Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Racing Club de Santander v SD Huesca

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 12:00 UTC

Final: Real Racing Club de Santander 4–2 SD Huesca

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Racing Club de Santander (Local)

Prediction 67.47%1.48fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -8.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.97%67.35%67.48%68.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.371.361.4378.13%73.19%73.53%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SD Huesca (Visit)

Prediction 13.30%7.52fair odd
EV +3.72%
Edge +0.477%
Kelly +0.547%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 7.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.18%13.36%13.30%15.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.857.007.8017.39%14.59%14.29%12.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.23%5.20fair odd
EV -0.592%
Edge -0.115%
Kelly -0.142%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.58%19.29%19.22%22.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.674.705.1726.67%21.42%21.28%19.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Racing Club de Santander (Local): 67.47%; SD Huesca (Visit): 13.30%; Draw: 19.23%. For SD Huesca (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.52. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.72%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.95%EV -5.54%E -3.95%K -13.84%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.38%EV +3.72%E +0.477%K +0.547%G +0.020%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.67%EV -0.592%E -0.115%K -0.142%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-03 11:55
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.83%EV -5.54%E -3.95%K -13.84%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.18%EV +3.72%E +0.477%K +0.547%G +0.020%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -8.67%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 11:54
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.89%E -4.99%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -0.268%E -0.036%K -0.041%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -3.86%E -0.772%K -0.965%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 11:15
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.36%EV -5.54%E -3.95%K -13.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -0.268%E -0.036%K -0.041%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -9.63%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 11:16
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.36%EV -5.54%E -3.95%K -13.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -0.268%E -0.036%K -0.041%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -9.63%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 11:16
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.36%EV -5.54%E -3.95%K -13.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -0.268%E -0.036%K -0.041%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -9.63%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 11:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.36%EV -5.54%E -3.95%K -13.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -0.268%E -0.036%K -0.041%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -9.63%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 11:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.36%EV -5.54%E -3.95%K -13.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -0.268%E -0.036%K -0.041%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -9.63%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 11:15
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -8.23%E -6.05%K -22.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -0.268%E -0.036%K -0.041%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -5.78%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 11:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.16%EV -8.91%E -6.60%K -25.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -0.268%E -0.036%K -0.041%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -9.63%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 11:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -8.23%E -6.05%K -22.87%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.62%EV -1.60%E -0.216%K -0.250%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -3.86%E -0.772%K -0.965%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -8.23%E -6.05%K -22.87%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.62%EV -1.60%E -0.216%K -0.250%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -3.86%E -0.772%K -0.965%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.23%E -6.05%K -22.87%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.93%EV -4.26%E -0.591%K -0.687%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -3.86%E -0.772%K -0.965%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 11:40
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.87%EV -5.54%E -3.95%K -13.84%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.38%EV -5.59%E -0.787%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.74%EV -2.52%E -0.496%K -0.618%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 11:50
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.72%EV -6.21%E -4.47%K -15.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -6.92%E -0.988%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.86%E -0.772%K -0.965%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 11:01
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -5.54%E -3.95%K -13.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -6.92%E -0.988%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.63%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 10:51
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -6.89%E -4.99%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -6.92%E -0.988%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.67%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 10:55
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.23%E -6.05%K -22.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -6.92%E -0.988%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.71%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 11:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.23%E -6.05%K -22.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -6.92%E -0.988%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.71%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 11:10
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.23%E -6.05%K -22.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -6.92%E -0.988%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.71%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.23%E -6.05%K -22.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -6.92%E -0.988%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.55%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 11:15
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.23%E -6.05%K -22.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -6.92%E -0.988%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.55%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 11:15
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.23%E -6.05%K -22.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -6.92%E -0.988%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.55%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 11:15
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.23%E -6.05%K -22.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -6.92%E -0.988%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.55%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 11:16
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.23%E -6.05%K -22.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -6.92%E -0.988%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.55%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 11:33
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.23%E -6.05%K -22.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -6.92%E -0.988%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.55%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 11:16
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -10.26%E -7.71%K -31.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -6.92%E -0.988%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -8.67%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 10:31
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.99%EV -8.91%E -6.60%K -25.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -6.92%E -0.988%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -13.47%E -2.99%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 11:16
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.15%EV -9.58%E -7.15%K -28.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -6.92%E -0.988%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -13.47%E -2.99%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 11:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.15%EV -9.58%E -7.15%K -28.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -6.92%E -0.988%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -13.47%E -2.99%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 11:15
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.81%EV -12.28%E -9.45%K -40.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -6.92%E -0.988%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -13.47%E -2.99%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-03 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -6.89%E -4.99%K -18.12%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -10.24%E -1.52%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -8.67%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 11:20
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -8.23%E -6.05%K -22.87%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -10.24%E -1.52%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -13.47%E -2.99%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 11:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 68.12%EV -13.63%E -10.65%K -48.69%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.92%EV -10.24%E -1.52%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.96%EV -11.55%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-03 11:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.05%EV -12.28%E -9.45%K -40.94%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.91%EV -10.24%E -1.52%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.04%EV -16.36%E -3.76%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-03 11:15
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.09%EV -6.89%E -4.99%K -18.12%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.82%EV -10.91%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -6.75%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 11:01
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.09%EV -6.89%E -4.99%K -18.12%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.82%EV -10.91%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -6.75%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 11:01
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.54%E -3.95%K -13.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.57%E -2.09%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -11.55%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 11:20
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -5.54%E -3.95%K -13.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -13.57%E -2.09%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.47%E -2.99%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 11:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -8.91%E -6.60%K -25.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -13.57%E -2.09%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -5.78%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 10:55
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.23%E -6.05%K -22.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -13.57%E -2.09%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -8.67%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 11:40
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -8.23%E -6.05%K -22.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -13.57%E -2.09%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -11.55%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 11:10
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -10.26%E -7.71%K -31.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -13.57%E -2.09%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -13.47%E -2.99%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-03 11:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.42%EV -7.56%E -5.52%K -20.43%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.22%EV -14.90%E -2.33%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -9.63%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 11:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.64%EV -9.58%E -7.15%K -28.19%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.95%EV -14.90%E -2.33%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -11.55%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 11:32
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.37%EV -10.26%E -7.71%K -31.09%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.01%EV -16.23%E -2.58%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.62%EV -13.47%E -2.99%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 11:30
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -3.51%E -2.46%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -20.21%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -11.55%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 10:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 66.36%EV -10.93%E -8.28%K -34.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.60%EV -20.21%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.04%EV -11.55%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-03 10:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 63.97%EV -12.28%E -9.45%K -40.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 13.86%EV -20.21%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.17%EV -27.90%E -7.44%K -10.14%G +0.000%20.3%2026-05-03 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -5.54%E -3.95%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -23.54%E -4.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -15.40%E -3.50%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 10:10
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -5.54%E -3.95%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -23.54%E -4.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -15.40%E -3.50%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 10:10
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -5.54%E -3.95%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -23.54%E -4.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -15.40%E -3.50%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -5.54%E -3.95%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -23.54%E -4.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -15.40%E -3.50%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 10:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 70.28%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.90%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82%0.9%2026-05-03 11:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.78%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70%0.9%2026-05-03 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.78%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70%0.9%2026-05-03 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.78%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70%0.9%2026-05-03 11:54
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%1.2%2026-05-03 11:50
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.30%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.79%2.3%2026-05-03 11:50