The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Real Sociedad B v Girona FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 13:01 UTC

Final: Real Sociedad B 1–0 Girona FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Sociedad B (Local)

Prediction 27.58%3.63fair odd
EV +0.931%
Edge +0.254%
Kelly +0.350%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.17%27.44%27.65%28.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.323.303.6632.79%30.14%30.30%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Girona FC (Visit)

Prediction 46.97%2.13fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -3.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.37%47.12%46.93%50.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.961.952.0656.82%51.12%51.28%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.45%3.93fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -0.455%
Kelly -0.614%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.49%25.45%25.42%26.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.533.503.8631.25%28.33%28.57%25.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Sociedad B (Local): 27.58%; Girona FC (Visit): 46.97%; Draw: 25.45%. For Real Sociedad B (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.931%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.66I 27.32%NM 26.47%EV +0.931%E +0.254%K +0.350%G +0.003%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.44%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.10%EV -1.76%E -0.455%K -0.614%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-31 12:45
1xBet🎯3.61I 27.70%NM 26.34%EV -0.448%E -0.124%K -0.172%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.31%EV -5.59%E -2.78%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.34%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-31 12:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -0.724%E -0.201%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -15.45%E -8.58%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -5.83%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-31 12:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.60%EV -7.00%E -3.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.83%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 12:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.60%EV -7.00%E -3.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.83%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 12:45
BetAnything🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.60%EV -7.00%E -3.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.83%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 12:45
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.37%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 12:34
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.34%E -4.84%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 12:33
Bovada🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -4.86%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.72%EV -9.34%E -4.84%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.37%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 12:49
Marathon Bet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.19%EV -5.69%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.68%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.83%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 10:54
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -3.71%E -1.81%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -4.56%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-31 12:15
DraftKings🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.28%E -0.864%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-31 12:35
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.28%E -0.864%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 12:35
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.37%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 12:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 12:35
betano_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 12:48
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 12:48
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.22%EV -10.75%E -5.66%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-31 12:34
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -7.62%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.55%EV -3.24%E -1.57%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -9.65%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 12:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -7.62%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.55%EV -3.24%E -1.57%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -9.65%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 12:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -7.62%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.55%EV -3.24%E -1.57%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -9.65%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 12:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -7.62%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.55%EV -3.24%E -1.57%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -9.65%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 12:20
PlayUp🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -7.62%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.13%EV -9.81%E -5.11%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-31 12:40
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -3.71%E -1.81%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.83%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 12:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.37%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 12:15
NordicBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 12:05
Betsson🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 12:05
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.37%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 12:15
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -9.34%E -4.84%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.37%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-31 04:09
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 12:34
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.28%E -5.38%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-31 12:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.24%EV -12.16%E -6.50%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-31 12:45
Codere (IT)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.98%EV -7.00%E -3.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 12:05
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 12:20
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 12:20
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 12:20
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -11.75%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.11%EV -7.00%E -3.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.37%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-31 12:05
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.75%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.37%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-31 12:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -11.75%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.38%EV -7.47%E -3.79%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -14.74%E -4.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -11.75%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.38%EV -7.47%E -3.79%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -14.74%E -4.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 12:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.75%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.24%EV -9.34%E -4.84%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-31 12:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.75%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -10.28%E -5.38%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 04:10
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.75%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -10.28%E -5.38%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 04:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.75%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -10.28%E -5.38%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 04:10
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.75%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -10.28%E -5.38%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 04:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.81%EV -11.75%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -14.74%E -4.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-31 12:20
NetBet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -13.13%E -4.17%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.47%EV -12.16%E -6.50%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.94%EV -14.74%E -4.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-31 12:35
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -14.51%E -4.68%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.78%EV -12.16%E -6.50%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-31 12:14
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -15.89%E -5.21%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.01%EV -10.75%E -5.66%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-31 12:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 27.97%EV -15.89%E -5.21%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.37%EV -11.69%E -6.22%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.66%EV -18.55%E -5.80%K -8.43%G +0.000%17.2%2026-10-31 12:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 27.34%EV -15.89%E -5.21%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 47.38%EV -17.33%E -9.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.27%EV -16.01%E -4.85%K -6.96%G +0.000%19.9%2026-10-31 12:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.90%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88%0.4%2026-10-31 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.90%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88%0.4%2026-10-31 12:40
Matchbook◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.90%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88%0.4%2026-10-31 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-10-31 12:50
Kalshi◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-10-31 12:50
Smarkets◎3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77%2.1%2026-10-31 12:50