.20%EV -12.75%E -5.25%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.22%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-27 12:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -13.83%E -5.76%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -6.39%E -2.43%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -11.65%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-27 12:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -13.83%E -5.76%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -6.39%E -2.43%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -11.65%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-27 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -14.55%E -6.11%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -6.39%E -2.43%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.65%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-27 12:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -17.42%E -7.57%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -14.50%E -4.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-27 12:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.71%EV -19.21%E -8.54%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 34.92%EV -13.51%E -5.56%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -11.65%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%17.9%2026-09-27 13:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.