Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.08
assuming max odds 4.20
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Racing Club de Santander (Local): 46.58%; Burgos CF (Visit): 24.75%; Draw: 28.67%. For Burgos CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.04. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.96%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.38%EV -12.43%E -6.61%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV +3.96%E +0.944%K +1.24%G +0.049% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV +0.339%E +0.097%K +0.135%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.38%EV -12.43%E -6.61%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV +3.96%E +0.944%K +1.24%G +0.049% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV +0.339%E +0.097%K +0.135%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.38%EV -12.43%E -6.61%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV +3.96%E +0.944%K +1.24%G +0.049% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV +0.339%E +0.097%K +0.135%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.38%EV -12.43%E -6.61%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV +3.96%E +0.944%K +1.24%G +0.049% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV +0.339%E +0.097%K +0.135%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.38%EV -12.43%E -6.61%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV +3.96%E +0.944%K +1.24%G +0.049% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV +0.339%E +0.097%K +0.135%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.50%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV +1.49%E +0.363%K +0.480%G +0.007% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.32%EV -7.12%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.50%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV +1.49%E +0.363%K +0.480%G +0.007% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.32%EV -7.12%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -14.76%E -8.07%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV +1.49%E +0.363%K +0.480%G +0.007% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -1.09%E -0.317%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -14.76%E -8.07%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV +1.49%E +0.363%K +0.480%G +0.007% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -1.09%E -0.317%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -14.76%E -8.07%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV +1.49%E +0.363%K +0.480%G +0.007% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -1.09%E -0.317%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -14.76%E -8.07%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV +1.49%E +0.363%K +0.480%G +0.007% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -1.09%E -0.317%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -14.76%E -8.07%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +1.49%E +0.363%K +0.480%G +0.007% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -2.53%E -0.744%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -15.23%E -8.37%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +1.49%E +0.363%K +0.480%G +0.007% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -2.53%E -0.744%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -15.23%E -8.37%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +1.49%E +0.363%K +0.480%G +0.007% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -2.53%E -0.744%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.65%EV -5.45%E -2.68%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.82%EV +0.497%E +0.123%K +0.163%G +0.001% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.53%EV -2.81%E -0.830%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-22 17:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.11%EV -5.45%E -2.68%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.91%EV -0.988%E -0.247%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-22 17:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.39%EV -17.56%E -9.92%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.58%EV -2.23%E -0.563%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.46%E -0.888%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 16:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -10.10%E -5.23%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -3.46%E -0.888%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 16:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.94%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-22 17:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.94%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.94%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-22 17:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -10.10%E -5.23%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -5.94%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 17:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -9.17%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -5.94%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-22 15:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.37%EV -6.38%E -3.17%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.18%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -7.12%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.18%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.18%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.24%EV -7.31%E -3.67%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -7.18%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.24%EV -7.31%E -3.67%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -7.18%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 17:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.41%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.41%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -7.77%E -3.93%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.41%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -7.77%E -3.93%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.41%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -9.17%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -8.41%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-02-22 16:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -3.12%E -1.50%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -9.65%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.89%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -8.71%E -4.44%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.89%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -11.03%E -5.78%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.89%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-22 16:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.17%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -10.89%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-22 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.82%EV -11.03%E -5.78%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.98%EV -11.38%E -3.18%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.21%EV -9.12%E -2.88%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-22 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -9.64%E -4.97%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -12.13%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.63%EV -11.03%E -5.78%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -12.13%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-22 17:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.19%EV -13.36%E -7.18%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 24.94%EV -12.87%E -3.66%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-22 17:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.36%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.27%EV -12.43%E -6.61%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.21%EV -14.60%E -4.23%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.52%EV -12.56%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-02-22 17:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.44%EV -16.16%E -8.98%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.23%EV -14.60%E -4.23%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.33%EV -18.30%E -6.42%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-02-22 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -15.84%E -4.66%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-22 17:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -15.84%E -4.66%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-22 17:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -15.84%E -4.66%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -15.84%E -4.66%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.46%EV -11.50%E -6.05%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -15.84%E -4.66%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.38%EV -14.76%E -8.07%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.42%EV -15.84%E -4.66%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.20%EV -21.16%E -7.70%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-02-22 16:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26% | 0.5% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.72% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.72% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-02-22 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.72% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-02-22 16:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.13% | 2.5% | 2026-02-22 17:19 |