Language:English
Real Racing Club de Santander v Real Valladolid CF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Real Racing Club de Santander (Local)
Prediction 67.25%1.49fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.775%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.73%67.36%67.06%70.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.371.361.4776.92%72.90%73.53%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Real Valladolid CF (Visit)
Prediction 14.03%7.13fair odd
EV +7.75%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.090%
assuming max odds 7.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.53%13.98%14.10%15.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.806.536.507.6817.24%15.31%15.38%13.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.72%5.34fair odd
EV +4.44%
Edge +0.796%
Kelly +0.970%
Growth +0.043%
assuming max odds 5.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.07%18.66%18.84%20.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.824.755.5822.73%20.75%21.05%17.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Racing Club de Santander (Local): 67.25%; Real Valladolid CF (Visit): 14.03%; Draw: 18.72%. For Real Valladolid CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.13. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.68, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.75%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.23%EV -7.86%E -5.74%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 7.68I 13.02%NM 12.53%EV +7.75%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.090% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.24%EV +4.44%E +0.796%K +0.970%G +0.043% | 3.9% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.88%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.11%EV +1.72%E +0.237%K +0.275%G +0.005% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -6.41%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -9.21%E -6.82%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -1.79%E -0.256%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV +2.95%E +0.536%K +0.655%G +0.019% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -1.79%E -0.256%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -10.16%E -2.12%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -1.79%E -0.256%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -1.73%E -0.330%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.01%EV -9.88%E -7.37%K -29.06%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -1.79%E -0.256%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -2.67%E -0.513%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 16:28 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -10.55%E -7.94%K -31.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -1.79%E -0.256%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.41%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -1.79%E -0.256%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.90%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.42%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.68%EV -4.60%E -0.676%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.89%EV -2.67%E -0.513%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.42%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.68%EV -4.60%E -0.676%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.89%EV -2.67%E -0.513%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.42%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.68%EV -4.60%E -0.676%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.89%EV -2.67%E -0.513%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.39%EV -4.50%E -3.17%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.97%EV -5.30%E -0.785%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -10.16%E -2.12%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.39%EV -4.50%E -3.17%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.97%EV -5.30%E -0.785%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -10.16%E -2.12%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.39%EV -4.50%E -3.17%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.97%EV -5.30%E -0.785%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -10.16%E -2.12%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.39%EV -4.50%E -3.17%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.97%EV -5.30%E -0.785%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -10.16%E -2.12%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.39%EV -4.50%E -3.17%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.97%EV -5.30%E -0.785%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -10.16%E -2.12%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -5.30%E -0.785%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -11.09%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.27%EV -9.21%E -6.82%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -5.30%E -0.785%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -4.54%E -0.890%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 16:28 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.96%EV -9.21%E -6.82%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.69%EV -6.00%E -0.896%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -6.41%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.06%EV -7.86%E -5.74%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -8.81%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -0.798%E -0.150%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.03%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -8.81%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -6.41%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.81%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -11.09%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -8.81%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -13.90%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 16:28 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -8.81%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -12.03%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -8.81%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -12.03%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -8.81%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -12.03%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -8.81%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -12.03%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -8.81%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -12.03%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -8.81%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -10.16%E -2.12%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -8.81%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -10.16%E -2.12%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -8.81%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -11.09%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -8.81%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.90%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.55%E -7.94%K -31.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -8.81%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -11.09%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.86%EV -12.57%E -9.67%K -41.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -8.81%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -11.09%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.31%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%EV -10.21%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -13.90%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.31%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%EV -10.21%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -13.90%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.60%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.69%EV -11.61%E -1.84%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -7.35%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.60%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.69%EV -11.61%E -1.84%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -7.35%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.49%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -12.31%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.09%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.92%EV -7.86%E -5.74%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.45%EV -12.31%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -13.90%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.30%EV -10.55%E -7.94%K -31.98%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.11%EV -12.31%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -15.77%E -3.50%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.95%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.68%EV -13.01%E -2.10%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -12.03%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.15%EV -9.21%E -6.82%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.64%EV -14.42%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.21%EV -12.96%E -2.79%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.73%EV -1.14%E -0.775%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.08I 16.45%NM 15.65%EV -14.70%E -2.42%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.62%EV -9.22%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -15.82%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -11.09%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.95%EV -7.86%E -5.74%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -15.82%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.22%EV -17.64%E -4.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -15.82%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -15.77%E -3.50%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -15.82%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -15.77%E -3.50%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -15.82%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -15.77%E -3.50%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -15.82%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -15.77%E -3.50%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.44%EV -10.55%E -7.94%K -31.98%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.01%EV -18.63%E -3.21%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.56%EV -16.71%E -3.75%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.82% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.09% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.09% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.82% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.09% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.09% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.82% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.09% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.09% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.50% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.54% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.26% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.20% | 2.0% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.19% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.00% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 16.80% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |