Language:English
Real Sociedad B v Granada CF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Real Sociedad B (Local)
Prediction 38.84%2.57fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.528%
Kelly -0.871%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.94%38.80%38.84%40.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.372.382.5448.78%42.12%42.02%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Granada CF (Visit)
Prediction 32.38%3.09fair odd
EV -0.913%
Edge -0.298%
Kelly -0.443%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.03%32.43%32.35%34.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.812.803.0637.74%35.58%35.71%32.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.78%3.48fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -0.635%
Kelly -0.899%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.89%28.76%28.81%30.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.163.153.4033.33%31.61%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Sociedad B (Local): 38.84%; Granada CF (Visit): 32.38%; Draw: 28.78%. For Granada CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.06, with an expected value of -0.913%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.10%EV -1.34%E -0.528%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.92%EV -4.80%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.98%EV -3.89%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-04 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -2.90%E -1.16%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -12.57%E -4.66%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -3.67%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-04 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -3.67%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-04 11:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -3.67%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-04 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -3.67%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-04 11:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -4.84%E -1.97%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -2.16%E -0.635%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 11:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -4.84%E -1.97%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 11:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -4.84%E -1.97%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.71%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 11:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -4.84%E -1.97%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -10.79%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-04 11:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.92%EV -5.23%E -2.14%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.03%EV -0.913%E -0.298%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.05%EV -9.07%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 11:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -6.00%E -2.48%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -4.80%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -6.00%E -2.48%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -4.80%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -6.00%E -2.48%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -4.80%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.12%EV -6.00%E -2.48%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.60%EV -8.36%E -2.95%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -9.35%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-04 11:53 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.78%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-04 11:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.78%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-04 11:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.78%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-04 11:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.78%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.74%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -10.79%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.78%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.71%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -10.79%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 11:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -6.78%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -12.57%E -4.66%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -9.35%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-04 11:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -6.78%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -12.57%E -4.66%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -9.35%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-04 11:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -6.78%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -12.57%E -4.66%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -9.35%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-04 11:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -6.78%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -12.57%E -4.66%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -9.35%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-04 11:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -7.56%E -3.18%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.91%EV -5.45%E -1.87%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.94%EV -7.34%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 11:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -7.56%E -3.18%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -10.95%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-04 11:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -7.56%E -3.18%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.79%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -7.56%E -3.18%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.95%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -13.67%E -4.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -7.56%E -3.18%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.95%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -13.67%E -4.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -7.56%E -3.18%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.69%EV -14.19%E -5.35%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -10.79%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-04 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -7.56%E -3.18%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.69%EV -14.19%E -5.35%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -10.79%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-04 11:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -7.95%E -3.35%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -10.95%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.67%E -4.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -7.95%E -3.35%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -10.95%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.67%E -4.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.72%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-04 11:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -8.72%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.71%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -9.35%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-04 11:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -8.72%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.71%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -9.35%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-04 11:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -8.72%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.79%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-04 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -8.72%E -3.71%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -14.19%E -5.35%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.79%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-04 11:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 38.78%EV -9.11%E -3.89%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.35%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-04 11:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -10.66%E -4.64%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -6.74%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-04 11:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -10.66%E -4.64%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -6.74%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -10.66%E -4.64%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-04 11:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -10.66%E -4.64%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.74%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -10.79%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -10.66%E -4.64%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -13.67%E -4.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-04 11:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -10.66%E -4.64%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -13.67%E -4.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-04 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 39.40%EV -11.83%E -5.21%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.94%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.66%EV -10.22%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-04 11:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -6.74%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -10.79%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-04 11:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.95%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-04 11:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -13.67%E -4.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-04 11:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.80%EV -12.61%E -5.60%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.10%EV -11.92%E -4.38%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -13.67%E -4.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-10-04 11:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.94%EV -20.37%E -9.94%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.08%EV -12.57%E -4.66%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.98%EV -13.67%E -4.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-10-04 11:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68% | 0.6% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68% | 0.6% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-10-04 11:50 |