Language:English
Real Racing Club de Santander v Sporting Gijón
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Real Racing Club de Santander (Local)
Prediction 50.36%1.99fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -4.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.96%50.37%50.38%52.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.811.811.9057.47%55.19%55.40%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sporting Gijón (Visit)
Prediction 24.17%4.14fair odd
EV +5.88%
Edge +1.34%
Kelly +1.74%
Growth +0.102%
assuming max odds 4.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.71%24.19%24.18%25.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.893.884.3828.57%25.72%25.77%22.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.47%3.93fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -0.847%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.27%25.44%25.43%26.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.593.603.8029.41%27.83%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Racing Club de Santander (Local): 50.36%; Sporting Gijón (Visit): 24.17%; Draw: 25.47%. For Sporting Gijón (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.14. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.88%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.24%EV -8.35%E -4.59%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.71%EV +5.88%E +1.34%K +1.74%G +0.102% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -7.04%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 19:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.80%EV -8.85%E -4.89%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -0.886%E -0.216%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.80%EV -8.85%E -4.89%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -0.886%E -0.216%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.80%EV -8.85%E -4.89%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -0.886%E -0.216%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.80%EV -8.85%E -4.89%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -0.886%E -0.216%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.80%EV -8.85%E -4.89%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -0.886%E -0.216%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -9.36%E -5.20%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -0.886%E -0.216%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-01 19:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.85%EV -10.36%E -5.82%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -0.886%E -0.216%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.85%EV -10.36%E -5.82%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -0.886%E -0.216%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.85%EV -10.36%E -5.82%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -0.886%E -0.216%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-01 19:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.85%EV -10.36%E -5.82%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -0.886%E -0.216%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.82%EV -2.09%E -0.517%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.39%EV -3.22%E -0.847%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-01 19:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.03%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -3.30%E -0.826%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -3.22%E -0.847%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.30%E -0.826%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -4.49%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 19:27 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.30%E -0.826%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -4.49%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 19:28 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.30%E -0.826%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -4.49%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.85%E -4.29%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -3.30%E -0.826%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -10.86%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-01 19:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.84%EV -11.37%E -6.46%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -3.30%E -0.826%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -11.37%E -6.46%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -3.30%E -0.826%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -9.59%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -11.88%E -6.79%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -3.30%E -0.826%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.86%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-01 19:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.80%EV -12.38%E -7.11%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.82%EV -4.51%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -9.59%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.80%EV -12.38%E -7.11%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.82%EV -4.51%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -9.59%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -9.36%E -5.20%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -9.36%E -5.20%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -13.41%E -3.94%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.38%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.15%EV -6.69%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -6.78%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-01 19:28 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.22%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-01 19:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -7.85%E -4.29%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 19:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.14%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-01 19:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.14%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-01 19:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.14%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -9.59%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-01 19:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.14%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -9.59%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-01 19:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.36%E -5.20%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.14%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -11.88%E -6.79%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -8.14%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.86%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -11.88%E -6.79%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -8.14%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.41%E -3.94%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.44%EV -7.85%E -4.29%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -9.35%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.35%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.85%E -4.29%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.35%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -7.85%E -4.29%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.35%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -10.86%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -9.36%E -5.20%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -10.56%E -2.85%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -13.41%E -3.94%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -9.36%E -5.20%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -10.56%E -2.85%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -13.41%E -3.94%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.15%EV -10.36%E -5.82%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -10.56%E -2.85%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.72%EV -11.62%E -3.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-01 19:28 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.03%EV -10.87%E -6.14%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -10.56%E -2.85%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -13.41%E -3.94%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-01 19:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -9.36%E -5.20%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -11.76%E -3.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.86%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.36%E -5.20%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.86%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-01 19:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.36%E -5.20%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.86%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-01 19:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -10.36%E -5.82%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -14.18%E -3.99%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -9.36%E -5.20%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -15.39%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -10.86%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.37% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 0.5% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 1.0% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.11% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.11% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.80% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.77% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43% | 2.1% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.87% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.07% | 3.9% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |