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Real Sociedad B v Almería
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Real Sociedad B (Local)
Prediction 25.06%3.99fair odd
EV +3.76%
Edge +0.907%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.045%
assuming max odds 4.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.97%25.10%25.03%26.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.643.604.1429.41%27.48%27.78%24.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Almería (Visit)
Prediction 49.36%2.03fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -4.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.50%49.45%49.41%51.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.851.851.9459.52%54.10%54.05%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.58%3.91fair odd
EV +2.32%
Edge +0.581%
Kelly +0.775%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.90%25.45%25.56%26.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.583.604.0030.30%27.95%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Sociedad B (Local): 25.06%; Almería (Visit): 49.36%; Draw: 25.58%. For Real Sociedad B (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.99. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.14, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.97%EV +3.76%E +0.907%K +1.20%G +0.045% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.84%EV -7.70%E -4.12%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.19%EV -7.14%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-17 11:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.74%EV -2.26%E -0.579%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.73%EV -4.25%E -2.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.53%EV -3.30%E -0.874%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-17 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -2.26%E -0.579%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.40%EV -12.64%E -7.14%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -7.91%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-17 11:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.05%EV -5.23%E -2.73%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.91%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.49%EV -6.22%E -3.27%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.63%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.49%EV -6.22%E -3.27%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.63%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.91%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-17 11:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -7.70%E -4.12%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -7.91%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 11:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.16%E -6.20%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.91%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-17 11:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.16%E -6.20%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.91%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-17 11:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.02%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -5.35%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 11:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.02%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -7.21%E -3.83%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.07%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-17 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.02%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -7.21%E -3.83%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.07%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-17 11:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.02%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -7.21%E -3.83%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.07%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-17 11:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.02%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -7.21%E -3.83%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.07%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-17 11:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.02%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.91%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.00%EV -6.77%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -7.70%E -4.12%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.27%EV -5.86%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-17 11:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.27%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.47%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-17 11:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.27%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -7.70%E -4.12%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.91%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-17 11:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.27%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -7.70%E -4.12%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.47%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 11:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -7.27%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.71%EV -7.21%E -3.83%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -11.75%E -3.40%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-17 11:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -7.27%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.71%EV -7.21%E -3.83%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -11.75%E -3.40%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-17 11:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.54%EV -4.74%E -2.46%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV +2.32%E +0.581%K +0.775%G +0.018% | 4.6% | 2026-10-17 11:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -6.22%E -3.27%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -0.235%E -0.060%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 11:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.83%EV -8.20%E -4.41%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.47%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-17 11:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.47%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.47%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-17 11:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.59%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -13.02%E -3.83%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-17 11:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.02%E -3.83%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-17 11:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.16%E -6.20%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.02%E -3.83%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-17 11:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.97%EV -10.28%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.12%EV -10.17%E -5.59%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -11.75%E -3.40%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-17 11:48 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -11.03%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -8.20%E -4.41%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -6.63%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-17 11:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.03%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -7.70%E -4.12%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.47%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-17 11:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -11.03%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -7.91%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-17 11:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -11.03%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -7.91%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-17 11:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -11.03%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -7.91%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-17 11:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -11.03%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -7.91%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-17 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -11.03%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.51%EV -10.66%E -5.89%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -9.19%E -2.59%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-17 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -11.03%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.51%EV -10.66%E -5.89%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -9.19%E -2.59%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-17 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -7.70%E -4.12%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -2.79%E -0.735%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 11:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -4.07%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-17 11:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.44%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.47%EV -11.16%E -6.20%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.08%EV -9.19%E -2.59%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-17 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -13.02%E -3.83%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -13.02%E -3.83%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -13.02%E -3.83%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -13.02%E -3.83%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -13.54%E -3.92%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.01%EV -10.17%E -5.59%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -9.19%E -2.59%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-17 11:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.79%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.16%E -6.20%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -7.91%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-17 11:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -14.79%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.03%EV -12.14%E -6.82%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.30%EV -11.75%E -3.40%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-10-17 11:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.22%EV -14.79%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.56%EV -14.61%E -8.45%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.22%EV -13.02%E -3.83%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-10-17 11:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.67%EV -14.79%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 49.92%EV -17.08%E -10.17%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.41%EV -15.58%E -4.72%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-10-17 11:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97% | 1.3% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.06% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.06% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.18% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23% | 1.7% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.02% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47% | 2.0% | 2026-10-17 11:45 |